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One more faiy tale: Economic viability of plans of oil refinery

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  • One more faiy tale: Economic viability of plans of oil refinery

    Haykakan Zhamanak, Armenia
    Jan 31 2007

    One more fairy tale
    ECONOMIC VIABILITY OF PLANS TO BUILD OIL REFINERY IN ARMENIA

    by Hayk Gevorkyan

    Last week President Kocharyan went to Sochi to share, as he said,
    some ideas with [Russian President Vladimir] Putin. Soon it became
    clear that Russia has decided to build an oil refinery in Meghri. It
    is a very original project. It will be the only oil refinery in the
    world which is not on the sea front and does not have a railway
    substructure. That is to say petrol and diesel fuel produced here can
    be transported only by means of road tankers. This is a project that
    was put on the agenda in Armenia from time to time before the
    elections held here.

    [Passage omitted: The author said that the project was put on the
    agenda in 2003]

    Elections will be held in Armenia soon and all talk about the
    economic situation in Armenia is not enough for the election
    campaign, which is why the topic of the oil refinery has been put on
    the agenda once again. Even Russian experts say that this is a fairy
    tale. This plant with a capacity of processing 7m tonnes oil per year
    will get raw materials by an oil pipeline from Iran. There is no such
    oil pipeline today and it will be constructed and be about 200km
    long. The refined oil, let us say petrol and diesel, will be
    transported by railway and Iran will be the main consumer of the
    products of that plant, but we do not have a railway that would
    connect Meghri with different regions of Iran, and it should also be
    constructed. Some of the petrol and diesel fuel produced at the plant
    will be used by Armenia. But there is no railway that connects Meghri
    with other regions of Armenia either. This means that every single
    minute a road tanker containing 15 tonnes should leave the plant, but
    this will be economically unjustified. In that case, why are they
    telling us such a fairy tale?

    The Armenian authorities are well aware of the real situation in the
    Armenian economy, which is why for campaigning purposes they talk
    about "gigantic" programmes from time to time. We have the impression
    that the Armenian authorities have already lost the sense of reality
    and it seems to them that society is in the same situation. While we
    were negotiating with Iran on the Iran-Armenia gas pipeline,
    Azerbaijan managed to construct and commission the Baku-Ceyhan oil
    pipeline and Baku-Erzurum gas pipeline. When we thought of setting at
    least one gas turbine system at the Yerevan power plant, Azerbaijan
    had already started setting up four such systems each of which is
    more powerful than our nuclear power plant. When we started speaking
    about the construction of an oil refinery in Armenia with a capacity
    of 7m tonnes per year, Azerbaijan was already preparing a project on
    the construction of a plant in Turkey with a capacity of 20m tonnes,
    and is now thinking of building a similar plant in Georgia. In a
    word, we spend more efforts and energy on propaganda than on good
    ideas.
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