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Sergei Minasyan: Escalation Of Georgian-Abkhazian Conflict Promises

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  • Sergei Minasyan: Escalation Of Georgian-Abkhazian Conflict Promises

    SERGEI MINASYAN: ESCALATION OF GEORGIAN-ABKHAZIAN CONFLICT PROMISES NO GOOD FOR ARMENIA

    PanARMENIAN.Net
    02.05.2008 14:31 GMT+04:00

    /PanARMENIAN.Net/ Military operations are unlikely in the
    Georgian-Abkhazian conflict zone, an Armenian political scientist said.

    "Influence from outside is great. Neither the U.S. nor Russia will
    allow Georgia to start war. Russia pressurizes deliberately, using
    the Abkhazian factor for replenishing its peacekeeping contingent.

    Meanwhile, Georgia tries to gain internal political dividends on the
    threshold of parliamentary elections.

    Saakashvili did the same last October. So, I do not think that
    increasing of the Russian contingent up to 3000 peacekeepers can act
    as detonator," Georgia expert Sergei Minasyan told a PanARMENIAN.Net
    reporter.

    "If a war starts, it will spread over to South Ossetia, thus
    jeopardizing regional security. Such a scenario promises no good for
    Armenia, taking into account the importance of communications and
    specific relations with Russia. Georgia eyes Armenia as a pro-Russian
    state. But as a matter of fact, we hold a neutral stand," he said.

    The Russian leadership has recently accused Georgia of preparing a
    springboard for attack on Abkhazia. "The number of Georgian troops
    exceeds 1500 in the upper segment of the Kodor gorge," the Russian
    Foreign Ministry said.

    Meanwhile, member of Georgian Interior Ministry Shota Utiashvili
    described it as "misinformation aimed to deteriorate the situation
    in the conflict zone."

    On April 29, the Russian Defense Ministry announced replenishment of
    peacekeeping forces in Abkhazia and South Ossetia. "Any Georgia's
    attempt to use force to resolve the conflicts will be rebuffed
    adequately and toughly," the Ministry said.
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