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Armenian Reporter - 10/20/2007 - front section

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  • Armenian Reporter - 10/20/2007 - front section

    ARMENIAN REPORTER
    PO Box 129
    Paramus, New Jersey 07652
    Tel: 1-201-226-1995
    Fax: 1-201-226-1660
    Web: http://www.reporter.am
    Email: [email protected]

    October 20, 2007 -- From the front section

    To see the printed version of the newspaper, complete with photographs
    and additional content, visit www.reporter.am and download the pdf
    files. It's free.

    1. Turkish bid to kill Genocide resolution intensifies (by Emil Sanamyan)
    * President Bush leads the charge against
    * Speaker Pelosi stands firm
    * Bipartisan support remains strong

    2. Prime Minister Serge Sargsian begins visit to the United States (by
    Emil Sanamyan)
    * Meets Vice President Cheney, Defense Secretary Gates
    * Thanks members of Congress for supporting Genocide resolution

    3. From Washington, in brief (by Emil Sanamyan)
    * Bush foresees "World War III" if Iran were to get nuclear weapons
    * Caspian states hold summit in Tehran
    * Media organization sees progress in Armenia

    4. Turkey's parliament approves attack on Iraqi Kurdistan

    5. Turkish court sentences Arat Dink, Serkis Seropyan (by Talin
    Suciyan in Istanbul)
    * Sentence is one year in prison, suspended
    * Charge is "insulting Turkishness"

    6. U.S. ambassadors chronicle Armenia's progress (by Emil Sanamyan)
    * From humanitarian crisis to normalcy and economic growth

    7. Millennium Challenge Account dollars are hard at work in Armenia's
    rural areas (by Armen Hakobyan)
    * CEO Ara Hovsepyan says the work is fast paced

    8. From Armenia, in brief
    * Embattled judge stripped of his office
    * Georgian prime minister visits Armenia
    * An Armenian-Georgian common market?
    * Korean company to build power plant in Armenia
    * In soccer, Armenia-Serbia ends 0-0
    * And Belgium-Armenia, 3-0
    * Presidents of FIFA and UEFA meet with President Kocharian
    * Russian-Armenian donates manuscript to the Matenadaran
    * Yerevan to have its first skateboard park

    9. Happy birthday to Yerevan (by Betty Panossian-Ter Sargssian)

    10. Levon Ter-Petrossian launches comeback (by Tatul Hakobyan)
    * Ex-president's meetings and public remarks shake up the political scene

    12. Editorial: Fight back

    ******************************************** *******************************

    1. Turkish bid to kill Genocide resolution intensifies

    * President Bush leads the charge against

    * Speaker Pelosi stands firm

    * Bipartisan support remains strong

    by Emil Sanamyan

    WASHINGTON -- In the week after the House Foreign Affairs Committee on
    October 10 endorsed, in a bipartisan 27-21 vote, the resolution
    reaffirming the U.S. record on the Armenian Genocide, the Turkish
    lobby's campaign to defeat the resolution reached a fevered pitch.

    With all its "pressing responsibilities, one thing Congress should
    not be doing is sorting out the historical record of the Ottoman
    Empire," said President George W. Bush.

    Calling the resolution "counterproductive," the president, who
    before his election in 2000 had pledged to properly recognize the
    Armenian Genocide, added, "Congress has more important work to do than
    antagonizing a democratic ally in the Muslim world, especially one
    that is providing vital support for our military every day."

    Editorials and commentaries opposing the resolution appeared in
    several major media outlets. The unifying theme was that the
    resolution was untimely because Turkey was liable to react to the
    resolution by undermining U.S. interests in Iraq and Afghanistan.

    In the face of personal attacks for pressing forward with the
    resolution, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D.-Calif.) said that
    she continues to support it. The timing of the vote "remains to be
    seen," she said; it would be up to its main co-sponsors to decide when
    to advance the measure. Having been endorsed by the House Foreign
    Affairs Committee, the resolution in its present form can be brought
    up at any time before the end of 2008.

