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  • Azerbaijan Leader, Under Fire, Hopes U.S. Visit Improves Image

    Azerbaijan Leader, Under Fire, Hopes U.S. Visit Improves Image
    By C. J. CHIVERS

    The New York Times
    April 23, 2006 Sunday
    Late Edition - Final

    Next week, after years of waiting for an unequivocal nod of
    Western approval, President Ilham H. Aliyev of Azerbaijan will
    fly to Washington to be received at the White House, a visit his
    administration hopes will lift his stature.

    Being a guest of President Bush has been billed in Mr. Aliyev's circle
    as a chance for the 44-year-old president -- dogged by allegations of
    corruption, election rigging and repression of opposition figures --
    to gain more international legitimacy.

    "We have long waited for this visit," said Ali Gasanov, a senior
    presidential adviser. "Now it has been scheduled, and we hope that
    we will be able to discuss global issues."

    For President Bush, who has made democracy promotion a prominent
    theme of his foreign policy, Mr. Aliyev's visit could prove tricky.

    Mr. Aliyev's invitation arrived during a period of increasing
    diplomatic difficulties between the United States and both Russia
    and Iran, countries that border Azerbaijan.

    But while Azerbaijan's strategic location could hardly be better and
    its relations with the United States have mostly been warm, no leader
    in the region more fully embodies the conflicting American objectives
    in the former Soviet Union than its president.

    Mr. Aliyev is a secular Muslim politician who is steering oil and gas
    to Western markets and who has given political and military support to
    the Iraq war. But his administration has never held a clean election
    and has used riot police to crush antigovernment demonstrations.

    The invitation, made last week, has raised eyebrows in the former
    Soviet world, where Mr. Bush's calls for democratization have increased
    tensions between opposition movements and the entrenched autocrats.

    Opposition leaders have long said the United States' desires to
    diversify Western energy sources and to encourage democratic growth
    have collided in Azerbaijan. By inviting Mr. Aliyev to the White
    House, they say, Mr. Bush has made a choice: oil and location now
    trump other concerns.

    Ali Kerimli, leader of the Popular Front of Azerbaijan, noted that
    when Mr. Aliyev was elected in 2003 in a vote deemed neither free nor
    fair, the White House withheld an invitation, awaiting improvement
    by Azerbaijan in promoting civil society and recognizing human rights.

    "It is difficult for Azerbaijan's democratic forces to understand
    what changed," said Mr. Kerimli, who was beaten by the police as were
    several thousand demonstrators during a crackdown on a protest over
    fraudulent parliamentary elections last fall. The demonstration had
    been peaceful until the police rushed in with clubs.

    "I think the White House must explain what has happened when three
    years ago Aliyev was not wanted for a reception in the White House, and
    now he falsifies another election and is received," Mr. Kerimli said.

    American officials insist nothing has changed, and say Mr. Aliyev
    has been invited for what they call a "working visit," during which
    he will be urged to liberalize his government and its economy, which
    is tightly controlled by state officials and clans.

    "If we are going to elevate our relationship with Azerbaijan to
    something that is qualitatively different, then there has to be
    progress on democratic and market reforms," a senior State Department
    official said. "I am sure we will talk in these clear and blunt terms."

    The United States' relationship with Azerbaijan rests on three
    principal issues: access to energy resources, international security
    cooperation, and democratic and economic change.

    On the first two issues, the United States has made clear it is
    satisfied. Mr. Aliyev has supported new pipelines to pump Caspian
    hydrocarbons away from Russia and Iran to Western customers, and
    provided troops to United States-led military operations in Afghanistan
    and Iraq.

    Azerbaijan also grants overflight rights to the American military and
    is cooperating with a Pentagon-sponsored modernization of a former
    Soviet airfield that could be used by American military planes.

    Mr. Aliyev often welcomes foreign delegations to Baku, the capital,
    describing in smooth English his efforts to push his nation toward
    Western models of democracy and free markets.

    But Azerbaijan has remained undemocratic. No election under Mr.
    Aliyev or his late father, Heydar Aliyev, has been judged free or
    fair by the main international observers. Instead, fraud and abuse
    of state resources for chosen candidates have been widespread.

    Ilham Aliyev's government maintains a distinctly Soviet-era state
    television network and has elevated Heydar Aliyev to the status of
    a minor personality cult figure.

    Moreover, Azerbaijan's government is often described as one of
    the world's most corrupt. A criminal case now in federal court in
    New York against three international speculators describes enormous
    shakedowns and bribes in the late 1990's at Socar, Azerbaijan's state
    oil company. Mr. Aliyev was a Socar vice president at the time.

    Last year the Azerbaijani government showed signs of paranoia,
    arresting several people shortly before the parliamentary election
    and accusing them of plotting an armed coup.

    Public evidence for the charges has been scarce, and a lawyer for two
    of the men held in solitary confinement for months since -- Farhad
    Aliyev, the former minister of economics, and his brother Rafiq --
    has urged Congress to raise issues of their treatment when Mr. Aliyev
    comes to Washington. (The president is not related to the accused men.)

    American officials say that Azerbaijan has been liberalizing slowly,
    and evolving into a more responsible state. But given Mr. Aliyev's
    uneven record and the allegations against him, his visit has raised
    fresh questions about the degree to which American standards are
    malleable.

    "Russian public opinion, when it looks at the United States policy in
    Azerbaijan, cannot ignore the fact that the United States has a desire
    not in favor of democracy but in favor of profits and geopolitical
    domination," said Sergei Markov, director of the Institute for
    Political Studies here and a Kremlin adviser.

    Mr. Markov and others have noted that the West has penalized Belarus
    for police crackdowns after tainted elections last month.

    "This is one of the reasons that Russian public opinion is very
    suspicious of United States policies in the former Soviet political
    sphere, and its propaganda about democracy," Mr. Markov said.

    "Ilham Aliyev will be in the White House not because he promotes
    democracy," Mr. Markov said. "He will be in the White House because
    he controls oil."

    In Armenia, Mr. Aliyev's invitation has also generated interest.

    Armenia fought Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh, a wedge of territory
    within Azerbaijan's boundaries that each country claims. The conflict
    has been frozen for several years, but Mr. Aliyev's recent statements
    have often been bellicose.

    "The visit at this time should not be viewed as appreciation of their
    democratic or other policies," Vartan Oskanian, Armenia's foreign
    minister, said via e-mail.
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