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Armenia's GDP Change Can Vary From -3 To +3 Per Cent In 2010

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  • Armenia's GDP Change Can Vary From -3 To +3 Per Cent In 2010

    ARMENIA'S GDP CHANGE CAN VARY FROM -3 TO +3 PER CENT IN 2010

    /PanARMENIAN.Net/
    11.02.2010 15:22 GMT+04:00

    /PanARMENIAN.Net/ If the second wave of the crisis does not hit the
    world economy, Armenia's GDP in 2010 would change from -3% to +3 per
    cent, Manuk Hergnyan , chairman of the "Economy and Values" research
    center told a press conference on February 11 in Yerevan. However,
    according to him, the inflation rate within the current year can vary
    from 6 to 9 per cent.

    The national currency exchange rate is not likely to undergo sharp
    depreciations. "Economy and Values" research center proposed to
    the Government of Armenia to develop a strategic model of stable
    development of the country.

    "We need to develop a model of sustainable development, instead of
    having the economy, where the money remittances fuel the construction
    sphere, experiencing problems with deficit," he said.

    In addition, according to Hergnyan, long-term strategy of Armenia
    cannot rely on the fact that the country has open communications, since
    "they can close". The model of sustainable development should be based
    on the lessons Armenia learnt in a crisis, as well as on technological
    potential, on the knowledge-based economy. Budgeted growth is expected
    at 1.2 per cent, inflation is projected at 4 1.5 per cent.
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