    Some senior House Democrats, however, this week joined the House
    Republican leadership in speaking against the resolution. They include
    Reps. John Murtha (Penn.), Ike Skelton (Mo.), Rahm Emanuel (Ill.), and
    John Dingell (Mich.) While the first three are known opponents of the
    measure, Mr. Dingell is in fact one of the co-sponsors.

    About a dozen House members last week withdrew their co-sponsorship
    of the House resolution. The number of signed-on supporters is now
    212, down from a high of 227. Still listed among the co-sponsors is
    Mr. Dingell and Rep. Jane Harman (D.-Calif.), who this week lobbied
    the Speaker against bringing up the resolution.

    But the list of co-sponsors does not include House leaders,
    including Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D.-Md.), who have spoken in
    favor of the resolution. Nor does it include several members who voted
    for it in the Foreign Affairs Committee last week. Thus it is hard to
    say whether the resolution would have the votes of a majority of the
    435 voting members if introduced today.

    Armenian-American organizations are continuing to work to build firm
    support for the resolution. In an October 18 e-mail to supporters, the
    Armenian National Committee of America (ANCA) described this week's
    developments, including negative media coverage, as "a desperate wave
    of 'shock and awe'" designed by Turkey's lobbyists "intended to
    intimidate our supporters and deter us -- as if they ever could --
    from our noble cause of putting America back on the right side of this
    issue.

    "But they won't win. And we won't back down," the message stressed,
    inviting supporters to come to Washington for Advocacy Days next week
    to join a communitywide campaign in the U.S. Congress for the
    resolution's passage.

    The key co-sponsors, Reps. Adam Schiff (D.-Calif.), George
    Radanovich (R.-Calif.), Frank Pallone (D.-N.J.), Joe Knollenberg
    (R.-Mich.), Brad Sherman (D.-Calif.) and Ed Royce (R.-Calif.) issued a
    statement on October 17 saying, "If we as a nation are to be a moral
    leader around the world we must have the courage to recognize genocide
    whenever and wherever it occurs."

    They drew parallels to the U.S. awarding the Dalai Lama this week
    with the Congressional Gold Medal in spite of objects from China. "As
    we take this principled moral stand in defiance of the Chinese
    government, we must similarly be willing to speak out on the Armenian
    Genocide," they argued.

    Asked this week why he would ignore Beijing's objections by meeting
    the Dalai Lama, just as the United States seeks China's support in
    dealing with Iran and North Korea, President George W. Bush explained
    that he "admire[s] the Dalai Lama a lot" and that he would continue to
    bring up religious freedom issues with the Chinese government.

    "And they didn't like it, of course, but I don't think it's going to
    damage -- severely damage relations," he said.

    * Meanwhile in Massachusetts

    On October 16, two Massachusetts towns -- Lexington and Westwood --
    voted to sever their ties with the Anti-Defamation League (ADL) over
    its opposition to the Armenian Genocide resolution, the Boston Globe
    reported the next day.

    ADL leaders are due to discuss their position at a national
    conference early next month after a controversy over the issue
    resulted in six Massachusetts towns withdrawing from ADL's antibigotry
    program in protest.

    **************************************** ***********************************

    2. Prime Minister Serge Sargsian begins visit to the United States

    * Meets Vice President Cheney, Defense Secretary Gates

    * Thanks members of Congress for supporting Genocide resolution

    by Emil Sanamyan

    WASHINGTON -- Prime Minister Serge Sargsian of Armenia, who arrived
    here on October 18, expressed his country's gratitude to congressional
    leaders for their support for the Armenian Genocide resolution.

    "We are thankful to those members of Congress who voted in favor of
    the resolution's passage" in the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Mr.
    Sargsian told the Armenian Reporter. He said the issue had not come up
    in his meeting with Defense Secretary Bob Gates. Their talks on
    October 18 were focused on U.S.--Armenia military cooperation.

