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  • Moscow's Troubles In The Caucasus

    MOSCOW'S TROUBLES IN THE CAUCASUS
    By Uwe Klussmann and Matthias Schepp

    Spiegel Online
    http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0 ,1518,640252,00.html
    Aug 4 2009
    Germany

    The ongoing ethnic and political tensions between the Caspian
    Sea and the Black Sea are becoming a threat to the leadership in
    Moscow. Although the Kremlin garnered respect as a result of its war
    with Georgia one year ago, the situation remains explosive in other
    parts of the Caucasus.

    The old man has tea served to his guests. A hot wind blows off the
    Caspian Sea into his apartment above Makhachkala, the capital of the
    Republic of Dagestan. To the south lie the slopes of the Caucasus,
    the mountain range between the Caspian Sea and the Black Sea, a
    region hotly contested by major powers for centuries. Ali Aliyev,
    not wanting his guests to feel uncomfortable, closes the window and
    turns on the air conditioner.

    The 77-year-old is better known by his artist's and war name Adallo. In
    one of the wistful poems for which he is known, he writes: "Alone in
    the festival of life, I smile at everything that touches my heart." The
    poet has a long beard, as white as the shirt he is wearing, and the
    seam of his gray trousers rests on his bare feet.

    "I can only laugh when I hear that some call me the bin Laden of the
    Caucasus," he says, as he digs for an international list of wanted
    terrorists, which includes both his name and that of the founder of
    the al-Qaida terrorist network, who is currently in hiding. "I can't
    even read Arabic." In Moscow, he is considered the chief ideologue of
    radical Islam within Russian terroritory -- a dangerous troublemaker.

    In the 1990s, Adallo joined Chechen leader Shamil Basayev's underground
    movement in the nearby mountains. Basayev was so ruthless he would even
    take hostages in hospitals, just as his collaborators would later take
    children hostage at a school in Beslan. Adallo has been under house
    arrest since he returned to Dagestan from exile in Turkey. His views
    are apparently unchanged: He still believes that an act of terror
    like the one that was committed in Beslan in 2004 -- in which, in
    addition to the 31 terrorists, 334 schoolchildren, parents, teachers
    and soldiers died -- is justified. "The Russians have killed far more
    innocent people in their war against Chechnya," he says.

    The Dream of an Islamic Caucasus

    Adallo is considered the intellectual father of the men who dream of
    an Islamic Caucasus, of a caliphate under the rule of Sharia law that
    would stretch across the region's current borders. Underground fighters
    in the region are now killing representatives of the government on
    a daily basis, while Moscow fights back just as brutally.

    FROM THE MAGAZINE .Find out how you can reprint this DER SPIEGEL
    article in your publication. .These are the incidents that occurred
    last week alone: On Sunday, a suicide bomber killed himself and six
    others in front of a concert hall in the Chechen capital Grozny;
    the next day, police shot eight suspected terrorists in a forest near
    Makhachkala; on Tuesday, four rebels died in a battle in the southern
    Chechen mountains, and that evening a bomb exploded near the house
    of the mayor of Magas, the capital of the Republic of Ingushetia.

    In the first five months of this year, the Caucasus has already seen
    more than 300 attacks, in which 75 police officers and 48 civilians
    died. The authorities, for their part, have "liquidated 112 bandits,"
    as Russian President Dmitry Medvedev announced.

    The region is "one of the Kremlin's biggest problems," Alexei
    Malashenko, a security expert with the Moscow Carnegie Center warned
    lasted Wednesday. On the same day Gennady Saizev, the former head
    of the Alpha Group counterterrorism unit, said that violence is
    "increasingly threatening the entire nation."

    >From Adallo's perspective, when someone armed with a submachine gun
    forces his way into your apartment, you should be allowed to defend
    yourself with an ax. The apartment, in his metaphor, is the Caucasus,
    and Russia the intruder. He mentions former French President Charles
    de Gaulle, who he says was his favorite Western politician, because
    he gave Algeria its independence, but only after his country had
    waged a brutal colonial war. "Here in the Caucasus, the train has
    also left the station for the Russians."

