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A NEW COALITION WILL BE FORMED, "HANRAPETAKAN" (REPUBLICAN) PARTY - THE INITIATOR
AZG Armenian Daily
15/05/2007
"A coalition will be formed, Hanrapetakan" (Republican) party will
be the initiator. It can make its selection between "Dashnaktsutyun"
(ARF) and "Bargavach Hayastan" (Prosperious Armenia). In this case
"Hanrapetakan" will strengthen its position in NA and declare its
conditions", said sociologist Aharon Adibekian in the interview to
"Azg" daily on May 13.
>From his point of view the abovementioned three parties will form a
coalition in NA, be a majority and pass the resolutions they want.
Evaluating the parliamentary elections of May 12, the sociologist
mentioned that they had already forecasted 55-60% of participation in
elections, which corresponded to reality: the Central Electoral
Commission ratified that 59% of voters participated in the
elections. This time people's votes were on reasonable bases, the
voters didn't believe in promises and didn't trust in disrupted
opposition.
The sociologist had forecasted that, in the case of 55-60 %
participation, "Hanrapetakan" party will have 30%, "Bargavach Haiastan"
24% and "Dashanktsutyun" 8-9% of votes. As Aharon Adibekian explained,
"Dashnaktsutyun" received 13.1% of votes because "a part of "Bargavach"
party's votes went to "Hanrapetakan" and "Dashnaktsutyun" parties.
"Dashnaktsutyun" also gained a part of "Orinats erkir" party's
votes. The sociologist explained that "Bargavach" gained 15.1%
of votes, because the declared number of the party's members (380
thousand) was not real and the functionaries had led the leaders of
the party into error.
The sociologist mentioned that their forecasts came true on the
whole. Our mistake is within 1%, likes to say Aharon Adibekian.
His forecasts, that Stepan Demirchian's "HJK" (People party of
Armenia), Artashes Geghamian's "AM" (National Unity) and Samvel
Babaian's "Dashink" would have only 3-6% of votes, was considered
as a nonsense. Tigran Karapetian's "JK" party's 25% and "JUK"
(Democratic Path), "Democratic party" and "Hnchakian" parties' 5-6%
expectations were, of course, groundless. "MAK" (United Labor Party)
had also a big chance but the chances must be used.
What about "Jarangutyun" (Heritage) Adibekian didn't have a doubt
that it would overcome the 5% barrier.
The sociologist is sure that the success of "Jarangutyun" party is
because of the personal image and rating of Raffi Hovhannisian and
his reliance upon the intellectuals.
The biggest surprise of the elections was the utter defeat of "HJK",
"JUK","JK" and other opposition parties.
The head of the pollster center "Sociometre" thinks that we have
entered a period, when the voters can do a reasonable voting, and those
personalities come to power, who have manifested their abilities in
different spheres.
AZG Armenian Daily
15/05/2007
"A coalition will be formed, Hanrapetakan" (Republican) party will
be the initiator. It can make its selection between "Dashnaktsutyun"
(ARF) and "Bargavach Hayastan" (Prosperious Armenia). In this case
"Hanrapetakan" will strengthen its position in NA and declare its
conditions", said sociologist Aharon Adibekian in the interview to
"Azg" daily on May 13.
>From his point of view the abovementioned three parties will form a
coalition in NA, be a majority and pass the resolutions they want.
Evaluating the parliamentary elections of May 12, the sociologist
mentioned that they had already forecasted 55-60% of participation in
elections, which corresponded to reality: the Central Electoral
Commission ratified that 59% of voters participated in the
elections. This time people's votes were on reasonable bases, the
voters didn't believe in promises and didn't trust in disrupted
opposition.
The sociologist had forecasted that, in the case of 55-60 %
participation, "Hanrapetakan" party will have 30%, "Bargavach Haiastan"
24% and "Dashanktsutyun" 8-9% of votes. As Aharon Adibekian explained,
"Dashnaktsutyun" received 13.1% of votes because "a part of "Bargavach"
party's votes went to "Hanrapetakan" and "Dashnaktsutyun" parties.
"Dashnaktsutyun" also gained a part of "Orinats erkir" party's
votes. The sociologist explained that "Bargavach" gained 15.1%
of votes, because the declared number of the party's members (380
thousand) was not real and the functionaries had led the leaders of
the party into error.
The sociologist mentioned that their forecasts came true on the
whole. Our mistake is within 1%, likes to say Aharon Adibekian.
His forecasts, that Stepan Demirchian's "HJK" (People party of
Armenia), Artashes Geghamian's "AM" (National Unity) and Samvel
Babaian's "Dashink" would have only 3-6% of votes, was considered
as a nonsense. Tigran Karapetian's "JK" party's 25% and "JUK"
(Democratic Path), "Democratic party" and "Hnchakian" parties' 5-6%
expectations were, of course, groundless. "MAK" (United Labor Party)
had also a big chance but the chances must be used.
What about "Jarangutyun" (Heritage) Adibekian didn't have a doubt
that it would overcome the 5% barrier.
The sociologist is sure that the success of "Jarangutyun" party is
because of the personal image and rating of Raffi Hovhannisian and
his reliance upon the intellectuals.
The biggest surprise of the elections was the utter defeat of "HJK",
"JUK","JK" and other opposition parties.
The head of the pollster center "Sociometre" thinks that we have
entered a period, when the voters can do a reasonable voting, and those
personalities come to power, who have manifested their abilities in
different spheres.