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Turkey and its army: Military manoeuvres

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  • Turkey and its army: Military manoeuvres

    Turkey and its army

    Military manoeuvres

    Jun 7th 2007 | ANKARA AND ISTANBUL
    >From The Economist print edition


    The Turkish army continues to play a big role in the country's domestic and
    foreign politics-too big, say its critics

    THIS week's flurry of stories about a purported Turkish invasion of northern
    Iraq confirmed again the special position the army has in Turkey. The
    reports turned out to be exaggerated, but troops and armour are massing on
    the border (see picture), and fears of a large-scale intrusion into Iraq
    remain. For now, though, attention will revert to the army's part in
    domestic politics.

    It is brought home over tea in Istanbul's posh Galata district by Tayfun
    Mater, a left-wing activist, as he describes being tortured after the coup
    in 1980. "The worst bit was when they hung me from the ceiling by the arms
    and applied electric shocks to my penis and testicles," says Mr Mater, who
    spent five years in prison. By the time the army handed back power to the
    civilians in 1983, over half a million Turks had been put in prison; 50,
    including a 17-year-old boy, were executed.

    Until recently most Turks believed the days of coups were over. But that
    belief was shattered late on April 27th, when a threat to intervene against
    Turkey's mildly Islamist government was posted on the general staff's
    website, touching off a political earthquake that still reverberates.

    The "cyber coup" eventually led the prime minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, to
    call an early general election on July 22nd. Abdullah Gul, the foreign
    minister, had to withdraw his bid to replace President Ahmet Necdet Sezer,
    who was due to step down in May. Yet the polls suggest that Mr Erdogan's AK
    Party may return with even more than the 34% that, thanks to most other
    parties missing the 10% threshold for seats, catapulted it to sole power in
    2002. What might the generals do then?

    The question echoes around the Ankara cocktail circuit, but it raises a host
    of others. Was the ultimatum delivered under pressure from hot-headed junior
    officers threatening to take matters into their own hands? Does the army
    really believe that the AK government is steering Turkey away from Ataturk's
    revered secular republic towards religious rule? Was it all a crude stab at
    wrecking Turkey's chances of joining the European Union? And, again, will
    the army invade northern Iraq?

    The diary of Ozden Ornek, a retired naval chief, leaked in late March to
    Nokta, a Turkish weekly, suggests several factors may have been involved.
    Excerpts include details of two separate planned coups concocted in 2004
    that were quashed by the then chief of the general staff, Hilmi Ozkok.
    Conversations between the plotters show suspicions of both AK and General
    Ozkok. Indeed, his enthusiasm for democracy and the EU leads them to
    conclude that he is an "Islamist" too.

    Mr Ornek insists the diary is fake and is suing Nokta for libel. But General
    Ozkok has hinted otherwise, saying that the claims "needed to be
    investigated". Meanwhile, military prosecutors have filed separate charges
    against Lale Sariibrahimoglu, a respected military analyst, for her comments
    to Nokta (which has since been closed down). She could spend two years in
    jail if convicted on charges of "insulting members of the military".

    The notion that "the army knows what is best for the people and that they
    cannot be trusted to govern themselves lies at the heart of their continued
    meddling in politics," observes Umit Kardas, a retired military prosecutor.
    It was such thinking (drilled into young officers early on) that led the
    generals to enshrine a right to intervene in the regulations that they
    drafted for themselves in the 1980s.

    The EU insists that any such right must be scrapped if Turkey is ever to
    join its club. So must the system of military courts, which shield soldiers
    from prosecution by civilians. The chief of the general staff should be
    answerable to the defence minister, not the other way round. Not
    surprisingly, the generals' feelings towards the EU are now mixed. Joining
    the EU would crown Ataturk's dream of cementing Turkey's place in the West.
    Yet they want this "only if it can be on their own terms-and that means
    retaining all their privileges," according to Ali Bayramoglu, a long-time
    observer of the army.

    Mr Erdogan became the first political leader to have trimmed the army's
    powers, when his government reduced the National Security Council (through
    which the army barks orders) to an advisory role. This and other dramatic
    reforms helped to persuade the EU to open membership talks with Turkey in
    2005.

    Fears that their influence might be watered down even more have transformed
    some generals into the EU's fiercest critics. None more so than Yasar
    Buyukanit, who took over from General Ozkok last year. His salvoes against
    creeping Islamisation are often accompanied by veiled claims that the EU is
    trying to dismember Turkey by supporting Kurds and other minorities.

    The army's sense of vulnerability has been heightened by a deepening rift
    with America over Iraq. During the cold war, the generals (in charge of
    NATO's second-biggest army) were America's chief interlocutors, which
    bolstered their influence at home. Anti-American feelings exploded among
    Turks in 2003, when American soldiers arrested 11 Turkish special-force
    troops in northern Iraq, on suspicion of plotting to murder a Kurdish
    politician. Most Turks saw the move as punishment for Turkey's refusal
    earlier that year to let American troops cross its territory to open a
    second front in Iraq. Trust between the two armies has yet to be restored.
    Tuncer Kilinc, the last general to head the National Security Council, told
    an audience in London recently that Turkey should pull out of NATO and make
    friends with Russia, Iran, China and India instead.

    The army's anti-Western stance resonates well with ordinary Turks, who are
    disgusted by America's behaviour in Iraq and by the EU's dithering over
    Turkish membership. The army is still rated as the country's most popular
    institution. To the millions of urban middle-class Turks who staged
    anti-government protests last month, the army remains the best guarantor of
    Ataturk's secular republic.

    Yet, as Mr Ornek reportedly noted in his diary, the deliberate isolation of
    officers from civilian life has confined them to an artificial world in
    which civilians are "unpatriotic, lazy and venal" and the armed forces are
    "industrious, selfless and worthy". As he then mused, "What can we achieve
    with such thoughts?" Yet if the army is to continue to command the affection
    of its citizens it needs to change with the times. The generals could not
    have missed the many placards during last month's protests that read "No to
    sharia, No to coups." A drive to weed out corrupt officers launched under
    General Ozkok is an encouraging sign that the army is prepared to be more
    self-critical. But respecting the election result, no matter what it is,
    remains the biggest challenge of all.
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