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Georgia downbeat on Abkhazia effort to improve demographic situation

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  • Georgia downbeat on Abkhazia effort to improve demographic situation

    Georgian daily downbeat on Abkhazia's efforts to improve demographic
    situation

    Rezonansi, Tbilisi
    24 May 07, p 4

    The parliament of Georgia's breakaway region of Abkhazia has passed a
    resolution designed to save Abkhazia from a "demographic catastrophe",
    the Georgian newspaper Rezonansi has said. Abkhaz MPs are reported to
    have called for the elaboration of a "purposeful" demographic policy
    and the creation of a presidential committee to address the
    problem. In addition to encouraging the increase of the birth rate,
    repatriation of ethnic Abkhaz from Turkey is considered to be one of
    the ways to improve the situation. Rezonansi highlights the Abkhaz
    government's efforts to convince the descendants of ethnic Abkhaz
    exiled from the Russian Empire to Muslim countries in the late 19th
    century to return to Abkhazia. The following is the text of report by
    Elza Tsiklauri in Georgian newspaper Rezonansi on 24 May headlined
    "Abkhazia on brink of demographic catastrophe. Sukhumi is most
    concerned that 'low birth rate will affect staffing of army and
    law-enforcement bodies'". Subheadings have been inserted editorially:

    Abkhazia is on the brink of a demographic catastrophe and 5,000
    descendants of the Abkhaz muhajirs [Abkhaz exiled from the Russian
    Empire to Muslim countries in the late 19th century] need to be
    resettled from Turkey to rectify the situation. The separatist
    "People's Assembly" [parliament] discussed this two days ago and
    passed a special resolution "On the demographic situation in
    Abkhazia".

    In general, this issue has always been topical in Abkhazia. Today,
    people in Sukhumi say that one of the main reasons of the 1992-1993
    war was precisely the demographic imbalance which Georgians had been
    artificially creating in Abkhazia throughout the 20th century.

    The separatist government has already allocated 570,000 dollars for
    the muhajirs' resettlement from Turkey. "President" [Sergey] Bagapsh
    is planning to visit Turkey in the nearest future.

    According to experts, the separatist government's attempt will fail
    due to a number of various reasons.

    Abkhaz parliament's resolution on demographic situation

    The Abkhaz parliament, concerned with the demographic situation,
    passed a relevant resolution two days ago. According to the "People's
    Assembly" members, the prevailing situation "is threatening the
    present and the future of the Abkhaz people" and "causes serious
    concern".

    According to de facto deputies, "low birth rate will affect the
    staffing of the army and law-enforcement bodies and the country's
    defence capability will decrease as a result".

    They also noted, however, that low birth rate is not related to
    economic conditions and "the reason should be searched for in the
    spiritual sphere and political instability".

    The "People's Assembly" believes that "the state should elaborate a
    purposeful demographic policy and a special commission has to be
    created with the president". In the de facto deputies' view, "the
    state should encourage birth rate, support young families and
    facilitate the return of the muhajirs' descendants to their historic
    homeland".

    "When a state is facing such a serious demographic problem, not having
    a long-term and serious demographic policy is unacceptable. All our
    actions are aimed at the creation and scheduled implementation of such
    a blueprint. We hope that the president and the government will
    support us in this issue," de facto parliament deputy chairwoman Irina
    Agrba said.

    "We believe that one of the important projects in this regard is the
    creation of an international demographic fund. Such fund will
    elaborate and implement projects which will improve the demographic
    situation first and foremost by means of intensifying repatriation,"
    Soner Gogua, chairman of the "People's Assembly" committee on
    relations with compatriots, said.

    Programmes designed first and foremost for ethnic Abkhaz

    Batal Kobakhia, chairman of the separatist parliament's human rights
    committee, said that, even though the resolution concerns only Abkhaz,
    it will positively affect the citizens of other ethnic groups living
    in the "republic".

    "Of course, the programmes we are working on first and foremost
    concern ethnic Abkhaz citizens living in Abkhazia although in the long
    run they concern all Abkhaz citizens because settlement of the
    demographic issue will positively influence the atmosphere prevailing
    in our society in general," Kobakhia said.

    According to the "People's Assembly" members, demographic disparity
    was being established in Abkhazia throughout the 20th century and,
    eventually, became one of the reasons for the 1992-1993 war. The
    difficult economic situation that took place after the war caused
    internal migration in Abkhazia which had a negative effect on the
    "republic's" eastern parts.

