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  • Country Status Changes

    COUNTRY STATUS CHANGES
    Armen Tsatouryan

    "Hayots Ashkharh" Daily Newspaper
    6 Nov 07
    Armenia

    The two Presidents' extramural debate

    The part of the Opposition which has united around ex-President
    Ter-Petrosuyan realizes very well that the real ratio of forces is
    not to their benefit, and they will definitely be defeated in the
    elections. That's why they have committed themselves to the realization
    of the goal of changing the country's atmosphere by all means.

    In 1990, the situation in Armenia could really allow for a change
    of the political atmosphere in a few months' time and hence result
    in a change of the ratio forces as well. Let's at least remember the
    depressive situation characteristic to the economic crisis of those
    years and the resulting nihilism and general atmosphere of distrust
    which allowed the factions opposing President Ter-Petrosyan to change
    the ratio of forces existing in the country.

    However, Armenia is currently living in conditions of quite different
    political, economic and social developments, and President Robert
    Kocharyan confirmed this in his recent speech at the Yerevan Medical
    University. The President expressed confidence that the country simply
    faces no danger in terms of changing the existing ratio of forces. "The
    status of the country has changed. There is no longer the malice that
    generally existed in the country, the depressive situation which could
    provoke people to indecent actions as well as the illogical steps. And
    the politicians and the political factions that will try to follow
    this variant will simply go bankrupt," R. Kocharyan mentioned.

    And really, Armenia currently lacks the critical mass of dissatisfied,
    totally bankrupt people who are ready to run after any "savior". In
    the past, the more aggressive and attacking attitude the activists
    and forces adopted towards the authorities, the greater chances for
    victory they had.

    Therefore, after Mr. Ter-Petrosyan submitted a political claim having
    felt the effectiveness of such methods on his own back, it is quite
    natural and logical for R. Kochayan to remind him that Armenia is
    currently in the 21st century.

    And it is not accidental that for substantiating his viewpoints, the
    President points out to the perfect failure of the political forces
    that adopted a more aggressive attitude. "The parliamentary elections
    clearly showed that the politicians who behaved most aggressively
    were not elected to the Parliament. This is the best way to estimate
    the right way of manifesting oneself in politics at present." Having
    returned to politics after 10 years' silence and placed his political
    pledge on the malice and nihilism characteristic to the 1990s, the
    ex-President is reminded in this way that it is impossible to engage
    oneself in serious politics based on the values of the past.

    R. Kocharyan's assessment with regard to the country's current
    situation does not absolutely testify to the fact that he has
    overlooked the complex problems faced by Armenia in a qualitatively
    new stage, the most important among them being the social polarization
    and hence - the extreme inequality of the population's economic means,
    which very often results in loss of faith in justice.

    On the contrary, it is this kind of situations that strictly
    necessitate the existence of a serious opposition whose "absence is
    also a mischief for the country." The thing is that, based the analysis
    of objective situations, R. Kochayan has clearly distinguished the
    necessity of having an opposition in the country from the attempts
    of increasing one's political capital by aggressive conduct.

    Stating these two contradictory assessments regarding the country's
    political and economic situation that has become the subject of
    the extramural discussions between the country's former and current
    Presidents, we can come to the conclusion that we are actually dealing
    with ideas belonging to two different epochs. The sharp change of
    the ratio of forces of which the ex-President and his political
    team are currently dreaming was really possible in conditions of the
    hard social and economic problems faced by Armenia at the beginning
    of the '90s. However, it is also obvious that having overcome the
    sharp political and economic crisis and entered the 21st century,
    our country found the favorable-reformist ways of solving so many
    new and complex problems faced by us.

    L. Ter-Petrosyan's ideas about the politically unstable and
    economically collapsed Armenia of the 1990s come in conflict with the
    approaches of President R. Kocharyan, who possesses full information
    on the country's real situation.

    The former places the political pledge upon the impressions and
    recollections of the past and the latter - upon the real values of
    the current situation.
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