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Armenian Government Accelerates Move Against Vedanta's Sterlite Gold

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  • Armenian Government Accelerates Move Against Vedanta's Sterlite Gold

    ARMENIAN GOVERNMENT ACCELERATES MOVE AGAINST VEDANTA'S STERLITE GOLD
    Author: John Helmer

    Mineweb, South Africa
    July 24 2007
    Moscow

    Anil Agarwal's Zod gold mine stake will not be sold to the highest
    bidder, if Armenian government has its way.

    The Armenian government ordered prosecutors last week to put a stop
    to an attempt by the Vedanta group in London to auction off its rights
    to the Zod gold mine to the highest bidder.

    Two weeks ago, following six months of investigation, the Armenian
    prosecutor's office in Yerevan went to court on behalf of the Ministry
    of Natural Resources, to seek a ruling to revoke the Zod licence, which
    has been held since 1998 by Vedanta's Canadian-listed subsidiary,
    Sterlite Gold (ticker SGD). The judge deferred his ruling on the
    procedural ground that the due diligence, which had been undertaken
    by the prosecutor's office since January, lacked the appropriate order
    from the government. The Armenian prime ministry then arranged for the
    ministerial resolution to be drafted and issued, and an accelerated
    investigation has already begun.

    "The government wants to end the tender process being conducted
    in London by Anil Agarwal [controlling shareholder and chairman of
    Vedanta]", according to a source close to the litigation in Armenia.

    "The Indians are trying to get a high price for the asset, and
    the Armenian government sees no reason why they should pocket that
    profit, and walk away, when they are in violation of their licence
    obligations. That is why the licence revocation process is being
    accelerated now, publicly, so that bidders for the assets should
    understand what is at stake".

    Vedanta and Sterlite Gold have repeatedly refused to answer questions
    about the informal tender. This has been conducted by Ernst & Young;
    the latter has drafted and circulated a marketing document on the
    Armenian assets, and a score of bidders have responded. The assets
    include two mines, Zod and Meghradzor, and an ore-processing plant
    at Ararat. The official proceedings and investigations have already
    called a halt to mining at Zod, and a criminal investigation has been
    opened into charges that Sterlite and Vedanta have been engaged in
    a variety of allegedly unlawful gold operations.

    The Armenians say they don't yet have a full list of those to whom
    Vedanta has been trying to sell the assets. But they suspect Vedanta
    has not disclosed to potential buyers the full extent of the sanctions
    already imposed on Sterlite. These include a freeze on the bank
    accounts of the mine operating company, Ararat Gold Recovery Company
    (ARGC), and a refusal to re-register and confirm the licences,
    on which mining operations depend. For practical purposes, ARGC,
    Sterlite and Vedanta can no longer operate in Armenia.

    Armenian officials believe the leading bidder at present is the
    Russian conglomerate Industrial Investors, which is headquartered in
    Moscow, and controlled by two partners, Sergei Generalov and Siman
    Povarenkin. Generalov, a former Russian energy minister, and former
    member of the State Duma, is financially the stronger of the duo.

    Generalov's primary business is in maritime fleet, port, and land
    transportation. In the past two years, he has moved swiftly to create
    a multi-modal transportation group, with Far Eastern Shipping Company
    (Fesco); Trans-Garant, a freight railroad; National Container Company,
    Russia's largest box transporter; a Baltic cargo feeder line operating
    from Rotterdam; and with a big new container terminal in planning
    for Riga, Latvia. Acquiring these assets has cost Generalov almost
    $850 million in debt -- a heavy burden that is uncomfortable for him
    to bear. This week in Moscow, he offered investors a new share issue
    to try to raise $200 million in fresh cash.

    Part of this is for reducing his debts; part may be intended for
    the Zod buy-out. But at an estimated $100 million to $120 million,
    which is Vedanta's price-tag, the sum may be too large for Generalov
    to accept. He has signed a memorandum of understanding with Sterlite
    and Vedanta, in order to cover his due diligence, and allow him
    time to find the money. The Armenian government appears unwilling
    to allow the transaction to go through at all. Sources close to
    official thinking have told Mineweb the government wants "to get it
    all back", and then determine who should win a licence competition,
    to be conducted on the government's terms.

    Mining sources familiar with Zod, and with the territorial claims
    neighbouring Azerbaijan is making on Armenian land and gold deposits,
    believe $50 million is the maximum price that can be paid for the
    assets.