    A Tinderbox in the EU's Backyard

    It has been a year since Moscow waged a war in the region -- against
    Georgia. The conflict focused the world's attention on the volatile
    Caucasus region once again. It was a war over South Ossetia, a small
    separatist republic that declared its independence in 1991 and over
    which Tbilisi was attempting to regain control. Russia crushed the
    Georgian army in the five-day war. But what does the victory mean
    for the rest of the region?

    DER SPIEGEL Caption: Sau For Russia, it has meant dealing with pressure
    coming from two sides. In Russia's Caucasus republics of Dagestan,
    Ingushetia and Chechnya, Moscow is now under more pressure than ever
    to prove itself as a peacekeeping power that can guarantee security,
    create prosperity and rein in Islamists. But it must also increase
    its attractiveness for the countries south of the Caucasus range,
    so that Armenia, currently its most loyal ally in the region, and
    oil-rich Azerbaijan, which has managed to walk a fine line between
    Moscow and Washington, do not follow in Georgia's footsteps and fall
    under American influence.

    Nowhere in the world are so many conflicts raging in such a small
    region than in the Caucasus, where roughly 40 ethnic groups speaking
    50 different languages come together in an area about the size of
    Sweden. The region is home to only 26 million people, and yet they
    are separated by a total of 3,500 kilometers (2,180 miles) of borders,
    some of them contested.

    Six wars have raged in the Caucasus since the collapse of the Soviet
    Union, making it the most dangerous region in proximity to the
    European Union.

    It is precisely through the Caucasus that gas coming from Central
    Asia and Azerbaijan is expected to flow to Europe one day, bypassing
    Russia. The pipeline is less than 100 kilometers from the border of
    South Ossetia, the bone of contention in the most recent war, in a
    region where Moscow's tanks are now stationed.

    All of these factors contribute to a general sense of nervousness
    among the major powers when it comes to the Caucasus. Russian President
    Medvedev had hardly finished meeting with US President Barack Obama in
    Moscow in early July before he demonstratively hurried off to South
    Ossetia. A short time later, US Vice President Joe Biden met with
    Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili in Tbilisi to assure him of
    Washington's support. At the same time, the United States sent the
    USS Stout, a destroyer, to the Georgian coast, while Russia amassed
    8,500 troops for a military exercise dubbed "Caucasus 2009."

    "No One Can Sleep Soundly Here Anymore"

    This raises the question of who will control the Caucasus in the
    future. The West? The Russians? Islam?

    With its speedy victory over Georgia last year, Moscow garnered
    respect in the region, where strength is seen as the highest virtue,
    and where in fact it has almost cult-like status. Russia has gained
    two protectorates, the breakaway Georgian provinces of South Ossetia
    and Abkhazia, and yet its actions elsewhere in the region have created
    a credibility problem. Even though the Kremlin has recognized South
    Ossetia and Abkhazia as independent states, it continues to suppress
    similar separatist movements at home. In the case of Chechnya,
    Moscow's ventures have come at the cost of two wars and more than
    100,000 presumed dead.

    NEWSLETTER Sign up for Spiegel Online's daily newsletter and get the
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    .."Just take a look around in Dagestan and in the Caucasus," says
    Adallo, the poet, in Makhachkala. "No one can sleep soundly here
    anymore, neither the people nor those in the government."

    Eight weeks ago, a sniper shot Dagestan's interior minister in
    the heart while he was attending a wedding. He was reputed to have
    participated directly in the torture of underground fighters, and
    after he was killed Moscow praised him as a "Russian hero." The mayor
    of Makhachkala, also a man with a dubious reputation, has survived
    15 attempts on his life, and he now runs the lively coastal city from
    a wheelchair.

    A new concrete road runs from Makhachkala into the mountains
    southwest of the city, enabling Russian tanks and Dagestani police
    patrols to move more quickly as they hunt down insurgents. There are
    an estimated 1,000 rebels in this region alone, men who have been
    unable to find jobs in the Caucasus and, while looking for work in
    neighboring Russia, are consistently referred to as "black asses,"
    or second-class citizens. Such discrimination only fuels the spirit
    of resistance among the combative people of the mountains.