    Last week, Mr. Gates along with other Bush administration officials
    spoke out against the resolution, arguing that its passage may result
    in the suspension, by Turkey, of military cooperation with the United
    States, and interfere with logistical supplies to U.S.--led forces in
    Iraq. The forces include a small contingent from the Republic of
    Armenia.

    According to the Armenian Embassy in Washington, Mr. Gates thanked
    Mr. Sargsian for Armenia's contribution to the U.S. effort in Iraq,
    and the sides discussed a possible peacekeeping deployment by Armenia
    in Afghanistan.

    On October 18 Mr. Sargsyan also visited with Vice President Dick
    Cheney and the executive director of the U.S. Millennium Challenge
    Corporation (MCC) Ambassador John Danilovich.

    Speaking to the press following his meeting with Armenia's prime
    minister, Mr. Danilovich said that the MCC is "very happy" about how
    the five-year $235 million program is being implemented in Armenia.
    [See below a story on the implementation of the program.]

    "We are pleased with the progress Armenia is making in all
    respects," Mr. Danilovich said. He added that the MCC looks forward to
    seeing Armenia's presidential elections in early 2008 being conducted
    "in a positive way." Funding for the program is contingent on
    Armenia's continuing compliance with MCC eligibility criteria, which
    include ongoing improvements in the conduct of elections.

    The program began last year and is designed to reduce poverty by
    developing Armenia's rural areas. Armenia qualified for the program
    because of its government's relatively liberal democratic and economic
    policies and its efforts to improve health and education.

    Among former Soviet republics Georgia, Ukraine, and Moldova have
    also been found eligible to sign MCC assistance compacts with the U.S.
    government.

    On October 19 and 20, Mr. Sargsian will be in Los Angeles, where he
    will meet members of the Armenian community. He will then return to
    Washington on October 21 to attend the annual meetings of the World
    Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the biannual
    session of the U.S.--Armenia Task Force on economic cooperation. He
    will also hold talks with congressional leaders and senior State
    Department officials.

    The bank and IMF have provided developmental and fiscal support to
    Armenia with programs totaling over $1 billion over the past decade.
    The organizations' low-interest loans account for the lion's share of
    Armenia's $1.2 billion foreign debt.

    U.S. government aid programs to Armenia have totaled $1.7 billion
    over fifteen years. Last year, U.S.--Armenia trade amounted to $127
    million out of Armenia's total $3.2 billion foreign-trade turnover.
    That put the United States fifth among Armenia's largest trading
    partners, behind Russia, Germany, Belgium, and the Netherlands.

    ************************************ ***************************************

    3. From Washington, in brief

    by Emil Sanamyan

    * Bush foresees "World War III" if Iran were to get nuclear weapons

    President George W. Bush warned this week that "World War III" might
    ensue if Iran were to "have the knowledge necessary to make a nuclear
    weapon."

    Speaking at a White House press conference on October 17, Mr. Bush
    confirmed his belief that Iran's leaders "want to have the capacity,
    the knowledge, in order to make a nuclear weapon" and that "if Iran
    had a nuclear weapon, it would be a dangerous threat to world peace."

    Iran's leaders say they have a right under an international
    nonproliferation treaty to enrich uranium into nuclear fuel, a
    capability that can be used for both civilian and military purposes.
    They deny they are seeking to build nuclear weapons.

    As part of a policy to rally international support for the isolation
    of Iran, whose leader "has announced that he wants to destroy Israel,"
    Mr. Bush said he "told people that if you're interested in avoiding
    World War III, it seems like you ought to be interested in preventing
    them from having the knowledge necessary to make a nuclear weapon." He
    did not elaborate.

    Asked about the previous days' visit by Russian President Vladimir
    Putin to Iran, in which he reportedly expressed doubts that Iran is
    seeking nuclear weapons and warned against an attack on Iran, Mr. Bush
    said that he is "looking forward to getting President Putin's readout
    from the meeting."

    Mr. Putin's comments came days after the U.S. secretaries of state
    and defense visited Russia and the sides failed to overcome a long
    list of disagreements.

