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TBILISI: Who Will Benefit From Good Turkish-Armenian Relations?

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  • TBILISI: Who Will Benefit From Good Turkish-Armenian Relations?

    WHO WILL BENEFIT FROM GOOD TURKISH-ARMENIAN RELATIONS?

    The Messenger
    Feb 16 2010
    Georgia

    In an article on histmag.org Polish analyst Kamil Janicki discusses
    who will benefit from improved relations between Turkey and Armenia.

    He says that Russia is interested in increasing its influence in the
    South Caucasus and therefore Armenia's success is in its interest as
    Armenia is its main ally in the region. Opening the Turkish-Armenian
    border will facilitate Armenia's economic growth.

    The EU is also interested in improving the situation in the region
    through stabilising it. However we should remember that Russia
    imposed war on Georgia to hinder this country's development as a
    transit entity. Janicki highlights that there is also a conflict
    of interest between Turkey and Russia, in particular over Abkhazia
    but also in terms of both countries' involvement in the region, but
    he acknowledges that the traditional Turkey-Iran-Russia triangle,
    which has functioned as a diplomatic entity since the 18th century,
    could still be seen as a going political concern.

    The analyst thinks that the Parliaments of both Turkey and Armenia
    will ratify the border opening documents. The only thing which might
    stop this would be further confrontation in Karabakh.
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