    Homes for repatriates

    The "People's Assembly" passed another important document before
    making the aforementioned decision. Specifically, according to
    "parliament's" resolution, it is planned to allocate 570,000 dollars
    to settle the housing problem for the repatriates. It is planned to
    purchase, build and repair residential property for the repatriates
    with this money. Within the framework of the same programme, the
    repatriation fund has restored a nine-storey house on Eshba Street in
    the centre of Sukhumi.

    However, 570,000 dollars allocated by the Sukhumi government for the
    repatriates might satisfy not more that several dozen families
    because, according to the latest reports, residential property in
    Abkhazia is not too cheap.

    For example, the price of a private house in Gagra, Gudauta and
    Sukhumi ranges between 100,000 and 300,000 dollars. The price depends
    on where a specific house is located, how close it is to the Russian
    border, whether the paperwork is in order, and on its condition.

    Residential property in Tqvarcheli and Ochamchire is much cheaper. The
    price of a private house might not exceed 2,000-3,000 dollars.

    Armenians oppose resettlement plans

    It is also noteworthy that president Bagapsh made a statement about
    the return of descendants of the Abkhaz muhajirs who were exiled
    during the Russian-Caucasian war on Abkhaz territory. Like the
    "People's Assembly", Bagapsh stated difficult demographic situation in
    the "republic" as one of the main reasons.

    Moreover, the "president" was planning to visit Turkey in April in
    connection with this issue but he has not yet been able to fulfil this
    mission because of his illness. There are reports that the "president"
    is planning to go to Turkey in late May.

    Bagapsh's visit to Turkey was planned as early as in December last
    year when the "world congress of Abkhaz-Abazin peoples" was held in
    Sukhumi. This is precisely when the talk started about direct air
    communications with Turkey and the introduction of special economic
    privileges for Turkish businessmen. The issue of the muhajirs' return
    was raised at this congress as well. However, this issue might become
    the reason for serious confrontation in Abkhazia itself. Abkhazia's
    Armenian diaspora categorically opposes the muhajirs' resettlement and
    the establishment of close relations with Turkey. Armenians demand
    that their interests be considered when making such an important
    political decision.

    It is also noteworthy that the Abkhaz de facto president went to
    Turkey and Western Asia several times to meet with the diaspora of the
    muhajirs' descendants. At the time too, Bagapsh had a serious
    conversation with the muhajirs' descendants about their investing
    their capital in the Abkhaz economy. [Former Abkhaz President]
    Vladislav Ardzinba frequently visited Western Asia and Turkey
    too. Nevertheless, there was no talk about resettling the muhajirs'
    descendants at the time or today. The Sukhumi government, however,
    wanted this very much both at the time and today.

    Repatriation unlikely

    A small number of muhajirs came to Abkhazia back before the
    Georgian-Abkhaz conflict. The next flow went to Sukhumi after the war
    in order to familiarize themselves with the situation there. After
    clarifying the situation on the spot, however, most of them left
    Abkhaz territory. Only several dozen families stayed in Abkhazia.

    The muhajirs' descendants themselves own quite a large amount of
    capital in Turkey and Western Asia and have a good social
    status. According to unofficial reports, there are 65,000-68,000
    Abkhaz living in Abkhazia today, the number of Georgians is
    approximately the same. As for Armenians, their number ranges between
    80,000 and 90,000. The results of a survey carried out in Abkhazia
    established that only one third of the [current] number of Abkhaz will
    be left in Abkhazia in 25-26 years' time.

    According to Georgian experts, the difficult demographic situation is
    pushing the separatist government into [trying to] resettle the
    muhajirs in Abkhazia.

    "Demographic situation is a serious problem in Abkhazia and the
    'People's Assembly' has admitted this by passing the resolution. As
    for the resettlement of the muhajirs' descendants in Abkhazia, they
    would have returned by now had they wanted to. The religious factor is
    playing the role here as well because muhajirs are Muslim while the
    Abkhaz living in Abkhazia are Christian. The language factor has an
    important role to play too.

    "In addition, Turkey is close to Europe, the talks about its accession
    to the EU are under way. This is why I think that the muhajirs'
    descendants have no prospects in living in Abkhazia and a serious
    breakthrough in this regard is unlikely to happen," Paata
    Zakareishvili, conflictologist [affiliated with the Georgian
    opposition Republican Party], said in conversation with Rezonansi.
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