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Open Winter Windows In Eastern Europe

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  • Open Winter Windows In Eastern Europe

    OPEN WINTER WINDOWS IN EASTERN EUROPE
    by Judy Dempsey - The New York Times Media Group

    The International Herald Tribune
    January 6, 2007 Saturday

    If you ever visit countries like Ukraine, Moldova or Georgia during
    the winter months, try to avoid spending much time in government
    buildings. They are sweltering. Ask that the temperature be turned
    down and your host will immediately oblige by opening the window.

    Thermostats are nonexistent.

    Once I asked an official why the buildings are overheated and why
    so much energy is wasted. Professor Igor Burakovsky, director of
    the Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting in Kiev,
    rolled his eyes. "We became used to cheap energy," he said. "Times
    are changing as Russia charges more for its gas. We need to introduce
    reforms to save energy and modernize the sector's infrastructure."

    Reform, however slowly, is on the way, thanks, ironically, to Gazprom,
    Russia's giant state-owned energy monopoly. After all, this is the
    company identified with the Kremlin, which, under President Vladimir
    Putin, has used energy as one of its main political instruments to
    increase the power of the new Russia. During a speech marking the
    10th anniversary of Gazprom in 2003, Putin said that Gazprom was a
    strategically important company. "Gazprom," he said, "is a powerful
    and economic lever of influence over the rest of the world."

    Dmitri Medvedev, the Kremlin's No.2, is also chairman of Gazprom,
    which shows the symbiotic relationship between the two most important
    centers of economic and political power in Russia today.

    The Kremlin's energy policies, however, are forcing some countries
    to introduce reforms, diversify their energy imports and even shift
    their foreign policy toward Europe, according to Russian experts.

    "The Kremlin's attempts to use its energy power as political pressure
    on its neighbors is actually slowly encouraging some reforms," says
    Grzegorz Gromadzki of the Stefan Batory Foundation in Warsaw.

    The Kremlin most recently attempted to use energy as a political
    weapon against its western neighbor and supposed ally, Belarus.

    Gazprom warned its president, Aleksandr Lukashenko, that it would cut
    off supplies unless he accepted higher gas prices and sold a majority
    stake of Belarus's gas transit pipeline to Russia. Twenty percent of
    Russia's gas exports to Europe pass through the Belarus pipeline.

    Putin had another reason to threaten Lukashenko. For several years
    he has been trying to bring Belarus into a formal union with Russia.

    When Lukashenko refused to join the union during the winter of
    2003-04, Gazprom turned off the tap to Belarus, causing serious
    shortages there and in Poland, and Germany and the Netherlands dipped
    into their reserves to make up for shortfalls. After several days,
    Gazprom resumed supplies, only to pressure Lukashenko again with
    the same demands three years later. This time, the Belarus president
    accepted the higher prices and even agreed to sell the part of the
    pipeline Gazprom wanted, a strategic gain for Russia. But he did not
    join the union with Russia.

    Belarus is not an isolated case. Gazprom has romped around the
    Commonwealth of Independent States, or former Soviet republics and
    Eastern Europe, using its energy power to impose high prices and grab
    control of the distribution and transit pipelines. When the president
    of Ukraine, Viktor Yushchenko, refused to yield to both demands last
    year, Gazprom again cut off supplies.

    Gazprom says it is simply phasing out subsidies in order to adapt
    to world market prices. The World Trade Organization, the United
    States and the European Union say all well and good, but they also
    say Gazprom uses its power abroad without introducing world market
    prices for energy back home or allowing foreign companies access to
    its vast pipeline network.

    When Georgia, for example, refused last year to cede control of its
    pipelines to Russia, Gazprom responded by telling Georgia it would
    charge world market prices for its gas. The demand was made before the
    NATO summit meeting last month, when Georgia was desperately seeking
    some signal from the Europeans and the Americans that it could one
    day join the alliance. Georgia accepted the hefty gas costs as the
    price to pay for the shift away from Moscow.

    Moldova, which is also dependent on Russia for its energy, had little
    choice but to accept a sharp rise in prices, too. Gazprom cut gas
    supplies to Moldova just before elections in 2005. The Communists, led
    by Vladimir Voronin, won after promising to bring Moldova closer to
    the EU and NATO. Since then, Moldova has slowly started to introduce
    reforms. Voronin, however, did not forget Russia's bullying. He
    threatened to veto Russia's joining the WTO unless Russia lifted its
    embargo of Moldovan wine and meat sales, another way in which Moscow
    was pressuring Moldova to give up control of its gas distribution
    network. Russia ended the embargo last November, but obtained the
    distribution network.

    Russia has tried similar policies in Armenia, which is considered
    Moscow's closest ally among the Commonwealth of Independent States.

    It wanted control of Armenia's electricity power grid. When Armenia
    refused, energy subsidies were lifted. Last September, Armenia sold the
    grid to a state-owned Russian electricity company. Russia, meanwhile,
    is still trying to buy Ukraine's gas pipeline, which sends 80 percent
    of Russia's gas exports to Europe.

    These acquisitions may seem like a series of successes for Putin. But
    energy experts say Russia's blatant use of its energy muscle has
    built up resentment throughout the region, all the more so since
    Russia is not using the higher revenues or pipeline acquisitions to
    invest sufficiently in its own energy infrastructure. In some cases,
    Russia's heavy-handed attitudes have spurred several countries to
    start introducing reforms to try to reduce their dependence on Russia.

    Peter Kaderjak, director of the energy department at Corvinus
    University in Budapest, says the Kremlin's methods have often proved
    to be counterproductive. "I find it a strange policy," he said.

    "If countries accept the high energy prices, then Russia loses the
    power to blackmail them. As a result of the Kremlin's policies, some
    countries start trying to diversify their energy imports, restructure
    the energy sector and cooperate with each other much more."

    "Depending on Russian gas used never be an issue," Kaderjak
    continued. "But because of Gazprom's policies, attitudes across the
    region are changing. We are seeing a bigger effort to diversify and
    think more about renewable energy. Change will not happen overnight.

    But at least it has started."
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