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  • International Momentary Fund: Statement At The Conclusion Of An IMF

    INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND: STATEMENT AT THE CONCLUSION OF AN IMF MISSION TO ARMENIA

    M2 Presswire
    October 1, 2007

    M2 PRESSWIRE-OCTOBER 1, 2007-INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND: Statement
    at the Conclusion of an IMF Mission to Armenia ©1994-2007 M2
    COMMUNICATIONS LTD

    A International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission led by Ms. Marta
    Castello-Branco, visited Yerevan during the period September 5-19,
    2007, to conduct discussions for the fifth review under the Poverty
    Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF) arrangement, and to seek
    understandings on the 2008 budget. Mr. Lorenzo Perez, Deputy Director
    of the IMF, also participated in the concluding policy discussions.

    The mission met with government officials, Central Bank of Armenia
    (CBA) staff, business representatives, and the international donor
    community. A key task of the mission was to reach understandings on
    an appropriate policy framework for the remainder of 2007 and 2008,
    in light of the need to manage large-scale foreign exchange inflows and
    to deal with emerging expenditure pressures associated with the planned
    pension increases and a potential hike in import gas prices in 2009.

    The mission issued the following statement at the conclusion of the
    mission on September 18, 2007:

    "Economic performance remains strong, with double-digit growth, low
    inflation, and a further improvement in tax collection. The outlook
    for 2008 and beyond remains positive, in view of favorable investment
    prospects and availability of external grants. Import growth continues
    to outpace export growth, but strong inflows of remittances should
    dampen the impact of the appreciating dram on the current account
    deficit. Since foreign exchange inflows are expected to persist, to
    maintain external competitiveness the authorities need to keep prudent
    monetary and fiscal policies, and remove structural impediments to
    economic growth.

    "The PRGF-supported program remains on track. Program measures will
    continue to focus on maintaining macroeconomic stability and on
    implementing structural reforms to strengthen tax administration and
    improve financial intermediation.

    "A prudent fiscal stance in recent years has contributed to low
    inflation, high growth, and low public debt. Going forward, continued
    sound fiscal policy will be essential for maintaining macroeconomic
    stability and external competitiveness, as well as encouraging foreign
    investment. At the same time, increasing the tax revenue/GDP ratio in
    a transparent and nondiscretionary manner will be crucial to finance
    infrastructure projects, expand essential poverty-reducing services,
    and improve the business environment.

    "Inflation remains well within the authorities' target band (4
    1.5 percent), but the central bank should stand ready to tighten
    monetary policy if high food and energy import prices exert
    inflationary pressure. The recent pick-up in credit growth is a
    positive development and, together with the expected entry of new
    foreign banks, should help increase financial intermediation. To
    avoid possible risks related to a rapid expansion of bank credit,
    the CBA should continue to hold banks to high prudential standards
    and encourage further improvement in banks' risk management and in
    borrower transparency (through strengthened corporate governance and
    accounting, and an effective credit bureau.

    "While the business environment has improved markedly, several recent
    surveys highlight important remaining challenges, particularly
    regarding tax administration, access to credit, and domestic
    competition. Addressing these shortcomings will be crucial to enhance
    productivity and improve Armenia's competitiveness. The entry of
    new banks and the acceleration in credit growth are good news in
    that regard. However, further action is needed to strengthen tax
    administration and to encourage domestic competition. To that end,
    the mission considers as top priorities:

    o To make serious efforts to modernize tax administration, while
    increasing efficiency, transparency, and fairness in tax collection.

    Discretionary means, such as the accumulation of unprocessed VAT
    refunds and requests for advance tax payments should not be used for
    achieving revenue targets.

    o To look for ways to reduce monopolistic practices in the import
    business, with a view to increasing the pass-through of exchange rate
    changes to domestic prices.

    o To allow current tax exemptions to expire, while not introducing
    new exemptions or tax amnesties. International experience has shown
    that what is crucial to encourage enterprise development is removing
    existing barriers and bottlenecks in order to create a level playing
    field and further improve the business environment."

    CONTACT: Public Affairs Tel: +1 202 623 7300 Fax: +1 202 623 6772
    Media Relations Tel: +1 202 623 7100 Fax: +1 202 623 6278

    (M2 Communications Ltd disclaims all liability for information provided
    within M2 PressWIRE. Data supplied by named party/parties.

    Further information on M2 PressWIRE can be obtained at
    http://www.presswire.net on the world wide web. Inquiries to
    [email protected]).

    --Boundary_(ID_V3SIjOjFfZpcNY+VL XmTMQ)--

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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