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  • NKR presidential election

    Haykakan Zhamanak, Yerevan,
    10 Jan 2007 p 3


    NKR presidential election


    by Kristine Khanumian

    A presidential election will be held in the NKR [Nagornyy Karabakh
    republic] in the summer. Who are the potential candidates for
    president? Despite his numerous statements, incumbent President
    Arkadi Ghukasian [Arkadiy Gukasyan] continues to remain the No 1
    candidate.

    The second candidate may be the parliament speaker, Ashot Ghulian
    [Ashot Gulyan]. It has been repeatedly mentioned over the past two
    years that in order to retain power, the authorities will do
    everything possible not only to nominate Ghulian's candidacy but to
    ensure his victory as well. Ghulian, who is considered to be a
    politician "put forward" by Ghukasian, started his political carrier
    after taking over the post of NKR foreign minister from Naira
    Melkumian [Naira Melkumyan]. However, before the parliamentary
    election in 2005, he became education, culture and sport minister.

    This replacement could seem nonsense at first sight, but things are
    not that simple. Before that, Armen Sarkisian [Armen Sarkisyan],
    member of the Dashnak party [the Revolutionary Federation -
    Dashnaktsutyun, RFD] held the post of education, culture and sport
    minister. However, as a result of disagreements between the
    authorities and the Karabakh wing of the ARFD, Sarkisian was
    dismissed from the post and replaced with Ghulian. Ghulian's
    appointment to the post had its own goal: after local government
    elections (as a result of which opposition representatives gained
    victory), the authorities wanted to take "revenge" and unite their
    forces. The army and the police apparently were behind the
    authorities but a powerful system like education had been neglected.

    After Ghulian's appointment to the post of education, culture and
    sport minister, DPA-fication (Democratic Party of Artsakh [Karabakh],
    established at the initiative of the incumbent regime) started in the
    Nagornyy Karabakh republic. The result was that the army, the police
    and the education system ensured the victory of the Democratic Party
    of Artsakh in the election. Ghulian was elected member of parliament
    under the proportional representation system and assumed the post of
    speaker of parliament. People also say that Ghulian is supported by
    top officials and businessmen who are natives of Askaran [town in
    Nagornyy Karabakh].

    The head of the National Security Service, Bako Saakian, is
    considered to be the No 3 candidate to come to power in the NKR. Many
    people in Karabakh have heard about him but few have seen the results
    of his activity. People say that when Saakian was foreign minister
    for a short period of time, he implemented serious reforms in the
    system. However, he was not given an opportunity to work for long.
    Saakian took part in almost all state events but preferred to remain
    in the "shadow". People say that his supporter is in Yerevan.

    It cannot be ruled out that Ghulian and Saakian will put forward
    their candidacies in order to get as many opposition votes as
    possible in favour of the authorities.

    Potential candidate No 4 is Deputy Foreign Minister Masis Mailian
    [Masis Mailyan]. He is known as an official who has outlived many
    ministers and has not been in the foreground that much until
    recently. He has become active only recently as a result of which his
    rating has very much gone up.

    Candidate No 5 is the leader of the RFD - Movement-88 parliamentary
    group and former education, culture and sport minister, Armen
    Sarkisian. Certainly, he is not considered to be as strong as the
    rest of the candidates, but let us not forget that he is a member of
    the RFD and this may have a serious impact on the results of the
    election - certainly, if he puts himself forward.
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