    Part 2: Russia's Poorhouse

    Troops from the Russian Interior Ministry and the FSB, Russia's
    domestic intelligence agency, have surrounded the village of Gubden,
    and checkpoints dot nearby roads. Indignant local residents produce
    photos of the bodies of two men that show the signs of horrific
    torture. Meanwhile, the evening news on the government-run television
    station reports that the two were underground fighters killed in a
    gun battle with police.

    The killings may have been an act of revenge for an incident that
    happened a few days earlier, when police were ambushed and shot
    to death. It is difficult to differentiate between victims and
    perpetrators in the Caucasus. Some underground fighters behave
    like common criminals when they demand protection money from local
    residents. The police and intelligence agents, on the other hand,
    have not shied away from killing innocent people so that they can
    report successes to Moscow in the hunt for terrorists.

    A Heavy Burden on the Kremlin's Budget

    On the surface Achulgo, a mountain stronghold perched at 2,100 meters
    (6,890 feet) above sea level, seems peaceful enough. An elderly
    woman is selling postcards depicting a likeness of Imam Shamil,
    who is still revered as a hero by the mountain peoples today. Shamil
    resisted the Russian army in the 19th century, when Moscow subjugated
    the Caucasus. In 1855, the war of conquest consumed one-sixth of
    the budget of czarist Russia, costing Moscow more than it cost the
    British to subjugate India.

    The region still places a heavy burden on the Kremlin's budget
    today. Moscow has established a garrison for 3,000 soldiers in the town
    of Botlikh, in a valley near the border with Chechnya and Georgia. In
    the town square, the face of Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin
    is displayed on a poster that promises gas and electricity to local
    residents. Both services have in fact been provided, and yet the
    town's 11,000 residents are still unhappy. The garrison takes up
    pastureland they need for their cows and, worse yet, the Russians
    threaten traditional customs. One of the town elders complains
    bitterly about the wives of Russian officers, who do their shopping
    in the local market "wearing short skirts or men's clothing." By
    men's clothing he means trousers.

    The affluence local residents had anticipated, on the other hand,
    has yet to materialize. During the Soviet era, Botlikh was known
    for its apricots. Today, however, the town's small juice factory is
    shuttered, its business ruined by the high cost of shipping products to
    Russian cities. The Kremlin spends billions in aid on the Caucasus,
    and Moscow covers 80 percent of Dagestan's national budget. The
    Caucasus is Russia's poorhouse.

    It is a 1,300-kilometer journey from Dagestan to Abkhazia, on the
    western flank of the mountain chain, along the M29 transit road. The
    cities along the way illustrate the waning influence of the central
    government in Moscow. Ramzan Kadyrov, the Chechen dictator installed
    by Putin, has built the largest mosque in the Caucasus in the capital
    Grozny. His word is law, and he rules the republic as if Chechnya
    were an independent country. It was in Chechnya that activist Natalya
    Estemirova sought to expose the human rights violations of the Kadyrov
    regime -- until she was murdered last month.

    The "Côte d'Azur of the Soviet Union"

    Ingushetian President Yunus-Bek Yevkurov was severely injured in
    a bomb attack in June near the capital Magas. The Russian security
    forces there have barricaded themselves behind a 10-meter fence meant
    to protect against rebel grenade attacks. Farther along the road,
    near Vladikavkaz, the capital of North Ossetia, is Beslan, the site
    of the 2004 hostage crisis. The only city in the region with an air
    of hope about it is the Black Sea resort Sochi, the future site of
    the 2014 Winter Olympics.

    It is a three-hour drive from Sochi to Sukhumi, the capital of
    Abkhazia, which Moscow now treats as an independent country, but only
    to irritate Tbilisi. In the government building, a white Stalin-era
    structure surrounded by palm trees and renovated hotels, a stocky man
    with a high forehead says that he feels wedged "between the little
    empire of Georgia and the big empire of Russia." Stanislav Lakoba is
    the coordinator of security services in the Abkhazian government. A
    historian, he is viewed with suspicion in Moscow for having written
    several books in which he refutes the Russian version of history,
    according to which Abkhazia joined the czardom "voluntarily" in 1810.

