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Turkey Uneasy Over Sarkozy Win, But Hopes For Pragmatism

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  • Turkey Uneasy Over Sarkozy Win, But Hopes For Pragmatism

    TURKEY UNEASY OVER SARKOZY WIN, BUT HOPES FOR PRAGMATISM
    by Florence Biedermann

    Agence France Presse -- English
    May 7, 2007 Monday

    Nicolas Sarkozy's election victory gives Turkey another reason to
    worry about its EU bid, but many here believe that once the new French
    president takes office, his pragmatism will outweigh his hostility
    to Ankara's membership.

    Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan voiced hopes Monday that the French
    leader would soften his position on Turkey's European aspirations.

    "We hope we will not see in our bilateral relations from now on the
    same attitudes that Sarkozy displayed during his election campaign
    regarding our European Union (accession) process and Turkish-French
    ties," Erdogan said.

    Sarkozy is staunchly opposed to Turkey joining the 27-member bloc,
    arguing that most of Turkey's territory is in Asia and that the idea
    of a united Europe would be diluted if its borders stretch that far.

    He instead advocates a "privileged partnership" between the EU and
    Turkey rather than full membership for the sizeable mainly Muslim
    nation.

    Political commentator Dogu Ergil suggested Sarkozy could follow the
    example of German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who was also opposed to
    Turkey's accession, but said she would abide by existing agreements
    between Ankara and Brussels once she took office in 2005.

    Sarkozy had displayed a "certain opportunism in addressing the
    worries and fears of French voters," Ergil said. "But once elected,
    politicians become statesmen and can no longer be personal."

    The mass-selling Milliyet newspaper echoed the same hope.

    Sarkozy's election "will increase the potential of already chilly
    Turkish-French ties to worsen... But it is not impossible for Sarkozy,
    who is more of a pragmatic politician than an ideologue, to change
    his stance once he becomes president."

    Questioned as to the possible impact of Sarkozy's election, European
    Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso indicated no change in the
    EU's negotiations with Ankara.

    "We negotiate with Turkey on the basis of a mandate that was decided
    unanimously... We recommend to member states only to take a decision
    on whether or not Turkey should join based on the results of these
    negotiations," Barroso said.

    But some Turkish analysts remain pessimistic.

    "The conditions that were applied to the central European countries
    are no longer working with Turkey... Sarkozy's election marks the
    arrival of the moment of truth when this de facto situation will
    transform into a legal one," EU expert Cengiz Aktar said.

    "Turkey's accession talks appear to be going on but the process
    risks to halt officially in 2009 with the campaign for the European
    Parliament elections," he said, adding that Sarkozy "will be probably
    the one to hammer the last nail into the coffin of Turkish-EU
    relations."

    In December, the EU froze talks with Turkey in eight of the 35 policy
    areas that candidates are required to complete, over Ankara's rejection
    to grant trade priviliges to arch-rival Cyprus.

    Turkey has managed to open only two chapters since it won the green
    light for talks in October 2005. It cannot formally close any chapter
    until the Cyprus dispute is resolved.

    Foreign affairs expert Semih Idiz described Sarkozy as a "coarse
    representation of the basic fears and concerns of the French people"
    on issues such as the integration of Muslims and immigrants as well
    as Turkey's eventual EU membership.

    "The rise of a Muslim-populated country and the possibility of it
    having an equal say with France in the EU cannot be easy to swallow
    for 'sugar-coated crypto-fascists'," he wrote in Milliyet.

    Turkish-French ties have also been poisoned by France's recognition
    of the massacre of Armenians between 1915 and 1918 in the dying days
    of the Ottoman Empire as an act of genocide.

    According to the Turkish press, Sarkozy also said that if he was
    elected president, he would sign into law a bill, passed in the
    National Assembly in October, that makes it a jailable offense to
    deny the killings were genocide -- a label Ankara fiercely rejects.
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