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Likely passage of genocide resolution reflects White House weakness

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  • Likely passage of genocide resolution reflects White House weakness

    International Herald Tribune, France
    Oct 12 2007


    Likely passage of Armenian genocide resolution reflects White House
    weakness
    The Associated PressPublished: October 11, 2007



    WASHINGTON: For years Turkey has managed to prevent U.S. lawmakers
    from adopting resolutions declaring atrocities against Armenians more
    than 90 years ago. Now, at a time when the United States needs Turkey
    more than ever, supporters of the measure are on the verge of winning
    its passage.

    The reason for the timing has to do with the current weakness of
    President George W. Bush, who opposed the measure, and the new power
    of Democratic leaders in the House of Representatives, who have
    supported it.

    It is now up to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to decide whether and when
    to schedule a vote in the full House. She said Thursday the proposal
    would be brought to a vote this year.

    Pelosi, who assumed the most powerful job in the House when her
    Democrats took power in January, comes from a voting district in
    California with a sizable Armenian population and publicly backed the
    measure long before she became leader of the House.

    "I've been in Congress for 20 years, and for 20 years people have
    been saying the same thing" about the timing being bad, she said.
    Turkey was seen as having a strategic location during the Cold War as
    well as the 1991 Persian Gulf War and the current Iraq war.


    "Why do it now? Because there's never a good time, and all of us in
    the Democratic leadership have supported" it, she said.

    The House Foreign Affairs Committee cleared the way for a vote in the
    full House by approving the measure Wednesday.

    At issue is the killing of up to 1.5 million Armenians by Ottoman
    Turks around the time of World War I, an event widely viewed by
    genocide scholars as the first genocide of the 20th century. Turkey
    denies that the deaths constituted genocide, saying the toll has been
    inflated, and those killed were victims of civil war and unrest that
    killed Muslims as well as the overwhelmingly Christian Armenians.

    Congress frequently passes similar nonbinding "sense of the Congress"
    resolutions, often on historical matters. Few provoke such angry
    responses abroad or as much lobbying in Washington as this measure.

    The administration kept up the pressure on Thursday.

    Defense Secretary Robert Gates and Secretary of State Condoleezza
    Rice offered House members a classified briefing to spell out what
    they called "national security interests" at stake. Top military
    leaders including Adm. Michael Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs
    of Staff, telephoned congressional offices to describe potential
    repercussions for passage.

    In a letter, Gates and Rice reminded Pelosi, that Turkey canceled
    contracts with the French military after France's national assembly
    condemned the Turks' role in the Armenian deaths.

    "A similar reaction by the elected government of Turkey to a House
    resolution could harm American troops in the field, constrain our
    ability to supply our troops in Iraq and Afghanistan and
    significantly damage our efforts to promote reconciliation between
    Armenia and Turkey at a key turning point in their relations," Rice
    and Gates said in the letter reviewed by the Associated Press.

    They urged Pelosi not to allow a vote on the resolution.

    Turkey has been working for months to persuade lawmakers of that
    course of action. Ankara has hinted that it would even consider
    shutting down supply routes through Turkey to Iraq that are crucial
    to U.S. military operations.

    On Thursday, Foreign Ministry spokesman Levent Bilman said the
    ambassador to Washington, Nabi Sensoy, was being recalled for
    consultations. Also, the U.S. ambassador to Turkey, Ross Wilson, was
    invited to the Foreign Ministry and was told by Turkish officials of
    their "unease" about the resolution.

    Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan was considering a list of
    possible responses to the United States that he could make public in
    coming days, according to a senior Turkish official, who spoke on
    condition of anonymity because he had not been authorized to talk
    about the issue.

    When asked earlier if Turkey would shut down Incirlik, a strategic
    air base in Turkey used by the U.S. Air Force for operations in Iraq,
    Erdogan replied: "You don't talk about such things; you just do
    them."

    The threats of such repercussions have caused the Bush administration
    to go all out to influence lawmakers and soothe the Turks. Senior
    officials have been warning for months against passage, and hours
    before Wednesday's vote, Rice, Gates and the president went before
    cameras to warn against passing the resolution.

    But Bush, bogged down in Iraq and with approval ratings at home stuck
    at about 30 percent, has little political capital to spend.

    Even after the administration's concerted anti-resolution drive, the
    committee voted 27-21 Wednesday in favor of the measure, which even
    included eight of the president's fellow Republicans in open
    defiance.

    One of the committee members who said he was called by Bush is Puerto
    Rico's delegate, Luis Fortuno, who told Puerto Rican media on
    Thursday that he was surprised to hear Bush on his telephone. As a
    representative of the U.S. commonwealth, Fortuno has no vote on the
    House floor but can participate in committee votes.

    "Usually, these calls are coordinated," Fortuno said, "but this was a
    call to my cell phone, and I take it. It was him, talking in Spanish;
    in other words, this is not the norm."
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