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Are We Ready To The New Round Of Peace Process On Karabakh?

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  • Are We Ready To The New Round Of Peace Process On Karabakh?

    ARE WE READY TO THE NEW ROUND OF PEACE PROCESS ON KARABAKH?
    By Haroutiun Khachatrian

    AZG Armenian Daily
    12/07/2007

    Problems of Breaking Conversation Barriers between Armenians and Azeris

    Taking into consideration the latest information, official
    Baku has come decision to make cardinal changes in its policy on
    Nagorno-Karabakh. Evidently, Azerbaijani authorities have given up the
    principle of "no relations with the Enemy" and started encouraging
    contacts between various layers of the Armenian and Azerbaijani
    societies. By now meetings between representatives of the two countries
    were limited with a small number of people who considered the peace
    settlement of the conflict the main task of their life. Such people
    were mainly considered renegades in Azerbaijan (mostly opposition
    politicians), the meeting took place on the territories of neutral
    states, as Baku worked hard to prevent them.

    Before speaking of the main topic, it would be appropriate to note
    that the June 28-29 visit of the Armenian-Azerbaijani delegation of
    intellectuals to Armenia, Karabakh and Azerbaijan was an important
    victory of good will. The Armenian side always stood for holding such
    kind of meetings, considering them an opportunity of reducing the
    tensions. All the foreign forces, including the OSCE and individual
    states, have also always supported that idea. That is why the PACE 1416
    resolution was adopted on June 25, 2005. In the meanwhile Azerbaijani
    officials continually declared that cooperating with their "Enemy"
    would be as "beneficial" as the opening of the border between Armenia
    and Azerbaijan. Only one event in the recent history of Armenia could
    be matched with this. That is Turkey's blockade of Armenia. Thus,
    when in April 1993 Kelbacar (Qaravajar) was taken by the Armenian
    armed forces, Turkey announced complete blockade of its border with
    Armenia. A year after, without any step backwards on Armenia's part,
    Turkey abolished its restriction on crossing its air space, and air
    communication between Armenia and Turkey has been active and rather
    intensive ever since.

    In fact, we are witnessing a kind of mitigation of blockade on
    Azerbaijan's part, and again it took place without any cessation by
    the Armenian side.

    Nevertheless, even having this evident victory of good will, we
    should perceive it as a matter of little effect on the progress of
    the peace process or even on strengthening the regime of armistice
    between Armenia and Azerbaijan. This psychological victory will be
    of more use for both the sides if we can surmount new challenges
    suggested by the so-called victory itself.

    Indeed, the new circumstances (if Azerbaijan is not to repent of the
    new course it has taken) bring forth new problems for us, Armenians.

    The meeting of the delegations of the Armenian and Azerbaijani
    intellectuals proved the following: first, Baku has permitted
    contacts with Armenia to at least one group of its citizens - the
    intellectuals; second, citizens of Azerbaijan were permitted not
    only to converse with Armenians, but also visit Stepanakert (the
    delegation crossed the border between Nagorno-Karabakh and Azerbaijan
    due to the personal interference of A. Casprszyk). This circumstances
    imply de-facto recognition of the state authorities of the Republic
    of Nagorno-Karabakh, but still there is no warranty that Azerbaijan
    is still to proceed in this way.

    Here are the possible further actions of Azerbaijan, as we tried to
    figure them out.

    Social contacts. Baku may: a) be content with that single meeting,
    b) permit new meetings approximately in the same format, c) permit
    meetings between other social groups (and even the incredible -
    permit contacts between businessmen), d) permit meetings of statesmen
    (at present meetings of no officials except Foreign Ministers and
    the Presidents are allowed), e) permit contacts between citizens of
    the bordering regions.

    Meeting Places. Baku can consider appropriate meetings in: a) neutral
    foreign states only, b) Yerevan and Baku, c) other places in Armenia
    and Azerbaijan, d) the territory of Nagorno-Karabakh also.

    In all cases the representatives of Armenia will face a number
    of problems. The aim of official Baku has always been, and shall
    be, achieving the recognition of Karabakh as an inseparable part
    of Azerbaijan. Of course, the new format of dialogue between the
    Armenian and Azerbaijani side shall become a new tool of implementing
    this policy.

    It's clear that the Armenian participants of the future meetings will
    have quite complicated problems no matter which of these variants
    is applied. The aim of the official Baku is to apply another tool
    to attain its final goal that is to prove that Karabakh belongs
    to Azerbaijan both to Azerbaijan itself and to Armenia and the
    international community. It's well known that the Azeri propaganda
    machine already actively works in this path and this new situation
    will help to touch upon the interests of Azerbaijan at new, open and
    more authority instances. The Armenian side should always be ready for
    unexpected and frequently groundless statements of Azerbaijan. Thus,
    they can make groundless statements in most inconvenient situations,
    for instance in cases of meetings of doctors, sportsmen, etc.

    Our relevant experts should give concrete answers to concrete
    questions. Till now they have ignored the nonsense that the Azeries
    spread about the historical past of Nagorno Karabakh and Armenia. But
    at present such approaches should not be applied any longer, as the
    abovementioned groundless statements are being constantly made during
    joint meetings, including those in Yerevan. Our experts should give
    equivalent and grounded answers to them.

    Moreover, one should always remember that the Azeri side is first
    of all touching upon the issue of Nagorno Karabakh during these
    meetings. In this case, the Armenian side should increase the
    mutual trust and lessen the tension by means of these very bilateral
    meetings. We should never answer the statements of the Azeries as
    hysterically as they make them. The Armenian side should respond their
    accusations calmly, patiently, suggesting cooperation and dialogue
    in many other issues instead of extremist statements. We'd better
    shape a special body (for instance at RA Foreign Ministry) that would
    elaborate relevant strategy and instructions for the participants of
    various meetings.

    As for the probable meetings, the information that we have at present
    allow to expect that from the aspect of both people and places of
    the meeting, we will have the versions of the abovementioned "B"
    point, i.e.

    similar meetings in Yerevan and Baku. The sides may discuss the issues
    concerning the historical monuments, ecology and healthcare. It's
    seems to me that we will hardly have any new meetings in Artsakh, as
    this will mean that the Azeri authorities have certain relations with
    Artsakh and recognize its independence de facto. But if such meetings
    take place, this will mean that the Nagorno Karabakh authorities will
    need more assistance, as their human resources are more limited than
    those of Armenia.
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