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Election Leaves Lebanese Christians Deeply Divided

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  • Election Leaves Lebanese Christians Deeply Divided

    ELECTION LEAVES LEBANESE CHRISTIANS DEEPLY DIVIDED

    Kuwait Times, Kuwait
    Aug 7 2007

    BEIRUT: The deadlocked struggle between the pro-US government and
    mainly Shiite opposition deepened after a tense parliamentary election
    showed a sharp divide among Christians, a key swing bloc.

    That deadlock was reinforced when pro-government candidate Amin
    Gemayel, a former president and the head of one of Lebanon's most
    powerful Maronite Christian families, conceded defeat Monday by a
    mere 418 votes in Sunday's election in the Christian stronghold of
    Metn north of Beirut.

    The victor was little-known Kamil Khoury, who was backed by the most
    prominent Christian leader in the pro-Syrian opposition, Michel Aoun.

    Khoury took 39,534 votes to Gemayel's 39,116. The result "reaffirms
    the existing stalemate," said Rami Khoury, an analyst with the Issam
    Fares think tank at the American University of Beirut. "It shows
    a very polarized Christian community." Sunnis are the base for the
    ruling coalition, which opposes Syrian influence.

    Shiite Muslims, led by Hezbollah, overwhelmingly back the pro-Syrian
    opposition. Neither side has been able to decisively lure the
    Christians, around a third of Lebanon's 4 million people, to their
    camp. Many fear the deepening stalemate may lead to the formation
    of competing governments if it is not resolved before the race to
    replace pro-Syrian President Emile Lahoud, whose term ends Nov. 23.

    Under Lebanon's division of power among its sects, the presidency must
    be held by a Maronite Christian chosen parliament. Now, no Maronite
    leader can boost his bid among lawmakers by claiming to represent the
    entire community. Prime Minister Fuad Saniora's backers are hoping
    to finally put in place an anti-Syrian figure in the presidency to
    strengthen their power. They rose to control the government after
    Syrian troops withdrew from Lebanon in 2005, ending Damascus'
    decadeslong control of Lebanon.

    But the political struggle with the Hezbollah-led opposition has
    sapped the anti-Syrian movement's power and paralyzed the government.

    Gemayel's loss is a setback for his potential as a candidate. Aoun
    has said he will stand for the presidency. But the slimness of Kamil
    Khoury's victory Sunday damages his patron Aoun's attempts to present
    himself as the top Christian politician. "Aoun is still a formidable
    figure but cannot really present himself as the leading Maronite
    figure anymore.

    That's probably the single most significant element in the election,"
    said Rami Khoury, the analyst. Gemayel, 65, was running in his
    home district with an implicit endorsement by the powerful Maronite
    patriarch. He was seeking to replace his son, Pierre Gemayel, who
    was gunned down in November in an attack that government supporters
    blamed on Syria. Gemayel got more of the Maronite vote than his rival-
    75 percent, according to press reports. But Aoun's candidate made up
    for it by winning other Christians' votes.

    Gemayel supporters blamed his loss on the large ethnic Armenian
    community in the Metn district and said Kamil Khoury was not
    representative of the Maronites, who form a majority in the district
    and are the largest Christian sect in Lebanon. Armenians are largely
    Catholic or Orthodox Christian. Another election Sunday was to replace
    lawmaker Walid Eido, a Sunni Muslim who was killed in a June car
    bombing there. A pro-government candidate, Mohammed Al-Amin Itani,
    won that race easily.
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