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What awaits Azerbaijan in a clash between US & Iran?

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  • What awaits Azerbaijan in a clash between US & Iran?

    Agency WPS
    DEFENSE and SECURITY (Russia)
    March 7, 2007 Wednesday

    WHAT AWAITS AZERBAIJAN IN A CLASH BETWEEN THE UNITED STATES AND
    IRAN?;
    Experts refuse to hazard a guess

    by H. Gasym

    AZERBAIJANI EXPERTS REFUSE TO SPECULATE ON THE EFFECT THE AMERICAN
    WAR ON IRAN WILL HAVE ON THE SITUATION WITH THE CASPIAN SEA STATUS
    AND NAGORNO-KARABAKH CONFLICT RESOLUTION; The Azerbaijanis do not
    know what to expect from the American invasion of Iran.

    The possibility of a war between the United States and Iran is the
    talk of the day. For some reason, practically nobody is speaking of
    what military action of the Americans, Azerbaijan's strategic
    partners, may mean for Azerbaijan itself. Will it help the status of
    the Caspian Sea or the resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict?
    Or will it advance the Armenian-American rapprochement? Traditionally
    enough, officials of the Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry decline
    comments and refuse to speculate. Hazar Ibragim, Chief of the Foreign
    Ministry's Directorate of Information Policy and Press, only says
    that the Foreign Ministry does not want another conflict in the
    region.

    Milli Mejlis deputy, Jamil Gasanly, points out that the potential of
    negotiations with Iran is not yet exhausted.

    Neither does Gasanly expect the installation of a new regime in
    Tehran to have any effect on the Armenian-American relations which
    are already fairly close. "Armenia is ahead of all other counties in
    the southern part of the Caucasus in US aid programs," the lawmaker
    said.

    Political scientist Fikret Sadyhov thinks that the Americans'
    appearance in Iran will lead to the installation of a democratic
    government. "But not even that will facilitate solutions to the
    problems of the Caspian status or Karabakh conflict resolution,"
    Sadyhov shrugged. "The Americans display dual standards in the
    Karabakh conflict resolution and force their will on us. Some changes
    in the US foreign policy are nevertheless possible, and relations
    between Azerbaijan and Iran may be somewhat corrected. It may have
    positive results, but I'm not sure that the problems will be solved
    any time soon."

    Speaking of the future of Armenian-American relations, Sadyhov
    recalled that Washington regularly issues statements on supporting
    Azerbaijani territorial integrity, but these are only words, nothing
    more. "All the same, I do not expect any serious changes in
    Armenian-American relations," he said.

    Source: Ekho (Baku), March 2, 2007, EV
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