    Moscow has protested Washington's plans to build missile interceptor
    and radar sites in Poland and the Czech Republic to counter potential
    future missile launches from Iran. Such sites, they argue, would also
    interfere with Russia's capabilities.

    In response, Mr. Putin has threatened to pull out by December 12 of
    a treaty that places restrictions on conventional forces in Europe.
    Russia has also relaunched regular patrols by its long-range
    nuclear-armed aircraft.

    On October 18, the Financial Times quoted U.S. officials as saying
    that Washington could scale back European missile defense plans only
    if Iran halts its nuclear program.

    The United States and Russia also disagree on the future status of
    Kosovo, a breakaway former Serbian province whose independence
    Washington supports. Mr. Putin hinted that he would retaliate by
    recognizing breakaway republics that are nominally part of the
    Republic of Georgia, which enjoys a warm relationship with Washington.

    At this week's press conference, Mr. Bush noted that Moscow has
    shared U.S. concerns about Iran and supported U.S.-initiated sanctions
    (although only after watering them down) at the United Nations, where
    Russia is one of five countries with veto power.

    "The whole strategy is, is that at some point in time, leaders or
    responsible folks inside of Iran may get tired of isolation and say,
    this isn't worth it. And to me, it's worth the effort to keep the
    pressure on this government," Mr. Bush surmised.

    He avoided questions on whether he would support an Israeli military
    strike "in self-defense" against Iran. Rumors of a U.S. or Israeli
    strike against Iran have been rife for over a year.

    * Caspian states hold summit in Tehran

    Leaders of Azerbaijan, Iran, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Turkmenistan met
    on October 16 in Tehran to discuss unresolved disputes over maritime
    borders in the Caspian. These disputes stem from the absence of a
    legal agreement over the sea and its resources. While Russia has
    agreed on its borders with Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan, the latter has
    yet to do so with Iran and Turkmenistan.

    The summit served as the occasion for the first visit by a Moscow
    leader to Iran since Joseph Stalin met with the U.S. president and
    British prime minister there in 1943 at the height of World War II.

    In a document signed with President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of Iran,
    President Vladimir Putin confirmed Russian companies' plans to make
    major investments in Iran's energy section. This is something the U.S.
    has opposed.

    The five countries reportedly also confirmed their intentions not to
    allow forces from outside the region (meaning the United States) to
    use their territories to attack fellow Caspian states.

    At the same time, as the Jamestown Foundation reported citing
    regional media, the Caspian states remained at odds about plans for
    laying oil and gas pipelines under the Caspian seabed from Central
    Asia to Azerbaijan for subsequent export to Europe. This is something
    the U.S. has championed and Russia and Iran oppose.

    The meeting was only the second such summit, the first having been
    held in the Turkmen capital in 2002. The countries' leaders agreed to
    meet again in Baku in October 2008.

    * Media organization sees progress in Armenia

    Reporters without Borders (RSF), a Paris-based media-rights
    organization issued its annual Worldwide Press Freedom Index, ranking
    Armenia better than at any time since 2003, when RSF began to include
    Armenia in its studies.

    Based on views of experts in 15 freedom-of-expression organizations,
    a network of 130 correspondents and in-country journalists, lawyers,
    and human-rights activists, RSF ranked Armenia 77th of 169 countries
    studied, up from the 90th position in 2003 and 101st last year. The
    new ranking likely reflects the more balanced media coverage that
    international and domestic observers noted during Armenia's most
    recent elections in May and a handful of cases of journalists'
    harassment over last year.

    In Armenia's neighborhood Georgia ranked 66th, Turkey 101st,
    Azerbaijan 139th, Russia 144th, and Iran 166th. Iceland, Norway,
    Estonia, and Slovakia topped the media-freedom list while
    Turkmenistan, North Korea, and Eritrea were at the bottom. The United
    States was ranked 38th.

    connect:
    http://www.rsf.org

    ************** ************************************************** ***********

    4. Turkey's parliament approves attack on Iraqi Kurdistan

    Turkey continued to pressure the United States and Iraqi Kurdistan to
    act against anti-Turkey Kurdish forces in northern Iraq as the Turkish
    parliament, dominated by the party of Prime Minister Recep Tayyip
    Erdogan and his even more nationalistic opponents, voted on October 17
    to give the military the go-ahead to conduct large-scale operations
    inside Iraq.

