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Future Of Karabakh To Be Decided In St. Petersburg

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  • Future Of Karabakh To Be Decided In St. Petersburg

    FUTURE OF KARABAKH TO BE DECIDED IN ST.PETERSBURG
    by Sohbet Mamedov, Yuri Simonjan

    Source: Nezavisimaya Gazeta, May 30, 2007, p. 9
    Agency WPS
    DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
    June 1, 2007 Friday

    Aliyev and Kocharjan will meet in the northern capital

    NEGOTIATIONS BETWEEN ALIYEV AND ROBERT KOCHARJAN IN ST.PETERSBURG WILL
    SHOW PROGRESS OR LACK THEREOF IN THE MATTER OF KARABAKH CONFLICT
    SETTLEMENT; Presidents of Azerbaijan and Armenia will meet in
    St.Petersburg to discuss Nagorno-Karabakh.

    Yuri Merzlyakov and Bernard Fassiet, chairmen of the OSCE Minsk Group
    supervising the Azerbaijani-Armenian talks, are fairly optimistic on
    the subject of the meeting between the Presidents of Armenia Robert
    Kocharjan and Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev scheduled to take place in
    St.Petersburg on June 9. Kocharjan and Aliyev are expected to meet
    within the framework of the informal CIS summit.

    The intermediaries' optimism stems from the recent trips to Yerevan and
    Baku where they met with the leaders of the states and representatives
    of their political establishments. Merzlyakov and Fassiet told
    journalists afterwards that they had every reason to expect their
    mission to succeed.

    As far as Alpai Ahmed, the political scientist from Baku, is concerned,
    the frequency of visits to the region from international organizations
    proves that the dialogue is constructive indeed and that there exists
    some particular action plan whose contours will become clear after
    the presidents' meeting in St.Petersburg. Ahmed is convinced that
    Azerbaijan and Armenia are about to come to an agreement concerning
    the basic principles of conflict settlement. It is already known at
    the very least that the matter concerns the gradual Armenian pullout
    from seven districts of Azerbaijan.

    "Chairmen admit, however, that the Lachi Corridor connecting
    Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia poses a problem," Ahmed said. "Aliyev
    and Kocharjan will certainly discuss the matter at the meeting as
    one of the most important on the agenda."

    Yerevan is less exultant. Armenian Foreign Minister Vardan Oskanjan
    is convinced that the St.Petersburg talks will only show progress or
    the lack thereof in the conflict settlement. "Preparations for the
    meeting are under way. Should the tendency remain unchanged, Armenia
    will agree that there is nothing to prevent a meeting between the
    presidents," Oskanjan said. Sources in Yerevan admit, however, that
    Armenia is prepared to make some "concessions". It is an oblique way
    of saying that Armenia may withdraw from seven districts of Azerbaijan
    bordering on Nagorno-Karabakh. Jirair Sefiljan, a Karabakh war hero and
    an adamant enemy of all and any withdrawals, was recently arrested in
    Armenia. It may be taken as an indirect confirmation of the existence
    of this plan.

    Analyst Boris Navasardjan (Yerevan) claims that a compromise
    solution to the problem of Nagorno-Karabakh must exist. It even
    apparently includes a provision on so important an issue as the lot
    of the Azerbaijani territories beyond Nagorno-Karabakh held by the
    Armenians. "In the meantime, Karabakh talks within the framework
    of the OSCE Minsk Group are quite detached from the Real Politik
    charted and promoted by Baku and Yerevan," Navasardjan said. "Hence
    the optimistic statements from OSCE Minsk Group chairmen. They have
    to show the world at least something, don't they? The same goes for
    the agreement on the next meeting between Aliyev and Kocharjan. They
    play into the intermediaries' hands, helping them latter create an
    illusion of progress."
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