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Armenia On The Regional Plane

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  • Armenia On The Regional Plane

    ARMENIA ON THE REGIONAL PLANE
    Harutyun Gevorgyan

    Hayots Ashkharh Daily Newspaper
    22 Aug 2007
    Armenia

    Political analysts, American-Armenian Richard Kirakosyan, and
    Lebanese-Armenian Aspet Kochikyan introduced their evaluations
    and predictions regarding the current events in Near East, Turkish
    internal political developments and Armenian -Turkish relations, in
    "Urbat" club yesterday.

    Professor of the department of political sciences and international
    relations of Florida University Aspet Kochikyan firstly clarified his
    attitude regarding Armenia-Diaspora relations," For 17 years Armenia
    has become a modern, up-to-date state, but it is still facing a problem
    of accomplishing the statehood. Yes, we have Diaspora, that is part
    of Armenia and Armenians, but we should take into consideration the
    fact that the approach of the state and the nation towards the same
    phenomenon is usually of different nature. It is not always that the
    interest of the nation and the state match."

    The speaker said we don't manage to make effective use of the Diaspora
    potential. The role of financial, material assistance is of course
    great but to make Armenia a competitive state in the region it is
    especially important to change the mentality of the nation, and the
    level of social, cultural relations. For the last 8 months, after the
    law on dual-citizenship has been passed, the question of the role of
    Diaspora in Armenia is being discussed in Diaspora Colonies and to
    what extent they can be citizens.

    Diaspora is tired and there is no power to stimulate
    them." A. Kochikyan says.

    Richard Kirakosyan, that has great work experience in various US
    military and political institutions, has expert and analytical skills
    abstained from touching upon internal political issues and relations
    with Diaspora. He preferred to value Armenia's regional role. He
    believes Armenia has established stronger, multi-nature, and deeper
    relations with Iran than Azerbaijan has at presents. "Azerbaijani -
    Iranian relations are not only chaotic but also problematic, while
    Armenia underestimates its importance for the Russian Federation and
    mainly Iran. Armenia must pin its hope on its military, economic,
    cultural, and scientific potential and never on West, East, or anyone
    else. " Before evaluating the present state of Armenian -Turkish
    relations Aspet Kochikyan considered it important to record that
    the interstate relations between the two countries are not normal
    because of the close border. We should take into consideration that
    present-day Turkey is far not the same as it used to be 60 or even 7
    years back. In former Turkey they used to carry out internal political
    and military coup d'йtat on every occasion. There are political
    powers in present-day Turkey that should be used for the benefit of
    Armenia. Our principal challenge is the fair solution to Karabakh
    issue. In the context of this reality official Ankara can't ignore
    the strong pressure from Baku. But in case Armenian-Turkish border
    opens Armenia will negotiate with Azerbaijan and all the other powers,
    from comparably better positions."

    R. Kirakosyan believes it is not simple governmental changes but
    rather profound alterations that Turkey intends to make through
    the presidential elections that is connected with Turkey and the
    identification of the Turks.

    Today Turkey is facing East - West alternative and it has to choose
    between democracy and pan-Turkism.

    "Turkey's membership to the European Union can be a security guarantee
    for Armenia. But the latest events that took place in this country
    bear out that official Ankara denies Western course. And the main
    reason for this is the process of establishing Kurdish independent
    state in Northern Iraq by the assistance of the USA. I'm sure; in
    the near future Turkey will clarify its attitude. That is why Armenia
    must be ready to withstand any possible danger expected from Turkey,"
    the analyst states.

    Touching upon the failure of Turkish Foreign Minister Abdullah Guile
    to become a president A. Kochikyan said," Turkey, as a collectivity,
    was confused when the ruling party in Turkey nominated Guile's
    candidacy to presidency. Even the army gave signs to interfere in
    politics. But during the parliamentary elections 45% of the electors
    voted for Islamic pro-governmental party. However Guile persistently
    states that he is going to be not pro-Islamic but the president of
    all Turks. Eventually he will become a president. And though this
    position is mainly formal we shouldn't overlook the fact that it
    envisages the right of veto.

    Should Turkey abandon West and choose East Guile-president will have to
    bargain with Turkish generals and the people. Should the army doesn't
    reach an agreement on this issue it will use all the levers against
    Guile. I don't think that matters will take such a turn that they
    will carry out a coup. Pro-Islamic powers represent the essence of
    Turkish people, which is very far from Europe both in psychological
    and cultural terms."

    --Boundary_(ID_Md3zz+eQ+/6xNFQWvA4XO w)--
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