    Ankara has for months threatened that it would invade northern Iraq,
    as forces collectively referred to as the Kurdistan Workers' Party
    (PKK) stepped up their attacks on security forces in the southeastern
    Turkey.

    On October 18, thousands of Kurds rallied in northern Iraq to
    protest the vote. The next day Iraqi Kurdish leader Massoud Barzani
    promised to fight Turkish forces attack, but no invasion appeared
    imminent, The Associated Press reported.

    In his October 17 press conference President Bush said, "We are
    making it very clear to Turkey that we don't think it is in their
    interests to . . . send massive additional troops into" Iraq. He said
    the PKK should be dealt with through "dialoguing" between U.S.,
    Turkey, and Iraq.

    Both the Bush administration and Ankara have linked the possible
    invasion of Iraqi Kurdistan to the passage of the Armenian Genocide
    resolution in the U.S. Congress.

    Turkish officials have said that that U.S. should "compensate" for
    the possible passage of the resolution by supporting Ankara's
    interests in Iraq. (See the top story in the October 13 issue of the
    Armenian Reporter). On the other hand, the Bush administration has
    portrayed its fight against the resolution as part of an effort to
    mollify Turkey and restrain it from going into Iraqi Kurdistan.

    - E.S.

    ******************************************** *******************************

    5. Turkish court sentences Arat Dink, Serkis Seropyan

    * Sentence is one year in prison, suspended

    * Charge is "insulting Turkishness"

    by Talin Suciyan

    ISTANBUL - It was midnight in Turkey when the U.S. House Foreign
    Affairs Committee passed House Resolution 106, reaffirming the U.S.
    record on the Armenian Genocide.

    The following morning Arat Dink, who has succeeded his assassinated
    father Hrant Dink as the editor-in-chief of the Turkish-Armenian
    weekly Agos, and the newspaper's license holder Serkis Seropyan were
    sentenced to a one-year suspended prison sentence under Article 301 of
    the Turkish penal code for "insulting Turkishness."

    The case was opened against Agos because the newspaper reprinted an
    interview Hrant Dink gave to the Reuters news agency last year, in
    which he said he believed that the events in 1915 were indeed
    genocide. The news item carrying the interview appeared in the July
    21, 2007 issue of Agos.

    While many others Turkish media outlets likewise reprinted the
    interview, a legal complaint was initiated against only against Agos.
    The complaint was filed by Recep Akkus, a member of the
    ultranationalist organization Great Lawyers' Union, which had also
    targeted Hrant Dink.

    As a result of the earlier lawsuit, Hrant Dink had been found guilty
    under article 301. In his last article, Hrant Dink wondered whether
    the decision to target him had anything to do with his Armenian
    identity.

    * "Considering . . . the personalities"

    The court decision against Arat Dink says, "Considering the act and
    the personalities of both persons, one year of imprisonment was given
    as increased severity." (This means that the sentence was not the most
    severe according to Turkish law, but it is more severe than usual.)

    According to Agos lawyer Fethiye Çetin, this is a typical case of
    discrimination. During a press conference organized after the
    decision, Ms. Çetin underlined this sentence and asked, "Does this
    penalty have anything to do with the Armenian identity of both
    people?"

    Ms. Çetin stated that this decision is an outright violation of the
    freedom of the press. The sentence has been suspended considering that
    both Mr. Dink and Mr. Seropyan have not been convicted of any crimes
    before. Their lawyer has said they will appeal the decision.

