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Armenia's Ruling Coalition Heads for Election Victory

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  • Armenia's Ruling Coalition Heads for Election Victory

    Bloomberg
    May 13 2007


    Armenia's Ruling Coalition Heads for Election Victory (Update2)

    By Sebastian Alison and Troy Etulain

    May 13 (Bloomberg) -- Armenia's ruling coalition headed for victory
    in parliamentary elections deemed ``largely'' fair by international
    monitors. The opposition said the poll was flawed.

    The Republican Party of Prime Minister Serzh Sargsyan won about a
    third of the votes counted by 3 p.m. local time, twice as many as its
    nearest rival, the electoral commission said on its Web site. The
    coalition's share was more than 60 percent, with more than 98 percent
    of ballots counted. The official result won't be announced for a few
    days.

    The vote was ``an improvement on previous elections and were
    conducted largely in accordance with the standards for international
    elections,'' Tone Tingsgard, who coordinated the monitoring for the
    Vienna-based Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe,
    told a news conference in Yerevan today. The OSCE had 400 people
    monitoring the voting.

    All Armenian elections since 1995 had been declared flawed by
    international observers. The landlocked state of 3.2 million people,
    bordering Iran and Turkey and about the size of Maryland, is the
    third-largest recipient of direct U.S. aid per person. It was warned
    it may lose aid if this poll was also defective.

    ``I wouldn't consider it a legitimate election,'' Tigran Mkrtchian of
    the opposition Country of Law Party said in Yerevan today. ``We are
    very disappointed.''

    The coalition's Prosperous Armenia party's share of the votes counted
    was about 15 percent, and its partner Armenian Revolutionary Front
    about 13 percent, figures from the electoral commission showed.
    Turnout was 59.4 percent, or about 1.3 million of an electorate of
    about 2.3 million.

    Election Laws

    Foreign Minister Vardan Oskanian had said before the vote that ``we
    can't afford another election that doesn't meet international
    standards.'' The OSCE's Tingsgard said Armenian officials ``did their
    utmost'' to adhere to election laws.

    Leo Platvoet, head of the delegation from the 47-member Council of
    Europe, said that while there were some ``irregularities,''
    ``progress'' was made.

    Armenia's government has an estimated budget of $1.6 billion this
    year, with revenue of $1.3 billion, according to the CIA World
    Factbook. U.S. aid has fallen to about $55 million a year, from $75
    million previously, putting it behind Israel and Egypt. The country
    got about $254 million in overseas development aid in 2004 and also
    relies on remittances from expatriates.

    The U.S. and Armenia signed a new agreement last year which may
    generate an aid package worth $235 million, to reduce rural poverty.
    Agriculture accounts for almost half of all jobs in the country and
    only about a sixth of gross domestic product.

    Predecessor Dies

    The opposition staged several rallies before the vote and had
    threatened more demonstrations if they deemed the ballot flawed.
    About 3,000 people had gathered in the rain at a large square beside
    Yerevan's Opera House today by 5:45 p.m.

    Sargsyan became prime minister when his predecessor, Andranik
    Margarian, died in office in March. The former defense minister has
    said he may stand for the presidency next year, when incumbent Robert
    Kocharian stands down.

    Armenia is in a sixth consecutive year of economic growth of more
    than 10 percent per year, Foreign Minister Oskanian said. The number
    of people living in poverty has fallen from 56 percent to 27 percent
    in the last 2 1/2 years, Sargsyan said.

    The U.S. also has interests in neighboring Georgia and Azerbaijan. A
    crude-oil pipeline runs from the Azeri capital Baku across Georgia to
    the Turkish Black Sea port of Ceyhan.

    Armenia has no diplomatic relations with Azerbaijan or Turkey. It
    fought a war with Azerbaijan over the disputed region of
    Nagorno-Karabakh. The region has a majority ethnic-Armenian
    population and unilaterally declared independence in 1991. It is
    shown on maps distributed by the United Nations as being part of
    Azerbaijan and is completely surrounded by that country. Both
    Sargsyan and Kocharian come from Nagorno-Karabakh.

    Sargsyan has said he wants to resolve the Nagorno-Karabakh dispute
    and establish diplomatic relations with Turkey ``without any
    preconditions.''
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