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  • Kocharian Disagrees With The United States: American Expert Says The

    KOCHARIAN DISAGREES WITH THE UNITED STATES: AMERICAN EXPERT SAYS THERE WON'T BE A COLOR REVOLUTION IN ARMENIA
    by Yuri Simonian
    Translated by Elena Leonova

    Source: Nezavisimaya Gazeta, No. 81, April 19, 2007, p. 6
    Agency WPS
    What the Papers Say Part A (Russia)
    April 20, 2007 Friday

    An update on the political situation in Armenia; Armenian President
    Robert Kocharian has completed a three-day official visit to Egypt.

    The visit included a joint business forum, where the two sides signed
    a free trade agreeement and some banking sector agreements. Kocharian
    expressed strong disagreement with US policy in the Middle East.

    Armenian President Robert Kocharian has completed a three-day official
    visit to Egypt, where he met with President Hosni Mubarak, Prime
    Minister Ahmed Nazif, parliamentary speaker Fath Surur, and Amr Musa,
    secretary-general of the League of Arab States. The visit included
    a joint business forum, where the two sides signed a free trade
    agreeement and some banking sector agreements; Kocharian described
    this as highly significant. "The level of Armenian-Egyptian economic
    relations should correspond to the high level of bilateral political
    cooperation," said Kocharian, adding a diplomatic remark to the
    effect that the economies of Armenia and Egypt are complementary,
    not obstacles to each other.

    Kocharian made some clearer statements at his meeting with League
    of Arab States envoys in Cairo. Firstly, he emphasized that Armenia
    always supports the position of Arab states in all international
    organizations. Secondly, he expressed strong disagreement with US
    policy in the Middle East: "The Iraq problem should be resolved
    by gradually reducing the foreign military presence, establishing
    dialogue between ethnic groups within Iraq, and involving interested
    countries in a peace regulation process." Kocharian said that the
    war had also had an adverse impact on the Armenian community in Iraq.

    According to Kocharian, the situation shows that the West's hopes
    have not been justified, and that simple solutions should not have
    been applied to a country as complex as Iraq. Kocharian emphasized
    that Armenia has not participated in military operations against
    Baghdad, and its current mission in Iraq is humanitarian, consisting
    of teachers and drivers.

    Before leaving for Belgrade to take part in Nagorno-Karabakh
    negotiations, Foreign Minister Vardan Oskanian described Kocharian's
    visit to Egypt as extremely important in both political and economic
    terms: "Armenia is one of the few countries in the non-Arab world
    which has signed a memorandum of understanding with the League of
    Arab States."

    Kocharian's statements are unlikely to please Washington, which seems
    to be at a loss regarding what to do about the expanding cracks
    in relations with Yerevan. On the one hand, Armenia is annoyingly
    recalcitrant on relations with Azerbaijan and Turkey; on the other,
    there's a powerful Armenian lobby group in America. Thus far, the
    United States has chosen to use mild economic pressure and insistent
    advice about ensuring that the May 12 election is democratic, along
    with a veiled warning about cutting humanitarian aid.

    Daniel Fried, Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian
    Affairs, spoke out strongly last week. Radio Liberty reports that
    at a press roundtable with foreign journalists in Washington, Fried
    said: "We want to see an improvement in the Armenian parliamentary
    elections. That is important. We don't expect perfection. We don't
    expect to go from deeply flawed to perfect, but we do expect to see
    substantial forward progress. That is important." He went on to say:
    "Armenia, given the strength of the Armenian Diaspora and given
    Armenia's links to the West, frankly, you ought to be way ahead of
    Georgia. But I ask you, are you in terms of democratic reforms?

    Armenia should be doing better. It should be a leader. It should be
    a prospering country."

    The Yerevan government has been sensitive to hints from the United
    States about the upcoming election; it is well aware that the color
    revolutions in neighboring Georgia and Ukraine started straight
    after elections. Richard Kirakosian, an American expert attending
    a conference on elections in Yerevan, says that Washington will not
    export democracy to Armenia, since it expects development there to be
    stable. Kirakosian says: "Armenia has chosen evolutionary rather than
    revolutionary processes, and the parliamentary election in May will
    be an important democracy test. The US State Department has changed
    its policy - it does not expect a perfect election, but it does expect
    Armenia to progress and develo on the path of democratization.

    In contrast to Ukraine or Kyrgyzstan, Arminia has proposed a good
    version of stability, based on institutional development."
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