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  • BAKU: Azerbaijan may quit talks, as Armenia reneges

    Baku Sun, Azerbaijan
    Feb 16 2007

    Azerbaijan may quit talks, as Armenia reneges

    by Ali Verdiyev


    BAKU - Baku may break off peace talks with neighboring Armenia over
    the occupied Azerbaijani region of Nagorno-Karabakh unless Yerevan
    sticks to previous agreements, a top Azerbaijani diplomat has said.
    `I want to tell the Armenian side that there is no use continuing
    negotiations at all if they are not based on previous agreements,'
    Deputy Foreign Minister Araz Azimov warned on Monday. Azimov, also
    the Azerbaijani president's envoy for the settlement of the
    Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, was commenting to the media on the recent
    meeting between the Azerbaijani and Armenian foreign ministers, Elmar
    Mammadyarov and Vardan Oskanyan, in Moscow as part of a further round
    of negotiations to resolve the 19-year-old conflict.

    Azerbaijan and Armenia reached a ceasefire in 1994 to end the
    bloodshed that had lasted for almost six years and claimed thousands
    of lives. The Azerbaijani region of Nagorno-Karabakh and seven
    adjacent districts were occupied by Armenia, while almost a million
    Azerbaijani civilians were driven out of those areas in the wake of
    the conflict. Yerevan is still demanding independence for the
    separatist region, but Baku says it is ready to grant the highest
    level of self-administration to Nagorno-Karabakh within Azerbaijan's
    borders.

    `On some issues Vardan Oskanyan expressed a position which totally
    contradicted the discussions that have been underway for the past two
    years. It was about the return of ethnic Azerbaijanis to
    Nagorno-Karabakh and the use of the road through Lachin,' Azimov told
    journalists.

    Lachin is a key occupied Azerbaijani district connecting Armenia with
    Nagorno-Karabakh. Armenia is reportedly refusing to use the Lachin
    corridor jointly with Azerbaijan. `This [stand] is not constructive.
    Yerevan must know that Azerbaijan will never agree to Lachin being
    controlled by Armenia,' Azimov said, pointing out that the only
    possibility is joint use of the corridor.

    `The overland connection between Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh is
    feasible only if the Lachin corridor is jointly used with respect for
    Azerbaijan's territorial integrity,' he said. `If the Armenians want
    to make progress in the determination of the legal status of
    Nagorno-Karabakh, they must understand that it is impossible without
    the return of the Azerbaijani community to Karabakh. Conditions
    should be established for the security of ethnic Azerbaijanis in
    Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenian troops should be withdrawn from the
    region,' Azimov concluded. The Azerbaijani deputy foreign minister
    described the Moscow meeting of the foreign ministers as `a step
    backwards'. It is difficult to predict how the peace talks will
    proceed because of the `very tough position' of the Armenian foreign
    minister, Azimov said.

    However, some analysts believe that Yerevan may be backpedaling on
    previous agreements made in talks with Azerbaijan because of the
    coming parliamentary elections in Armenia in May this year.
    Azerbaijani Foreign Minister Elmar Mammadyarov, on the contrary, does
    not think that the elections in Armenia may represent an obstacle to
    continuing the peace talks. `Various elections are held in most
    countries. But it does not mean that the negotiation process must be
    stopped,' the Azerbaijani minister told local news portal Day.az.
    `The sides must have the political will to resolve the Karabakh
    conflict', he added. The importance of having the political will was
    also stressed last week by Matthew Bryza, a US co-chairman of the
    OSCE Minsk Group, a mediating team led by US, French and Russian
    diplomats to resolve the Karabakh conflict.

    `The parliamentary elections are forthcoming in Armenia and we need
    to be very careful. I think that the problem is not in the Minsk
    Group, but in the relations between the [two] countries,' Bryza said.


    As time ticks away, Armenia finds itself more isolated in the region
    and sidelined by almost all major energy and communication projects,
    something that many believe will eventually bring Yerevan to the
    brink of accepting Azerbaijan's proposals for resolving the Karabakh
    conflict. Having yielded all of its energy enterprises to Russia and
    accommodating Russian military bases on its territory, Armenia is
    still dependent on Russia both economically and militarily.

    Thus, Baku is making it clear that it is not going to tolerate any of
    Armenia's `whims', by which it is often accused of trying to torpedo
    peace talks which have been going on for a decade. Experts say that
    the pressure on Armenia will keep growing as Azerbaijan is becoming a
    major player in the region. Backed by oil revenues and lucrative
    transport and energy infrastructures, such as the recently confirmed
    Baku-Akhalkalaki-Kars railroad project, Azerbaijan is gaining more
    weight regionally and will soon be able to dictate its terms to
    Armenia, experts believe.
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