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How far Turkey can resist global development is little clearer now

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  • How far Turkey can resist global development is little clearer now

    The Statesman (India)
    July 29, 2007 Sunday

    HOW FAR TURKEY CAN RESIST GLOBAL DEVELOPMENTS IS LITTLE CLEARER NOW


    Modern Turkey was founded as a secular state by Mustafa Kemal Ataturk
    in 1923 out of the ruins of the Ottoman Empire. In recent years,
    Turkey has been perceived internationally as a moderate Muslim
    democracy, something of a rarity. This is why the results of last
    weeks parliamentary election in Turkey were eagerly awaited by a
    watching world. Like so many significant elections, the outcome has
    proved complex and difficult to interpret. Prime Minister Tayyip
    Erdogans AKP (Justice and Development) Party received 47 per cent of
    the vote, significantly more than five years earlier, and with about
    340 seats out of 550, is the clear winner.

    The right-wing nationalists received about 70 seats, while the party
    of the Kurdish minority hold about 22 seats; many of these stood as
    independents, to circumvent restrictions on Kurdish representation.
    The loser was the Republican Peoples Party, the CHP, the party of
    Kemal Ataturk, which has only 110 seats in the new parliament. The
    long-term strategy of Erdogans party remains something of an enigma.
    It is described in the Western press as mildly Islamic. It
    exemplifies a moderate Islam, although its roots were in a more
    openly Islamic party, banned under the secular constitution, of which
    the military have been the principal upholders and enforcers. The
    military have intervened in Turkish politics three times in the past
    50 years, most recently in 1980; and it was in consequence of yet
    another threat from the army that Erdogan called early elections this
    month. The issue was over the AK Partys nomination to the Presidency.
    It had chosen Abdullah Gul, whose wife openly wears a headscarf, a
    religious emblem prohibited in public places by the Constitution.
    Demonstrations in Istanbul and Ankara by secularists earlier in the
    year gave the impression of powerful forces in favour of maintaining
    the place of religion as subservient to the State. The success, even
    of the mild Islamists remains open to interpretation: the wearing of
    headscarves has actually become more prevalent in Turkey in recent
    years. Does this mean a hardening of the popular sensibility in
    favour of a more committed Islam, or does it, combined with
    widespread support for the AK, serve as a warning to the military not
    to intervene again in the politics of Turkey? Some commentators
    believe that the AK has a more profoundly Islamist long-term agenda;
    and as confirmation of this, they point to the growing commitment of
    Muslims all over the world to a less compromising form of political
    Islam. On the other hand, Erdogan has presided over five years of
    considerable economic growth. He has furthered negotiations for
    Turkey to become part of the European Union, in spite of considerable
    hostility from many members of the EU. He has shown himself in favour
    of modernisation and the prosperity this brings, a process surely
    incompatible with a concealed religious objective. The AK is
    vigorously opposed by the ultra-nationalists of the MHP, who have
    been suspicious of Europe ever since the break-up of the Ottoman
    Empire, and they fear Europe has further designs on their country: an
    inflow of foreign investment, the modernising of Turkey in the
    interests of admission to the European Union, the growth of the
    market economy which has left many people, especially poor, rural
    people, stranded in a bewildering limbo, have provided fertile ground
    for the nationalists. In the past year an American journalist was
    killed, and three Christian evangelists murdered in Turkey: this was
    the work of extreme nationalists, who are more suspicious of the West
    than they are of the Islamists. There are, of course, also darker
    historical aspects of Turkish nationalism. Before Kemal Ataturk could
    drag what was a medieval society into the modern world, Turkish
    nationalism, promoted by the Young Turks had come to dominate the
    Ottoman Empire. When the Ottoman Empire sided with Germany and
    Austro-Hungary in the First World War, an aborted attack on Russia
    was blamed on the Armenians, who were Christian. This led to a
    slaughter of Armenians by the Turks, the first of the many genocides
    of the 20th century. Between 1915 and 1917, hundreds of thousands of
    Armenians were massacred. Discussion of this event became taboo in
    Turkey; as recently as 2005, Nobel prize-winning author Orhan Pamuk
    was threatened with jail for mentioning the Armenian issue. But it is
    the position of the large Kurdish minority in Turkey that remains the
    most vibrant issue in the rise of the nationalists. Kurds constitute
    more than 15 per cent of the population of Turkey; and they also make
    up sizeable minorities in neighbouring Iran, Syria and Iraq, where
    they now form the most stable part of liberated Iraq. Ever since the
    birth of the Turkish Republic, there have been uprisings and
    struggles for independence by the Kurds. These especially in 1927 -
    1930 and again in 1938 39, were brutally put down by the Turkish
    military, and between 1983 and 1991, use of the Kurdish language was
    prohibited, and a policy of forced assimilation or Turkification was
    pursued. The Kurdish separatist Abdullah Ocalan, leader of the
    Left-wing Kurdish Workers Party, was arrested, tried and sentenced to
    death for terrorism in 1999. On the intervention of the European
    powers, his sentence was commuted to life imprisonment, a leniency
    which infuriated the Turkish nationalists, who saw it as voluntary
    self-abasement of Turkey to the diktat of the Europe. The Kurds
    remain the largest linguistically and culturally homogeneous group
    people in the world who lack a separate state; and as such, their
    presence remains a threat to the countries where they live. In
    Turkey, although many Kurds speak Turkish and many more are
    bilingual, about five million are Kurdish-speakers only. The presence
    in Iraq of a semi-autonomous Kurdish region has led to the massing of
    the Turkish army on the border with Iraq; and the question of a
    Turkish invasion of Iraqi Kurdistan, in pursuit of Kurdish
    separatists or terrorists, poses yet another problem for the US and
    coalition forces in Iraq. These, then, are the issues that remain
    unresolved, even by this, the most decisive of election results. The
    question of minorities, the ambiguous relationship between a
    secularism (which in Turkey has been enforced with a heavy, even
    authoritarian, hand) and the growth of religious ideology, itself a
    conservative reaction of people fearful of a modern economy which,
    while wiping out their traditional agricultural function, appears to
    offer them no space these are issues that touch not only Turkey, but
    almost every so-called developing country. The results in Turkey
    suggest that this is a victory for democracy. But these are only
    temporary arrangements: mandates expire, or are overtaken by more
    dramatic events. What happens in Turkey is not necessarily dependent
    upon what happens within Turkey, as the nationalists perceive.
    Whether the military will impose a more aggressive secularism,
    provoking increased religious militancy, and whether the modernising
    thrust will call forth a conservative backlash, have their echo in
    many other countries now embarked upon the road of Western-style
    development (by no means all of them Islamic). The fate of Mustafa
    Kemal Ataturks party, the CHP, reduced to mimic its more vehement
    nationalistic rivals, is a measure of the decay of truly secular
    ideologies in the face of the rising wave of religious fundamentalism
    in the world. How far Turkey can resist these global developments is
    little clearer now than it was before the elections.
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