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  • The Main Aim Of Azerbaijan Is The Complete Isolation Of Armenia From

    THE MAIN AIM OF AZERBAIJAN IS THE COMPLETE ISOLATION OF ARMENIA FROM THE REGIONAL PROJECTS

    PanARMENIAN.Net
    31.05.2008 GMT+04:00

    USA's urge to force out Russia from the Caucasus as soon as possible
    and to gain the complete control over the Caspian and Central Asian
    energy resources first of all strikes Armenia.

    Azerbaijan does its best to isolate Armenia from all the regional
    transport projects. The GUAM Summit held in Baku, during which once
    again the issue of new transport corridor constructions was raised,
    is the evidence of the above mentioned. This time the topic of the
    discussion mostly was the rail road bridging the Black Sea with
    South Korea.

    /PanARMENIAN.Net/ The initiator of this project is the Ukraine,
    which does not exclude the possibility of Turkey, Azerbaijan and
    Georgia joining the project.

    According to the words of the Ukraine Ambassador to Azerbaijan Boris
    Klimchuk, in the future the route may be connected to the Great Silk
    Road and reach South Korea.

    It must be said, that Baku's efforts for now are blessed with
    some success, which is explained by the domination of political
    importance of all these projects. In all these projects the economics
    is definitely on secondary importance. And since Armenia in the
    political aspect is of no interest to the other parties, naturally
    the preference is given to Georgia and Azerbaijan. There is another no
    less important factor of Turkey, which in its striving to become the
    regional power-holder starts dictating its rules, which comply with
    the rules of the USA. In this context particularly the visit of the
    Turkish Prime-Minister Recep Erdoghan to the autonomous Republic of
    Nakhichevan scheduled in the beginning of June should be viewed. The
    Turkish Daily News informs that during his visit the Turkish Prime
    will meet the President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev. During the meeting
    the projects of socio-economic development of the region, such as the
    construction of the railroad Kars-Nakhichevan and the gas pipeline
    Erzrum-Nakhichevan, are going to be discussed,

    With its participation in the railroad construction
    Kars-Akhalkalaki-Baku, which is already referred to as the
    Baku-Ankara road, Georgia also has a rather significant asset in
    Armenia's isolation. Voluntarily or not Armenia becomes the hostage
    of its own policy, which is basically oriented towards Russia, as a
    guarantor of security in case of the renewal of military actions in the
    Nagorno-Karabakh or, God forbid, the tension on the Armenian-Turkish
    border.

    However, the latter is not very likely to happen, yet, excluding such
    a possibility would also be wrong.

    USA's urge to force out Russia from the Caucasus as soon as possible
    and to gain the complete control over the Caspian and Central Asian
    energy resources first of all strikes Armenia. The truth is though,
    that even if Yerevan changes its priorities in the foreign policy of
    the country, there are no guarantees that the USA will change the
    routes of the pipelines or the railroads. The only thing that can
    change the route of the pipelines is the stirring up of the militants
    of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) on the way of oil transportation.

    It should be reminded that even in the Russian projects "South Stream"
    and "North-South" Armenia has no expectations either. By the way,
    the refusal of the US government to support financial assistance to
    Kars-Baku railroad is caused not by the sympathy towards Armenia,
    but simple pragmatism. One thing is to put big money in oil pipeline,
    another thing is to put big money in a rather problematic railroad,
    whose payback, regardless Baku's assertions, is rather dubious.

    Not everything is all right with the widely publicized project of
    Nabucco. Nabucco gas pipeline International announced about the
    extension of more than 1.5 times construction costs of the gas
    pipeline reaching 7.9 milliard Euros. In the information on the
    official web site of the project, it was mentioned that the costs
    of the project of Nabucco have grown on the background of the growth
    of the prices of oil and the demand on steel. The consortium of the
    project reassessed the major expenses on the bases of the assessments
    of the supply and the delivery service for the construction of the
    gas pipeline. According to the new evaluation, the project needs 2
    million tones of steel pipes and more than 30 compressor units. The
    Nabucco gas pipeline will provide gas from Azerbaijan and Central Asia
    to the countries of the European Union. From Central Asia to Nabucco
    the gas may be delivered by planned Trans-Caspian gas pipeline, which
    will go under the Caspian. The pipeline, with an initial capacity
    of about 8 milliard cubic meter per year, is planned to be ready by
    2012. The first gas supplies must start in 2013, if it finished by
    then. The growth of the oil prices will continue, dollar still drops,
    and in the present conditions of the world economics, the project may
    simply be postponed for an uncertain period. The construction of the
    oil pipeline Baku-Ceyhan forewent 10-year negotiations, and without
    Heydar Aliyev it would not be build at all. The current President
    of Azerbaijan, unfortunately, or fortunately, has not inherited the
    connections and the foresight of his father.
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