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Will Turkey Take Part In The War On The Side Of Georgia?

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  • Will Turkey Take Part In The War On The Side Of Georgia?

    WILL TURKEY TAKE PART IN THE WAR ON THE SIDE OF GEORGIA?
    by Vadim Novikov
    Translated by Pavel Pushkin

    Source: Severny Kavkaz (Nalchik), No. 33, August 22-28, 2006, p. EV
    Agency WPS
    DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
    August 30, 2006 Wednesday

    Can The Turkish-Georgian Military Cooperation Lead To Participation
    Of Turkey In The Abkhaz-Ossetian Or Ossetian-Georgian Conflict?

    As a rule, when these or those authors touch on the topic of
    Turkish-Georgian military cooperation they very seldom cover the
    aspect of "involvement" of Turkey into the Abkhaz-Georgian and
    Ossetian-Georgian conflicts. The explanation is very simple. This
    is practical absence of information that can through light at this
    aspect of Turkish-Georgian relations at least indirectly. Meanwhile,
    Turkey is broadly represented in Georgia, to a big extent in the
    military field. Practically everyone who have visited Tbilisi in the
    last four to five years say that there are many Turkish military and
    various Turkish citizens in general in the Georgian capital.

    As a rule, when these or those authors touch on the topic of
    Turkish-Georgian military cooperation they very seldom cover the
    aspect of "involvement" of Turkey into the Abkhaz-Georgian and
    Ossetian-Georgian conflicts. The explanation is very simple. This
    is practical absence of information that can through light at this
    aspect of Turkish-Georgian relations at least indirectly. Meanwhile,
    Turkey is broadly represented in Georgia, to a big extent in the
    military field. Practically everyone who have visited Tbilisi in the
    last four to five years say that there are many Turkish military and
    various Turkish citizens in general in the Georgian capital.

    Turkey is represented in Abkhazia too and this has begun a long time
    ago. We need to say a few words explaining why the Turkish party
    cannot ignore the Abkhaz problem. This circumstance is connected with
    history of the 19th century and results of the Caucasian War won by
    Russia. There was exodus of Moslem Abkhaz people, so-called muhadzhirs,
    from Abkhazia after that. Now there are from 500,000 to 800,000 people
    considering themselves descendants of Abkhaz mukhadzhirs living in
    Turkey, whereas about 100,000 Abkhaz people being mostly Orthodox
    Christians live in Abkhazia. The Abkhaz Diaspora in Turkey is very
    active. The Committee of Solidarity Caucasus-Abkhazia was established
    immediately after beginning of the war in August of 1992. The center
    is located in Istanbul and the committee is accredited by official
    Ankara and lobbies Abkhaz interests. During the war the committee
    provided humanitarian, human and financial aid to Abkhazia.

    In various years the Abkhaz community of Turkey also tried to organize
    repatriation of Turkish Abkhaz people to their native land.

    Thus, according to Turkish information, up to 2,000 repatriates
    already moved to Abkhazia and established Turkish college Basharan
    in Gagra. The Abkhaz community of Turkey enjoys support on the part
    of the emigrants from the North Caucasus living there, of which there
    are about 6-7 million people.

    Turkish businessmen are also very active in Abkhazia. The major part
    of Turkish businessmen works in coal production. Turkey is one of the
    main trading partners of Abkhazia. The sea is the main trading route.

    Georgia has always tried to hinder this trade. Thus, Georgian border
    guards frequently arrested Turkish ships near the coasts of Abkhazia
    according to accusations of trespassing of territorial waters.

    In the period of combat operations in the zone of the Georgian-Abkhaz
    conflict the Turkish Abkhaz people provide a certain support to the
    Abkhaz party. For instance, approximately 200 volunteers from Turkey
    fought on the side of Abkhazia. Former President of Abkhazia V.

    Ardzinba even visited Turkey and called on Ankara to develop relations
    with Abkhazia. Such loyal stance of Turkey towards the authorities
    of Abkhazia was conditioned by pressure on the part of the Abkhaz
    Diaspora of this country and representatives of other Caucasian ethnic
    groups living in Turkey, namely Circassian and Adyg people. However,
    starting from the second half of the 1990s geopolitical aspect started
    prevailing in the stance of Turkey. Due to the closed border with
    Armenia Georgia became the only way for Turkey for communication with
    Azerbaijan and Central Asian republics.

    Interests of Turkey were also connected with Georgia because of the oil
    pipeline Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan, gas pipeline project Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum
    and railway Baku-Tbilisi-Kars. According to Turkish analysts, the axis
    Turkey-Georgia-Azerbaijan also contributes to breaking of strategically
    opposite axis Russia-Armenia-Iran.

    Georgia is also the shortest way for Turkey to the North Caucasus, for
    instance, to Chechnya. It was known that the "corridor" Turkey-Georgia
    was very often used by members of illegal armed forces that fought
    against Russian federal troops in the North Caucasus and by the
    bandit formations of international terrorists that helped them. That
    is why in official statements Turkey started supporting territorial
    integrity of Georgia and emphasizing importance for resolving of the
    Abkhaz-Georgian conflict by a peaceful way in the framework of this
    territorial integrity.

