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Paper paints gloomy picture for Kocharian over Karabakh in Bucharest

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  • Paper paints gloomy picture for Kocharian over Karabakh in Bucharest

    Paper paints gloomy picture for Armenian leader over Karabakh in Bucharest

    Aykakan Zhamanak, Yerevan
    30 May 06

    Text of Anna Akopyan report by Armenian newspaper Aykakan Zhamanak on
    30 May entitled "Do not suppress those who are suppressed"

    We have already reported that Armenian officials, who are engaged in
    the Karabakh settlement, feel rather tense ahead of the Bucharest
    meeting between Robert Kocharyan and Ilham Aliyev. This situation
    promises nothing good and gives ground to suppose that a document put
    on the negotiating table is not so much advantageous to Armenia.

    Although Foreign Minister Vardan Oskanyan on 28 May told journalists
    that currently the negotiations were far from being close to the
    situation when it would be possible to sign a document in Bucharest.
    Oskanyan said that he was aware of a one-page document that might be
    put on the table for the presidents in which not all the fixed
    principles were agreed on. Thus, despite the minister's refusal, there
    is information that a document just on those principles will be put
    for the signing by Kocharyan and Aliyev in Bucharest.

    That is to say, this will be an intermediate or a frame document on
    Karabakh settlement. But the most important are the principles
    existing in the document which have not been agreed on. As known,
    first, they mean the number of the Azerbaijani occupied territories
    which should be returned in the first stage. Anyway, clash happened
    in Rambouillet [Karabakh talks in Paris in February] around this
    problem. According to trustworthy sources, at that time, the
    Azerbaijani president demanded that Kalbacar should also be returned
    and following this Kocharyan refused to continue the talks. After
    that several developments took place over this period of time which
    created an impression that the problem was settled. This impression
    was further strengthened when Armenian president avoided meetings with
    Aliyev in Vilnius and Paris and then he finally agreed to meet him in
    Bucharest.

    But Oskanyan's statement from 28 May gives ground to suppose that the
    Kalbcar problem is not out of the agenda and may be discussed again in
    Bucharest.

    Thus, if there is such a danger, it would be highly logical if
    Kocharyan avoids this meeting, too. Certainly, this is possible but in
    order for this happen, it is necessary to get at lest supported by the
    OSCE Minsk Group co-chair [of Russia], Yuriy Merzlyakov. But
    Kocharyan seems to be deprived of this now. That is to say, it is not
    ruled out that Kocharyan tried to avoid the Bucharest meeting as well
    but failed. In turn, this may cause a tension and anxiety for the
    Armenian side. And if we add to this the expectations of the world
    community, the OSCE Minsk Group mediators and the US president that
    the sides to the conflict will come to an agreement in Bucharest and
    sign a frame document, then the anxiety of the officials involved in
    the Karabakh talks is obvious.

    The situation is becoming tenser against the backdrop of developing
    warm relations between US President George Bush and Azerbaijani
    President Ilham Aliyev. Incidentally, the US president did not lose an
    opportunity to emphasize not only warmth of those relations but also
    their importance once again. In particular, US President George Bush
    congratulated Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev on the Day of
    Republic and called their meeting in the White House as a historical
    opportunity to develop common interests in the sphere of security,
    energy and democracy. But this is not all. According to [Baku-based]
    Zerkalo, Bush also mentioned that he is impatiently waiting for
    consistent actions from the Azerbaijani president towards a peaceful
    settlement to the Karabakh conflict.

    Agree that the US president's "impatience" especially in the message
    to the Azerbaijani president is not the best option for the
    development of events for Armenia. But Foreign Minister Vardan
    Oskanyan says that it is not a US style to bargain in such a
    situation. In that case, why did George Bush not congratulate
    Kocharyan on the Day of First Republic and did not share his
    impatience with Kocharyan, too?

    Is this not a moral pressure put on Kocharyan before the two
    presidents' meeting in Bucharest? Incidentally, about pressures.
    Yesterday Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov told journalists that
    it was not correct to put pressure on the sides to the Karabakh
    settlement. "The sides initiated talks for the settlement of the
    conflict and putting pressure on them will backfire," he said.
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