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  • Pray for countries that believe in empty promises of a superpower

    Pray for little countries that believe in empty promises of a superpower

    The Independent - United Kingdom; Dec 29, 2006
    ROBERT FISK

    By this month, Lebanon's sectarian crisis, its attempted coups d'etat
    (by the Iranians, by the Syrians, by the US, take your pick) had
    struck even the humble journalist.

    Each year at this time, I renew my residence card. To receive my card
    from the office of "General Security" at a whacking cost of around
    pounds 1,300, I need a valid government-issued press card. To receive
    my press card, I need to present the Lebanese ministry of information
    with a valid work permit. And to receive a work permit, I have to ask
    the minister of labour for his signature on an insurance document. But
    - reader, you may have guessed - the Lebanese minister of labour is an
    elected member of the Hizbollah. And the Hizbollah - along with other
    Shia ministers - has resigned from the elected government of Fouad
    Siniora in an attempt to overthrow it, create a "national unity"
    government with more pro-Syrian ministers and, if you believe
    Siniora's supporters, prevent the UN tribunal into the murder of the
    ex-prime minister, Rafiq Hariri, last year from ever arresting the
    culprits.

    So after 30 years of legal residency in Lebanon, I now have to apply
    for a humble tourist visa each time I arrive at the airport that is
    named after the man whose assassination changed the political face of
    the country in 2005 and produced elections that, for the first time in
    decades, freed the nation from Syrian hegemony and forced Damascus to
    withdraw its 22,000 soldiers. It didn't prevent the continued murder
    of Syrian opponents in Lebanon, but those of us who live there no
    longer had to look over our shoulders when we talked politics in
    Beirut's best restaurants - or, at least, we could glance over our
    shoulders more briefly than before. The US had promised to protect
    what the State Department called Lebanon's "Cedars Revolution". Well,
    maybe.

    So when 2006 began, Lebanon felt like a safe home again - for its
    people as well as foreigners. There were "conciliation" talks in
    parliament between men with blood on their hands and men who have no
    blood on their hands (yet). General Michel Aoun, the crazed Christian
    ex-army officer who had returned from exile to found his own political
    party, the Druze leader Walid Jumblatt, Rafiq Hariri's son Saad, the
    Christian ex-militia murderer Samir Geagea, even the Hizbollah leader
    Sayed Hassan Nasrallah, gathered in central Beirut for coffee,
    croissants and manouches (a thick, toasted cheese sandwich) to discuss
    how they would work together in the new "Syrian-free" Lebanon (the
    quotation marks are a necessary precaution). The problem they had to
    confront - and preferred to avoid, especially Nasrallah - was that the
    same UN Security Council Resolution that successfully called for the
    Syrian withdrawal from Lebanon, also called for Syria's Hizbollah
    guerrilla allies, whose weapons come from Iran, to be disarmed.

    Since it had been the Hizbollah that had largely driven the Israeli
    army out of Lebanon in 2000 (and since the resolution looked, even to
    Jumblatt and others, like a US attempt to "soften up" a powerless
    Lebanon for a peace treaty with Israel), it was agreed that the future
    of Nasrallah's earnest and ferocious young men would be regarded as a
    local, Lebanese issue rather than an international demand. But the US
    and France, who had sponsored the UN resolution, continued to ask when
    they could expect the Hizbollah to abide by the UN's
    instructions. Save for a few desultory incursions across the UN's blue
    line to attack an Israeli held-district called Shebaa Farms (which was
    Lebanese under the pre-Second World War French mandate but was
    regarded by the Israelis as occupied Syria), the Hizbollah was silent;
    Nasrallah even indicated to the Lebanese government, in which it had
    two ministers, to expect a quiet summer.

    But on 12 July, it struck across the border and seized two Israeli
    soldiers, killing three others. Four other Israeli troops would be
    killed that same day when their tank was blown up by a mine. Israeli
    forces had many times captured or kidnapped Hizbollah men in Lebanon
    without eliciting a massive bombardment from the guerrillas, or any
    protest from the world. But Israel's response to its soldiers' capture
    was a bombardment of Lebanon that pulverised hundreds of villages, the
    Beirut suburbs, more than 40 road bridges, factories and civilian
    homes in the capital, along with the headquarters of the Hizbollah
    itself. The latter responded with thousands of new, long-range rockets
    into Israel, hitting Haifa and other northern cities.

    The Israelis blamed Siniora's powerless government, and the US, hoping
    that Israel could fulfil its hopeless boast that it would destroy the
    Hizbollah (and thus intimidate Iran into abandoning its nuclear
    ambitions) postponed any talk of a ceasefire. George W Bush, along, of
    course, with Tony Blair, allowed the bombs to keep falling on Lebanon,
    killing a total of 1,300 civilians and a handful of guerrillas and
    causing billions of dollars' worth of damage. So much for Washington's
    support for Lebanon's democracy.

    Hizbollah might not have won its "divine victory", but Israel
    certainly lost (Bush said the opposite, of course). Its soldiers
    fought to a standstill after one of its warships was set afire, its
    top-secret air-traffic control centre was hit by missiles, several of
    its major cities were struck by rockets and 40 Israeli troops were
    killed inside Lebanon in 36 hours. Fewer than 200 of its people were
    killed, more than half of them soldiers. The world, as usual, promised
    to rebuild Lebanon. The UN force in southern Lebanon was expanded to
    include thousands of Nato troops and the Lebanese acknowledged - at
    first - Hizbollah's courage. But as the scale of the destruction to
    the country and the millions of cluster bomblets with which the
    Israelis had soaked southern Lebanon was discovered, Hizbollah was
    held to account.

    Which was when Nasrallah began to demand the overthrow of the
    "traitor" Siniora, whose government was "owned" by the US ambassador,
    whose ministers had supposedly urged the US to arrange an Israeli
    attack on Lebanon. The Hizbollah, in alliance with Aoun's Christians
    (he probably thought he might be made president) called for the
    overthrow of the non-Shiite Lebanese cabinet. Lebanon's Christians
    were now dangerously divided between two factions: those loyal to the
    messianic Aoun and those who followed Geagea's gangster politics.
    And, to place Lebanon even closer to the ghosts of the civil war, the
    Christian minister Pierre Gemayel was killed in east Beirut last
    month. The assassins were still at work.

    If Lebanon survives into next year, it will be the only "democracy" in
    the Arab world to have done so. Afghanistan is crumbling, Iraq is
    already a mass grave. The Palestinians face their own inter-factional
    catastrophe. But desperate for the help of Syria and Iran to ease his
    trapped legions from Iraq, Bush is now urged to deal with Israel's
    Arab opponents. By year's end, the UN's tribunal investigator was no
    longer blaming Syria for Hariri's murder and the Lebanese awaited
    their second betrayal by the US: to be fed back to Damascus in return
    for salvation in Iraq. The world should watch what happens to little
    countries that believe in the promises of a superpower - and pray for
    their salvation.
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