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  • US develops a strategic Black Sea plan

    US develops a strategic Black Sea plan
    http://www.speroforum.com/site/article.asp?id Category=3D35&idarticle=3D8254

    The Pentagon pushes to get Black Sea countries to develop a regional
    approach to security issues, and is throwing its weight behind
    Turkey's leadership in the region.

    Friday, March 02, 2007 Joshua Kucera

    The US Department of Defense has drafted a new strategy for the Black
    Sea region, focusing on getting the individual countries around the
    Black Sea to develop a regional approach to security issues.

    Some of the strategy's finer points are still being developed, andthe
    implementation may be slowed by the US preoccupation with Iraq and
    Afghanistan.

    But it nevertheless represents a concerted effort by Washington to get
    involved in a region traditionally dominated by Turkey and Russia.

    To that end, the US is throwing its weight behind Turkey's leadership
    in Black Sea regional efforts. That's in part because Ankara and
    Washington share the same goals in the area, and, in part, because
    Washington wants to allay Turkish concerns about American intentions.

    The strategy's main concept was completed late last year and it
    remains classified. But its general outline was described to
    EurasiaNet by a Pentagon official, speaking on condition of
    anonymity. US officials are still in the process of relaying the
    strategy's contents to regional governments, including Turkey,
    Georgia, Ukraine, Russia, Romania, Bulgaria, Moldova, Armenia,
    Azerbaijan and Greece. First to be briefed was Turkey, in
    acknowledgement of Ankara' s leadership role in the region. "Without
    Turkey, we can't get this to work," the official said.

    The other key Black Sea player is Russia, and the Pentagon has low
    expectations on Moscow's willingness to go along with US plans. "We
    don't expect the Russians to be cooperative; they see this as
    interference in their sphere of influence. However, we're committed to
    seeking Russian cooperationwherever we can get it - we don't want them
    as an adversary," the official said.

    "However, we won't allow ourselves to be held hostage to Russian
    objections."

    The US is actively encouraging countries around the Black Sea to take
    part in the Turkey-led Black Sea Harmony maritime security program,
    through which intelligence on sea traffic is shared among all the
    coastal states. In December, Russia became the first country to
    formally join the program. Ukraine and Romania are also reportedly
    close to joining. Georgia's navy is not large enough to provide any
    significant intelligence, although it does participate in information
    exchanges.

    The cooperation between Turkey and Russia is seen in some quarters as
    a combined effort to keep NATO out of the Black Sea. NATO operates a
    similar maritime security operation in the Mediterranean Sea, called
    Active Endeavor, and NATO has tried to expand that program into the
    Black Sea. Turkey, however,is worried that NATO's incursion into the
    Black Sea would diminish Ankara's influence there. Some Turkish
    officials also fear that an expanded NATO regional role could erode
    the 1936 Montreux Convention, by which Turkey maintains control over
    the Bosporus Straits. Russia, meanwhile, remains opposed to US
    influence in its former satellite countries.

    "I don't think we can help that the Russians see this as a zero-sum
    game, but I do think we can help that with the Turks," the official
    added. "The Turkish approach is similar to ours [in dealing with
    Russia]: pragmatic, but they won't do anything detrimental to their
    national security."

    The US doesn't see a specific threat in the Black Sea region at
    present, but that is reason enough to expand the surveillance and
    monitoring of the area, the official said. Potential threats include
    the transport of weapons of mass destruction, drugs or terrorists.
    "One would presume some of that goes on, but we don't know," the
    official said. It's possible the threat is not great, "but right now
    we don't have the detection and surveillancecapabilities to know if
    that's the case."

    In addition to maritime surveillance, the US would like to see
    countries in the Black Sea region improve crisis response capabilities
    and border security.

    But the program may be slowed or scaled back, given the Pentagon's
    preoccupation these days with the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, the
    official said.

    "The United States has given a lot of thought to the Black Sea, but I
    don't believe we have a clear implementation strategy" because of the
    two major wars, the official said.

    _EurasiaNet_ (http://www.eurasianet.org/) provides information and
    analysis about political, economic, environmental, and social
    developments in the countries of Central Asia and the Caucasus, as
    well as in Russia, the Middle East, and Southwest Asia. The website
    presents a variety of perspectives on contemporary developments,
    utilizing a network of correspondents based both in the West and in
    the region. The aim of EurasiaNet is to promote informed decision
    making among policy makers, as well as broadening interest in
    theregion among the general public. EurasiaNet is operated by the
    Central Eurasia Project of the Open Society Institute.

    Joshua Kucera is a Washington, DC,-based freelance writer who
    specializes in security issues in Central Asia, the Caucasus and the
    Middle East.

    Copyright © 2007 Spero

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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