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Regional leaders seal Kars-Akhalkalaki-Tbilisi-Baku railway deal

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  • Regional leaders seal Kars-Akhalkalaki-Tbilisi-Baku railway deal

    Eurasia Daily Monitor, DC
    Jan 19 2007

    REGIONAL LEADERS SEAL KARS-AKHALKALAKI-TBILISI-BAKU RAILWAY DEAL

    By Fariz Ismailzade

    Friday, January 19, 2007


    Last Saturday, January 13, representatives from the governments of
    Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Turkey took a significant step forward in
    the realization of the Kars-Akhalkalaki-Tbilisi-Baku railway project,
    which will link Asia and Europe through the Caucasus. Representatives
    of three parties met in the Georgian capital, Tbilisi, to finalize
    the negotiations over the project and sign a preliminary agreement.

    Azerbaijan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement on
    January 16 welcoming the agreement and calling it `an important event
    in regional trade and economic cooperation' (Press Release, January
    16). Georgian Prime Minister Zurab Nogaideli also welcomed the
    project by saying that the railway link will become `a bridge between
    Europe and Asia' (Day.az, January 19).

    Under the terms of the negotiated agreement, Azerbaijan will issue a
    loan to the Georgian government in the amount of $220 million for
    construction of a vital segment of the railway. Georgian Minister of
    Economic Development Georgy Arveladze, however, put this number at
    $300 million (Day.az, January 18). The loan will be virtually
    interest-free and is to be repaid within a period of 25 years using
    the profits generated by the railway. The Turkish government, for its
    part, will improve some portions of the railway in its own territory,
    to bring it up to the required standards.

    Azerbaijan's minister of transportation, Ziya Mammadov, told ANS-TV
    on January 18 that construction would start in the second half of
    2007 and be completed within two or three years. `I have no doubt
    that this project will be realized,' Mammadov added.

    The project comes amid protests from the Armenian lobby and a
    prohibition put in place last year by the U.S. Congress on financing
    the project from U.S. government funds. While two other major
    Caucasus projects, the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline and the
    Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum gas pipeline, were strongly supported in U.S.
    political circles, the railway project received a cold shoulder,
    despite the fact that it will further deepen regional cooperation and
    expand the East-West trade corridor.

    The reason for such a negative attitude is the Armenian lobby in the
    United States and its influence on U.S. policymakers. The railway,
    bypassing Armenia, further links Georgia and Azerbaijan to Western
    markets and puts Armenia behind the regional trade and economic
    cooperation. Last week, the Armenian Foreign Ministry expressed
    interest in joining the railway project, yet the Azerbaijani side
    responded by saying that Armenia must first liberate the occupied
    territories of Azerbaijan.

    Nevertheless, despite opposition from Armenia and the lack of
    financial support from the United States, the Azerbaijani, Georgian,
    and Turkish governments are eager to move forward with the project.
    `The U.S. can issue any decisions it wants, but there will be no
    problems with financing the project. There are other sources,' said
    Georgian Minister of Foreign Affairs Gela Bezhuashvilli (Trend News
    Agency, January 10). The increasing revenues from Azerbaijan's oil
    contracts with Western oil companies have provide the government with
    sufficient means to finance the project with its own funds.

    Estimates set the cost of constructing the missing 98-kilometer
    section link of the Kars-Akhalkalaki-Tbilisi-Baku railway will cost
    around $400 million and raise the trade turnover by rail to 15-20
    million tons per year. It will allow the direct shipment of goods and
    people between Asia and Europe and vice versa and further develop the
    regional infrastructure. It will be an essential part of the Silk
    Road strategy, which envisions the development of trade ties between
    the countries along the ancient Silk Road. China and Kazakhstan have
    also expressed interest in the realization of the railway project.

    Given the recent political changes in Turkmenistan following the
    death of long-time President Saparmurat Niyazov, some analysts think
    that bilateral Azerbaijani-Turkmen relations will warm and revive
    regional trade and cooperation between these two Caspian states. If
    this scenario occurs, it will provide additional significance to the
    Kars-Akhalkalaki-Tbilisi-Baku railway.

    Negotiations among Turkey, Azerbaijan, and Georgia are expected to
    resume in the next few days regarding the concrete details of the
    project. After this, the parliaments of these three countries will
    ratify the agreement and construction work will start. When
    completed, the project will be a major victory point for both
    Azerbaijan and Georgia, because both countries will increase their
    economic linkages and trade turnover, but even more importantly the
    railway will also reduce their dependence on Russian railways to ship
    goods to European markets.
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