    Generalov is a newcomer to the mining sector, and in Yerevan it is
    suspected that Zod is Povarenkin's baby. However, Povarenkin has even
    less cash or credit than Generalov to make the purchase. According
    to sources in Tbilisi, Georgia, Industrial Investors is behind
    Joint Stock Company Madneuli, which in May was the only bidder at a
    government auction for mineral licences in the Ambrolauri region of
    western Georgia. The equivalent of $135,000 was paid for the rights.

    Speaking for Generalov and Institutional Investors, Oleg Rumyantsev
    told Mineweb they refuse to comment, and decline to confirm that they
    are participating in the bidding.

    A source in Tbilisi told Mineweb that Institutional Investors is the
    silent partner backing the Madneuli management in making the bid for
    Zod, and that it is the latter who are making the running.

    Madneuli's current business is mining copper, and leaching gold from
    the tailings.

    This disclosure is a problem for the Armenians, however. For they have
    already demonstrated their concern that Agarwal and Sterlite lacked
    the financial capacity and will to meet the investment requirements of
    ARGC's licences, and would not brook the $100 million obligation for
    a new ore-processing plant. The conviction that Agarwal was holding
    Zod in order to flip it has led to this month's moves to accelerate
    the revocation proceeding.

    The Madneuli partnership with Institutional Investors compounds
    the problem of financial capacity, from the point of view of the
    Armenians. And more -- from the perspective of Caucasian politics,
    the Armenian government is reluctant to cancel the ARGC licences, and
    oust the Indians, only to hand the assets over to a Georgian group,
    even if they claim to have Russian backing.

    Sterlite's disclosures to its shareholders have been limited. An
    operations summary on Sterlite's website refers to the February
    2002 implementation agreement, according to which Sterlite risks the
    forfeit of its Armenian licences, if gold production is halted.

    Sterlite's report says: "The Implementation Agreement stipulates
    that should AGRC [Sterlite's local company, Ararat Gold Recovery
    Company] terminate work either in Zod, Meghradzor or Ararat for a
    period exceeding three successive months other than for economic
    and business circumstances or for reasons beyond the control of
    Sterlite, then Sterlite either must relinquish its mining rights to
    the Government or pay the Government an amount of $50,000 for each
    month of stoppage beyond the initial three months."

    According to the last resource estimate issued by Sterlite, at the end
    of 2005 the company claimed the Zod deposit held measured resources
    of 215,495 ounces, and indicated resources of 1.9 million oz, at an
    estimated grade of 3.9 grams per tonne.

    In May, Sterlite told shareholders that "the 2007 mining plan of its
    subsidiary, Ararat Gold Recovery Company LLC ("AGRC"), has not been
    approved by the Armenian government and as a result, AGRC's mining
    operations have been temporarily suspended. AGRC is working with
    government authorities in an effort to secure approval for its mining
    plan so that operations can be resumed. AGRC has previously received
    approval for each of its annual mining plans during the term of its
    Implementation Agreement with the Armenian government.

    Following various media reports in the last few days, the Company also
    advises that, in connection with the previously announced investigation
    by Armenian governmental authorities of AGRC's mining operations,
    AGRC has received from the Armenian authorities a preliminary notice
    of penalties and fines in the amount of approximately US$46.5 million
    that the Armenian government intends to levy on AGRC. The notice is
    preliminary in nature and the Company understands that the notice
    is to undergo further analysis and expert review at the relevant
    Armenian governmental agencies in the coming weeks, before it is
    served in final form upon AGRC. As advised previously, Sterlite Gold
    and AGRC will vigorously contest any allegations or claims that may
    be made against them arising out of the investigation."

    On June 14, Sterlite posted this fresh cautionary: "Sterlite Gold
    Ltd. advises that, in connection with the previously announced
    investigation by Armenian governmental authorities of AGRC's mining
    operations, AGRC has received from the Armenian state tax authority
    a notice of penalties and fines in the amount of approximately
    US$11.5 million. This tax authority notice is in addition to the
    previously announced preliminary notice of penalties and fines issued
    by the Armenian Ministry of Finance. The investigation by Armenian
    governmental authorities is continuing. As advised previously, Sterlite
    Gold and AGRC will vigorously contest any and all allegations and
    claims that may be made against them arising out of the investigation."

    No notice to shareholders of the attempted sale of the Armenian assets
    has been posted to date. Agarwal did not reply to Mineweb's request
    to explain why he is selling Sterlite's principal asset.
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