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  • Opposition is not alternative today

    Hayots Ashkharh, Yerevan,
    Feb 2 2007

    Opposition is not alternative today
    ARMENIAN AIDE SAYS OPPOSITION'S ELECTION CHANCES SLIM

    by Harutyun Gevorkyan

    An interview with the [Armenian] president's adviser on security
    issues, Garnik

    Isagulyan.

    [Correspondent] Opposition leaders have been saying that the
    forthcoming parliamentary election will be held in a very tense
    domestic political situation. Are there grounds for such anxiety?

    [Isagulyan] There is nothing unusual in the domestic political
    situation in Armenia and all pre-election processes have been
    developing in a natural and peaceful way. I am sure that the election
    campaigns of political forces that will run in the election will pass
    off calmly as well. As for an outcome, it will be more correct to
    speak about it in post-election time.

    [Correspondent] Mr Isagulyan, what is hidden behind the slogan "the
    election will be rigged"?

    [Isagulyan] I have got an impression that what the opposition leaders
    say today was earlier said by somebody else. Unfortunately, the
    entire opposition camp is in agony. They always point at some
    mistakes and shortcomings without any grounds. But they do not try to
    suggest any way out from the "difficult" situation of the country. If
    they say that Armenia has found itself outside international
    cooperation programmes, they almost always mean ceding the NKR
    [Nagornyy Karabakh republic] and adding Meghri [southern Armenia] to
    that [territory] for having good relations with Azerbaijan and
    Turkey. This is political will of the opposition.

    But it is not a political position when a political force is ready to
    cede what it has in order not to be forgotten and for having at least
    one pipeline running via our territory. All this is a component of
    the slogan "the election will be rigged". The opposition simply
    understands that it does not have chances to get sufficient votes
    from the people to come to the power. This is a good reason for a
    hullabaloo. I think that they should refrain from misinforming
    society and foreign forces at least at the pre-election stage.

    [Correspondent] A board member of the Armenian Pan-National Movement
    [APNM], Aram Manukyan, has said that he is against velvet and
    coloured revolutions, but they [presumably the party] will be
    involved in the same kind of events which have taken place in Ukraine
    and Georgia.

    [Isagulyan] The opposition realizes very well that our state has been
    established and all the power and law-enforcement structures fulfil
    their duties in full. There is no a revolutionary situation in our
    country. There is need of revolution neither from below nor

    from above. If the opposition has in fact expected for 15-20 per cent
    support of the people, it would not be in a situation of this kind.
    They understand that they have lost the entire resource of confidence
    and they have nothing more than pin hopes on coloured revolutions.

    I said long ago that the entire opposition camp is led by the APNM as
    major intellectual potential of the opposition is accumulated in this
    party. As for the APNM itself, the party sees that the election will
    not be rigged and so there is no way for them to come to power.

    [Correspondent] To what degree are foreign forces concerned about the
    possibility of a coloured revolution in Armenia?

    [Isagulyan] Foreign forces always prefer to create a situation in
    other countries when they can influence authorities. But I think that
    they do not make such calculations regarding Armenia. There is a
    balance of foreign forces' influence in our country and any attempt
    of interference from their side will not succeed. Foreign forces
    establish their relations with any state taking the reality into
    account. It is difficult to rely on the opposition's view that 80 per
    cent of the people are displeased with the authorities. It is not
    ruled out that many people could be displeased with the authorities
    but they do not consider the opposition an alternative.
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