    Along with this, military cooperation of Turkey with Georgia began
    between 1992 and 1993. It grew more intensive and closer starting
    from 1995-1996 when Georgian authorities started speaking about their
    orientation at entrance into NATO for the first time. Since then
    Turkey has been actually a "curator" of Georgia in the framework of
    its integration with NATO. Hence, Turkey is the most active in this
    field. Thus, a part of commanders of the Georgian armed forces have
    passed and still pass training in Turkey and Turkish officers train
    some divisions of the Georgian army including special forces units.

    In February of 2005, Georgian Defense Minister I. Okruashvili was
    on a three-day official visit to Turkey dedicated to discussion of
    prospects of closer military cooperation.

    Turkey also participates in projects for modernization of Georgian
    armed forces. Thus, on December 25 of 2005, the military airfield
    in Marneuli refurbished by Turkish armed forces was handed over to
    the Defense Ministry of Georgia. Approximately $3 million was spent
    on construction of the airfield. At the end of 2005, Turkey also
    allocated $2.1 million for needs of the Georgian army and the major
    part of this sum was spent on purchase of equipment necessary for the
    Defense Ministry of Georgia by the Turkish party. A long time before
    2005, some Turkish analysts expressed their assurance that some time
    after withdrawal of Russian military bases from Georgia their place
    would be occupied by Turkish military contingents.

    Actually, if we bear in mind that almost immediately after "reception"
    the Georgian party "leased" the Marneuli military airfield to Turkish
    military pilots and this airfield was located not very far from the
    former Russian military base in Vaziani where presence of Turkish
    military was also noticed despite that Georgian authorities promised
    Russia and Armenia that bases of any foreign countries would not
    be deployed on the site of Russian bases and that these bases would
    be used only for Georgian army, it is possible to say that Turkish
    military have stayed in Georgia for two or three years. That is
    why when quite recently it was announced that Georgian authorities
    decided to provide the military airfield in Senaki to Turkish military
    pilots allegedly for participation of Turkish military aviation in
    extinguishing of forest fires in the territory of Georgia this caused
    strong suspicions that official Tbilisi simply granted the second
    air base in its territory to Turkey under a good pretext.

    Besides, there is also information that in the framework of the
    American program of military aid to Georgia "Train and equip" Georgian
    special forces have been trained not only by Americans but also by
    their Turkish colleagues for a long time. Is it necessary to recall
    where the Georgian special forces have been found afterwards?

    These were not they who tried to surround and storm Tskhinvali,
    the capital of South Ossetia, last summer, were they? Authorities
    of Abkhazia speak not about their deployment in the Kodori Gorge,
    do they? Along with this, Abkhaz authorities do not rule out and even
    expect that Georgia may try to restart the war.

    The airfield in Senaki, for example, is located very close to
    the borders of Abkhazia and Georgia and the flight time from it to
    Abkhazia is very short. Nobody controls actions of Turkish military on
    this airfield. This means that nobody can know for sure if only the
    "fire extinguishing" airplanes of the Turkish Air Force are based
    there or purely combat aviation joins them soon and will be able to
    participate in "unnoticed" bomb dropping in Abkhazia later.

    Along with this, Turkey keeps playing the role of a kind of caring
    "curator" Abkhazia. Observers remembered that after each shout from
    Tbilisi that Georgian party would soon achieve withdrawal of the
    peacekeepers from the CIS from the zone of the Abkhaz-Georgian conflict
    various officials from Ankara arrived to Sukhumi immediately. They
    tried to persuade both the previous and the incumbent presidents
    of Abkhazia that after withdrawal of Russian soldiers forming the
    backbone of the peacekeepers of the CIS Turkish military should occupy
    their place. To maintain confidence of Abkhaz authorities in Turkey
    Ankara sometimes spoke about very serious forms of cooperation. Thus,
    on April 19 President of Abkhazia Sergei Bagapsh commented on the
    situation related to the project of restoration of a through railway
    communication through Abkhazia and said that Azerbaijan, Turkey
    and Iran manifested their interest in it lately. Reacting to this
    statement of Bagapsh on April 28 the Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry,
    which probably worried about the future of the Georgian-Azerbaijani
    relations, announced that Baku never expressed its interest in
    restoration of railway communication through Abkhazia in verbal or
    written form because it considered this to be an internal affair of
    friendly Georgia and that "Azerbaijan does not have any contacts with
    the self-proclaimed republic." It is necessary to say that there has
    been official denial of the words of Bagapsh on the part of Turkey
    and Iran then.

    Of course, it is possible that there will be no open participation of
    Turkey in possible combat operations of Georgia against Abkhazia and
    South Ossetia. Ankara definitely will not wish to receive internal
    instability because various organizations of Caucasian mountain
    ethnic groups may achieve a situation when Turkish authorities feel
    their discontent. At any rate, it is impossible to rule out that
    some Turkish military instructors may appear in this or that conflict
    zone. We can recall how many times Russian special services have had
    to arrest and even physically destroy "retired" officers of Turkish
    armed forces in Chechnya. Naturally, they came to the North Caucasus
    through Georgia. Moreover, in Tbilisi there is a kind of headquarters
    of special services that does frank espionage against Armenia and
    Russia under coverage of some British generals. It is impossible to
    rule out that "if necessary" these will be Turkish pilots who take off
    from the airfields of Marneuli and Senaki and bomb Abkhazia and South
    Ossetia. Mercenaries represent a familiar factor in regional (local)
    inter-ethnic conflicts. Turks have already got used to fulfillment
    of the role of mercenaries in the Caucasus.
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