    Lakoba has long been considered a mastermind of the Abkhazian
    independence movement. Unlike the bitterly poor South Ossetians,
    who want to be united with North Ossetia on the Russian side of the
    border, the idea of real independence appeals to many of Abkhazia's
    200,000 residents. A critical press there finds fault with Moscow's
    dominant role in the 220-kilometer coastal strip, which, as the "Côte
    d'Azur of the Soviet Union," once attracted 2 million tourists a year.

    Since Lakoba's boss, Abkhazian President Sergei Bagapsh, announced
    his support for a plan to allow foreigners to buy local real estate,
    the threat of a fire sale to Russians has been the main topic
    of conversation in the city's cafes. "We could soon end up like
    the Indians, who sold Manhattan for cheap necklaces," warns the
    editor-in-chief of a local daily newspaper.

    In his book "The History of Abkhazia," Lakoba describes how his
    homeland was afflicted by forced displacement, punitive expeditions and
    bloody ethnic cleansing, sometimes initiated by Moscow and sometimes
    by Tbilisi. One of the victims was Lakoba's great-uncle Nestor. He was
    the leader of the Abkhaz Autonomous Republic when Georgian Communist
    leader Lavrentiy Beria poisoned him in Tbilisi in 1936, simultaneously
    poisoning the relationship between Abkhazians and Georgians.

    Lakoba sums up the policies of the Bolsheviks' predecessors when
    he writes: "Czarism needed Abkhazia without Abkhazians." But which
    Abkhazia needs Putinism today? Russia's strongman, who wants to prevent
    NATO barracks on Georgian soil from encroaching on his summer home in
    Sochi, treats Abkhazia and South Ossetia as his pawn against foreign
    influence. Lakoba, on the other hand, envisions Abkhazia as a "small,
    neutral and cosmopolitan state."

    Vestiges of a Civil War

    The road to the impoverished provincial city of Gali, 70 kilometers
    south of Sukhumi, is lined with burned-out houses, vestiges of the
    1990s civil war. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Georgian
    national guard and paramilitary units attacked Abkhazia, which was
    seeking independence and was supported in its effort by Moscow. The
    conflict claimed the lives of 8,000 soldiers and civilians on both
    sides and forced 240,000 people to flee Abkhazia.

    Because of that civil war, not even the smallest political faction can
    imagine reintegration into Georgia today. The "territorial integrity
    of Georgia" demanded by Americans and Europeans is currently nothing
    but an empty phrase.

    A road dotted with deep potholes, with more oxen on it than people,
    leads from Gali to the border between Abkhazia and Georgia. At the
    border checkpoint, uniformed Abkhazians serve in rusty metal huts,
    reinforced by Russian FSB border guards living in gray tents surrounded
    by a barbed-wire fence.

    German prisoners of war built the bridge spanning the Inguri River
    into Georgia proper after World War II. The murky water flows between
    the warring Caucasus republics. Georgian villages on the opposite
    bank shimmer, mirage-like, in the sweltering early afternoon heat.

    A hunched-over, 80-year-old woman wearing oversized rubber boots is
    trudging toward the bridge. She lives in a village on the Abkhazian
    side and is returning from a hospital stay in the nearby Georgian
    city of Zugdidi. The woman is too poor to pay the fare of one Lari,
    or about 42 cents, to cross the bridge on a horse-drawn cart. But
    then help arrives, as a convoy of four white, armor-clad jeeps flying
    the blue flag of the European Union slowly approaches the bridge. An
    officer from Lithuania gets out of one of the jeeps, speaks to the
    woman and gives her the Lari.

    Since a Russian veto in the United Nations Security Council barred
    UN troops from patrolling in Abkhazia, and since the Organization for
    Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), yielding to pressure from
    the Russians, abandoned its missions in Georgia proper, Abkhazia and
    Ossetia, the EU has been providing the only international observers
    in the crisis-stricken region. The EU contingent patrolling the
    170-kilometer Georgian border with Abkhazia consists of 69 men from
    13 nations, including 22 Germans.

