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Economy Of Armenia Remains "Competitive On The Whole"

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  • Economy Of Armenia Remains "Competitive On The Whole"

    ECONOMY OF ARMENIA REMAINS "COMPETITIVE ON THE WHOLE"
    By Ara Martirosian

    AZG Armenian Daily
    04/07/2007

    In order to preserve the competitiveness, the Government of Armenia
    should invest additional efforts, according to the Head of IMF
    delegation in Armenia

    After the meeting with the representatives of RA Government, Central
    Bank, International donors and Armenian businessmen, the Head of
    International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission's Armenian group Ms. Marta
    Castello-Branco met with the reporters in Armenia, on July 2.

    Summarizing the recorded indexes of Armenian economy of the first 5
    months of 2007, she stated that the indexes remained "impressive",
    as the growth of GDP exceeded the expectations and the inflation was
    consonant with the purposeful index.

    According to the representative of IMF, Armenia is notable for
    its combination of high economic growth and low inflation in the
    region. Armenia has recorded progress in tax-collecting sphere,
    though there are more opportunities of progress in this sphere.

    Ms. Marta Castello-Branco stressed the importance of preserving the
    high rates of the economic growth and the urgency of further reducing
    of poverty.

    At the same time she expressed concern over the rapid rise of wheat in
    international market, which might have an influence upon the economic
    growth index of Armenia.

    The economic growth index may be influenced also by Central Bank,
    which buys dollar to reduce the rapid shakings of currency value.

    The next possible factor on the economic growth index is that fewer
    expenses are run up in the first half of this year and the increase
    in the expenses of the second half of this year may record surplus
    inflation.

    There are three main issues in the economy of Armenia according to
    IMF representative of Armenia: the amendments in pension system,
    gas subsidization and competition of economy.

    IMF welcomes the new project of the Armenian Government to improve the
    pension system. The pensions are very low in Armenia at present. It's
    necessary to increase the subtractions for the pensions and to raise
    the pensions. It may also influence the inflation index.

    The next issue is the subsidization of gas, as the subsidization time
    of the gas ends by the end of 2008, and after it the gas prices will
    rise rapidly. There is a big threat that the consumer prices will also
    have a rapid rise influenced by the gas prices. IMF representative
    advised the Government to reduce the subsidization gradually. And
    also to subsidize only socially not provided strata.

    The issue of the competition of Armenian economy is connected with
    the valuation of Armenian dram. In spite of a great number of inflows
    of foreign currency, which have a negative influence on some export
    spheres and the households that are dependent on private transfers,
    the IMF records that the economy of Armenia remains "competitive on
    the whole". In order to preserve the competitiveness, the Government
    of Armenia should invest additional efforts to improve the business
    environment and to increase the productivity.
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