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Armenia: A Coalition Government Amidst Conflict

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  • Armenia: A Coalition Government Amidst Conflict

    ARMENIA: A COALITION GOVERNMENT AMIDST CONFLICT
    Gayane Abrahamyan

    EurasiaNet, NY
    June 7 2007

    Nearly one month after Armenia's parliamentary vote, a coalition
    agreement between the Republican Party of Armenia and Prosperous
    Armenia Party has sealed a much-anticipated power pact between the
    country's two largest political parties. The agreement comes amidst
    what some analysts describe as an attempt by the Republican Party to
    stamp out election-related violence ahead of next year's presidential
    elections.

    After concluding the June 6 agreement, the two parties also signed a
    memorandum on cooperation with the Armenian Revolutionary Federation,
    a member of the former coalition government with 16 seats in the new
    parliament. The Republican Party and Prosperous Armenia hold 64 and
    24 seats, respectively.

    Talks with the Armenian Revolutionary Federation about joining the
    coalition eventually fell apart over the party's refusal to back a
    joint candidate for president in 2008, party representatives announced
    at a June 6 press conference.

    On June 7, Armenia's newly elected parliament held its first session,
    with former Parliamentary Speaker Tigran Torosian reelected to his
    post. The Heritage Party and the Country of Law Party, the only two
    opposition parties present in parliament, have declined to take their
    seats until the outcome of a case before the Constitutional Court
    challenging the official election results.

    Meanwhile, an outbreak of violence in Armenia's second largest
    city, Gyumri, has raised questions about the new government's likely
    response. Although such post-election incidents are relatively common
    in Armenia, police this time are taking strong steps to respond.

    Gyumri is renowned among Armenians for what many term "Sicilian-style"
    street violence. Some residents, who decline to be named, lay blame for
    the violence on the town's mayor, Vardan Ghukasian, a senior member
    of the Republican Party who was the target of a highway shooting in
    early April that left three people dead.

    Participants in the clashes have never been prosecuted or sentenced.

    That situation now looks likely to change with a May 20 shooting in
    downtown Gyumrii between the sons of Mayor Ghukasian and of Prosperous
    Armenia Party Gyumri regional office coordinator Artashes Sarkisian.

    Reasons for the shoot-out are unknown. Some locals put the brawl
    down to an attempt to settle scores between the Republican Party of
    Armenia and Prosperous Armenia, a popular speculation among voters
    also during the parliamentary campaign. Other residents put it down
    to a criminal brawl; both Ghukasian and Sarkisian are thought to own
    many if not most of the town's businesses.

    For several days following the shooting, masked officers from the
    prosecutor's special detachment squad searched the apartments of
    Mayor Ghukasian and Prosperous Armenia Party coordinator Sarkisian,
    as well as those of Sarkisian's sons and Ghukasian's brother.

    Restaurants associated with both men were also searched. Seventy
    people were brought in for questioning.

    Some observers believe that the show of force indicates that Republican
    Party head Prime Minister Serzh Sarkisian, fresh from victory at the
    May 12 parliamentary polls, wants an end to the sporadic violence
    that hit some small towns in the run-up to the vote.

    Independent political analyst Nikolai Mikayelian argues that
    Ghukasian's track record is now being considered "in the higher
    echelons" of the Republican Party. Mikayelian believes that if
    Ghukasian's son is prosecuted for the shooting, the party will have
    signaled that they can dispense with the Gyumri mayor's support. If
    he is not prosecuted, Ghukasian will be expected to deliver votes
    for Prime Minister Sarkisian's expected 2008 presidential bid,
    he projected.

    Both Ghukasian and Prosperous Armenia Party coordinator Sarkisian
    have stated that their sons will turn themselves into the police and
    "serve the sentence they deserve." Police are still searching for
    both individuals.

    Observer Levon Barseghian, chairman of the Asparez journalists' club
    in Gyumri, contends, though, that the police action is a "muscle show"
    that won't lead to any results. Concern has also been raised by the
    case of one opposition candidate in the nearby town of Alaverdi whose
    apartment caught fire after she filed complaints about election code
    violations, reportedly related to campaign violence in the town.

    In Gyumri, many locals believe that the mayor is already taking out
    an insurance policy for his political future. In a May 24 interview
    with Shant TV, Ghukasian qualified the police scrutiny of his son as
    improper. "The [April 2007] assassination attempt did not cause as
    much noise as that little brawl," he said of the shoot-out involving
    his son.

    Ghukasian warned that if another attempt is made to kill him, he has
    "several hundred" audio recordings of people living in and outside
    of Armenia who can speak to the identity of those behind the attack

    "The perpetrators have a party affiliation," Ghukasian claimed. "It's
    the same force that tried to kill me before the election, to have the
    Republican Party lose in Gyumri." The mayor went on to claim that
    he alone had brought in 35,000 votes for the party in the recent
    parliamentary elections.

    Republican Party spokesperson Eduard Sharmazanov told EurasiaNet
    that the party has always appreciated Ghukasian's voter mobilization
    efforts. Sharmazanov refrained from further comment about the Gyumri
    shooting until the case is brought to trial.

    Editor's Note: Gayane Abrahamyan is a reporter for the online
    ArmeniaNow weekly in Yerevan.
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