    Carsten Frommann, a blonde senior police detective from the eastern
    German city of Dessau who has already served in Sudan, gives the
    order for the convoy to continue along its route. "In case of frontal
    attack, all vehicles are to drive in reverse, in case of an attack
    at the center, the vehicles at the front should move forward and the
    ones at the back should move backward," he recommends, before the
    group reaches the "dirty triangle," a few square kilometers along
    the border zone where smugglers have been causing trouble lately.

    Since June, the EU observers have referred to the area as the "bloody
    triangle." In one incident, a mine exploded, killing the driver of
    the mission's ambulance. But everything is going smoothly today,
    with the exception of a small incident in Paluri, a village of
    1,000 inhabitants, where an angry crowd forces the convoy to come
    to a standstill. The villagers have been without electricity for
    one-and-a-half months. "There are those here who would like us to be
    in charge," says Wolfram Hoffmann, a retired colonel in the German
    military, the Bundeswehr.

    Part 3: What Has Russia Gained from the War?

    Just past the Georgian border crossing, along the Inguri River,
    there is a large billboard depicting a likeness of Georgian President
    Saakashvili, wearing a pinstriped suit and a red tie, and the slogan:
    "We are Uniting Georgia." Saakashvili, who came to power in Georgia's
    Rose Revolution in 2003, has reinvigorated the Georgian economy
    through privatization and with the help of foreign aid money.

    He has built roads, curbed police corruption and ensured a relatively
    reliable supply of power, water and gas. But none of this counts
    at the moment. Since his attempt to reintegrate South Ossetia by
    force failed, his opponents have taken to calling him "Mikheil the
    Destroyer." Nevertheless, his decline in popularity has not brought
    him down yet -- despite Moscow's fervent hopes that it would -- because
    the West continues to support him and the opposition is deeply divided.

    What has Russia gained from the 2008 war in Georgia? It has secured
    control over two small pieces of territory in the southern Caucasus,
    with a combined land area slightly larger than Jamaica and recognized
    only by Nicaragua. Much of the remaining southern Caucasus, with its
    natural resources and energy corridors, is choosing its own path,
    while lawlessness in the northern Caucasus becomes more and more
    pervasive by the day. "The Kremlin hasn't the slightest idea what to
    do next in this region," says Moscow political scientist Malashenko.

    It is only on the Armenian border with Turkey, in the village of
    Lusarat at the foot of snow-covered Mt. Ararat, that the farmers
    appreciate the Russians, referring to them as "brothers who protect
    us." Moscow's troops are protecting the Armenian border, and Russia
    is training Armenian officers and supplying the country with almost
    all of the natural gas it needs. It owns the pipelines in Armenia,
    most of the country's power plants, the largest mobile network operator
    and even the government-run savings banks.

    But 80 percent of Armenia's exports pass through Georgia. Because of
    the Russian-Georgian war, the government in Yerevan has recognized
    how economically isolated the mountainous country is, prompting it
    to cautiously approach reconciliation with archenemy Turkey. It has
    also moved forward with plans to reopen the border with Azerbaijan,
    closed since the 1993 war between the two countries. If that happens,
    a new bridge could be built across the river that forms the border
    at Lusarat, opening up a new point of entry for tourists and trade.

    A village resident sits at a table in the shade of an apple
    tree. Whenever he receives a call on his mobile phone, he hears a
    curt voice, instead of the standard ring tone, that says: "Comrade,
    pick up the phone. Stalin wants to talk to you." The humble outpost
    of Lusarat is all that is left, on the border with a NATO country,
    to bear witness to the empire of the former Soviet dictator, a native
    Georgian. Every year, on a day set aside to honor the border troops,
    the villagers embrace the Russian soldiers and bring them apricots
    and apples.

    If Moscow had its way, every village in the Caucasus would be like
    Lusarat. But not even at the Kremlin does anyone believe that the
    past can repeat itself.

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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