FOREIGN EXPERTS: NAGORNO-KARABAKH IS BY FAR THE MOST LIKELY PLACE FOR WAR TO BREAK OUT

http://en.apa.az/news.php?id=162760
29 Dec 2011

Baku. Habil Suleymanzadeh - APA. Joshua Kucher, the analyst of
euroasianet.org, conducted a poll among experts.

APA reports that answering the question "Where is war most likely to
break out in 2012" the experts first named Nagorno Karabakh conflict.

The analysis entitled "Predicting Conflict in 2012: Karabakh?

Tajikistan? Uzbekistan? Iran?" says that the war may break out as a
result of a miscalculation or provocation.

In Nagorno Karabakh, Alex Jackson sees a continuation of tension,
but no escalation: "Along the Line of Contact in Karabakh, the grim
litany of skirmishes and deaths by sniper fire will rumble along. Both
Armenia and Azerbaijan are now deploying drones along the LoC, so
expect the conflict to gain a new, aerial dimension (we've seen the
first signs already). Sabre-rattling, military exercises and soaring
defence budgets will all continue, but - as previously - don't expect
a new shooting war."

Experts consider that Nagorno-Karabakh is by far the most likely
place for war to break out.

Central Asia, Georgia and Iran are also regarded as the regions with
the possibility of conflict




From: A. Papazian