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  • No way to treat a friend

    Khaleej Times, United Arab Emirates
    Oct 19 2007

    No way to treat a friend
    BY CHRIS PATTEN

    19 October 2007



    FOR the third year in a row, Turkey's annual hurdles on the winding
    path of convergence with the EU - a progress report early next month
    and the European Council in December - are likely to be bruising.


    Doubters will seize on gridlock over Cyprus and a pause in
    legislative reform to allege that Turkey is not changing and should
    be pushed back outside the EU's gates. They will point to Ankara's
    response to US efforts to declare the 1915-23 killing of Armenians a
    genocide, and the political push for an incursion into northern Iraq
    to deal with cross-border terrorist attacks, as evidence that Turkey
    is not ready to join the club. So it is worth stepping back and
    considering why Europe needs Turkey.

    Turkey was critical to Europe in the cold war. For 40 years, it stood
    lonely guard on the south-eastern third of Nato's frontline, paying
    the price in military-heavy government and delayed development. There
    was little carping about its Muslim identity then, and a cultural
    variety that included Turkey was considered a European strength.
    After communism's collapse, Turkey kept contributing to Europe's
    security, giving troops and legitimacy to EU-backed missions in
    Afghanistan, Lebanon, the Balkans, and even Congo. If EU-Turkish
    relations had not stumbled (for which all sides are responsible), it
    would likely be supporting a force for Darfur.

    The process of convergence has been strongly in Europe's interest as
    well, especially the golden period between 1999 and 2005:
    wide-ranging reforms fashioned a more European political system;
    peace and cooperation replaced friction with Greece; annual economic
    growth of 7.5 per cent benefited European companies; Turkey's new
    trust in the EU brought a turnaround on Cyprus that nearly solved the
    problem; and basic freedoms of religion and expression improved. The
    EU won credibility as a fair-minded player in the Muslim world.

    But the sum of these many parts is not seen by European publics and
    politicians, consumed by doubts about enlargement, immigration and
    their own economic security. Election campaigns - notably those of
    Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel - featured a demeaning of the
    Turkish "other" and proposals that Europe drop its promise of
    membership. Conservative EU politicians admit privately that Turkey
    is more benefit than threat, but that to say so out loud would be
    political suicide.

    Fears about instant membership are misplaced. Nobody suggests Turkey
    will be ready for a decade or more. Incomes are less than half the EU
    average, and EU norms are far from implemented.

    Most important for both the EU and Turkey is to relaunch the process
    of convergence that has brought so much benefit to both sides.
    Turkish voters have shown their faith in this process, returning the
    pro-reform AK party to power. It has gone straight back to work,
    tackling in an open spirit one of the key problems in Turkey's
    democratisation: the 1982 military-era constitution.

    As EU leaders prepare for the annual debate over how much reform
    Turkey has done and how much it should do, they should do all they
    can to renew Turkey's trust in the EU. The cost of restoring the
    motivational goal of membership is not high, and the reward great.
    Turkey is not fundamentally different to Greece, Spain and Portugal,
    where EU leaps of faith were essential to a transition from military
    authoritarianism to stability and democracy.

    Lord Patten, the former European commissioner for external relations,
    is chairman of the board of the International Crisis Group
    Crisisgroup.org
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