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  • Global warming of global concern, poll shows

    http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?articleid=302 042&area=/breaking_news/breaking_news__interna tional_news/#

    Global warming of global concern, poll shows

    Eli Clifton | Washington, United States

    15 March 2007 10:31

    Climate change is of real concern in all parts of the world, but there
    is disagreement over whether the problem is urgent enough to require
    immediate, costly measures or whether more modest efforts will be
    satisfactory, according to an international poll released on
    Wednesday.

    The poll, conducted by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs and
    WorldPublicOpinion.org in cooperation with polling organisations
    around the world, was carried out in 17 countries containing more than
    55% of the world population, although not all questions were asked in
    all countries.

    Twelve countries were asked whether steps should be taken to address
    climate change.

    Ninety-two percent of Australians favoured measures to combat global
    warming, making it the country with the largest majority of its
    population believing immediate action should be taken to reverse
    climate change.

    Surprisingly, China, whose environmental policies are often
    criticised, and Israel were the next most inclined to favour such
    measures, with 83% of their populations in favour of immediate actions
    to reverse trends in global warming.

    The lowest level of support for taking steps to address global warming
    was found in India, with 49% of the population supporting immediate
    action while 24% were opposed.

    Arguments against the validity of global warming as a scientific fact
    did not fare well, with fewer than one in four people in any country
    endorsing the statement "Until we are sure that global warming is
    really a problem, we should not take any steps that would have
    economic costs."

    Countries with the highest percentages favouring inaction included
    India (24%), the Russian Federation (22%) and Armenia (19%). Countries
    with the smallest percentages favouring inaction included Argentina
    (3%) and Thailand (7%).


    Important threat


    In a separate question, asked in 10 countries, strong majorities in
    all of the countries said climate change is an important threat, with
    small minorities calling it unimportant.

    The highest percentage of climate-change sceptics were in Armenia
    (16%) and Israel (15%).

    Majorities called climate change a "critical" issue in Mexico (70%),
    Australia (69%), South Korea (67%), Iran (61%), Israel (52%) and India
    (51%).

    Larger numbers agreed climate change is "critical" in Armenia (47%),
    China (47%) and the United States (46%), while Ukraine was the only
    country split about whether the problem is "critical" (33%) or
    "important but not critical" (33%).

    In five of 12 countries polled, the most common view was "Global
    warming is a serious and pressing problem. We should begin taking
    steps now even if this involves significant costs." These included
    Australia (69%), Argentina (63%), Israel (54%), the US (43%) and
    Armenia (37%).

    The most commonly held view in another five countries was that "The
    problem of global warming should be addressed, but its effects will be
    gradual, so we can deal with the problem gradually by taking steps
    that are low in cost."

    Proponents of the "go-slow" and "low-cost" approach included the
    Philippines (49%), Thailand (41%), Poland (39%), Ukraine (37%) and
    India (30%).

    The polls were split between those who favoured less expensive
    measures and those who believed the problem merits action involving
    significant cost in China (low cost, 41%; significant cost, 42%) and
    Russia (low cost, 34%; significant cost, 32%).


    Equity


    The poll attempted to address the issues of an equitable approach to
    climate change by asking sample groups in five developing countries --
    China, India, Argentina, Armenia and Thailand -- "If the developed
    countries are willing to provide substantial aid, do you think the
    less-developed countries should make a commitment to limit their
    greenhouse-gas emissions?"

    In all five countries, majorities said they should, but most
    significant responses were observed in China (a 79% majority), and in
    India (48% agree, 29% disagree).

    All five of these countries have ratified or accepted the Kyoto
    Protocol to curb greenhouse-gas emissions, but are not defined as
    industrialised countries under the treaty.

    Their developing country status under Kyoto means they are not legally
    obliged to cut emissions of carbon dioxide or other pollutants, but
    could be eligible for various schemes and funds that pay developing
    countries to reduce carbon emissions. Just last month, a report
    released by the United Nations called attention to the rising flow of
    greenhouse gases released by the economic powerhouses of India and
    China.

    By 2009, says the International Energy Agency, China will have
    overtaken the US as the largest emitter of greenhouse gases that are
    energy-related.

    Aid

    Three developed countries were asked the same question about providing
    aid to less-developed countries to reduce emissions of greenhouse
    gases. Respondents in all three showed high levels of support for such
    programmes: 64% of US citizens, 84% of Poles and 72% of Ukrainians.

    All three countries are considered industrialised countries under the
    Kyoto accord, but the US has refused to ratify it, arguing that it
    would be too costly to the US economy and that large developing
    countries such as China and India are unfairly exempted.

    The following countries were included in the poll: China, India, the
    US, Indonesia, Russia, Thailand, Ukraine, Poland, Iran, Mexico, South
    Korea, the Philippines, Australia, Argentina, Peru, Israel, Armenia
    and the Palestinian territories.

    An additional poll released on Thursday by the Yale University School
    of Forestry and Environmental Studies reinforces the Chicago Council
    on Global Affairs poll, finding that 83% of US citizens now say global
    warming is a "serious" problem, up from 70% in 2004.

    The recent poll data suggesting an increased awareness that global
    warming requires immediate action comes on the heels of a report
    released last month by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
    -- the leading international network of climate scientists -- which
    confirmed the scientific evidence behind global warming and urged
    prompt action to slow and reverse the dangerous build-up of
    heat-trapping gases in the atmosphere. -- IPS
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