    * Article 301 fuels hatred

    Article 301 was a reformulation of Article 159 in the old Turkish
    Penal Code. Lawyers' associations, nongovernmental organizations,
    experts, and media were all opposed to this reformulation. But the
    justice minister at the time, who is now minister of state, Cemil
    Çiçek said, "Do not rush. . . . Let's see the implementation of the
    law."

    Now it is obvious that implementation of the law and its practical
    repercussions have only fuelled nationalist hatred among people in
    society, making Hrant Dink the target of ultranationalists, but to
    this day, there has been no initiative taken by the government to
    abolish Article 301.

    Following the sentencing, International PEN, Article 19, and the
    International Publisher's Association (IPA) issued a joint press
    release in which they stated that they sent an open letter to
    President Abdullah Gül. The letter states that 41 national and
    international NGOs call for the abolition of Article 301 of the
    Turkish Penal Code.

    "Article 301 of the Turkish Penal Code prohibits public denigration
    of 'Turkishness', a term that is extremely vague and can be easily
    abused," they said. "It has been widely used to repress freedom of
    expression and open debate in the country." They note that between
    April and July 2007, there were 18 trials against 24 people under
    Article 301.

    While welcoming progressive changes to Turkish legislation since the
    mid-1990s, the letter also urges President Gül to do everything in his
    power to ensure Turkey's compliance with its obligations under
    international law, "particularly through the abolition of Article
    301."

    ****************************** *********************************************

    6. U.S. ambassadors chronicle Armenia's progress

    * From humanitarian crisis to normalcy and economic growth

    by Emil Sanamyan

    WASHINGTON -- The five ambassadors who represented the United States
    in Armenia between 1993 and 2006 discussed the challenges and
    achievements of their terms in a unique event hosted by the Library of
    Congress on September 28.

    The Library's Armenian specialist and the organizer of the event,
    Levon Avdoyan, said the idea for the event was born as he studied the
    personal papers of Henry Morgenthau, U.S. ambassador to the Ottoman
    Empire in 1913--16, and sought to contribute to the primary-source
    record of the first fifteen years of relatioans between Armenia and
    the United States.

    The ambassadors' presentations, delivered in chronological order,
    painted a picture of Armenia making progress, with U.S. help, from the
    humanitarian and political crises of the 1990s to the normalcy and
    economic success of recent years. Each ambassador also noted the role
    of Armenian-American organizations and individuals in encouraging U.S.
    support for Armenia.

    * Turkey rejects Armenia's overtures

    Ambassador Harry Gilmore (served 1993--95) recalled the hardships
    Armenia experienced during the years of his tenure due to the breakup
    of the Soviet Union and accentuated by blockades imposed by Azerbaijan
    and Turkey. By the time Mr. Gilmore arrived in Armenia, the United
    States already had a chargé d'affaires in Armenia, Thomas Price, who
    briefed the ambassador on the country's problems, "which were many and
    huge."

    Mr. Gilmore noted the desire of President Levon Ter-Petrossian to
    reach out to Turkey and normalize relations, highlighted by his
    presence at President Turgut Ozal's funeral in April 1993 -- just as
    Turkey closed its border with Armenia.

    These efforts remained unappreciated by the Turkish government,
    which continued to side with Azerbaijan on the Karabakh issue. And
    although a cease-fire agreement put an end to the Karabakh war in May
    1994, a full settlement remains elusive.

    U.S. policy on Karabakh, Mr. Gilmore noted, was outlined as part of
    Senate testimony on September 7, 1992, by the ambassador-at-large for
    the Newly Independent States, Strobe Talbott, and remains in effect to
    this day. It states that while the United States recognizes the
    territorial integrity of former Soviet republics, it does not rule out
    a change of borders so long as "mutual consent" is reached.

    Mr. Gilmore described the U.S. humanitarian aid -- primarily wheat
    and kerosene -- delivered in the crisis years of the early to
    mid-1990s as a "tonic" for Armenians that helped "engender confidence
    in the United States as a long-term and reliable friend and partner."
    By 1995 the United States supplied half of Armenia's food supply.

    * Tanks on the streets

    The term of Ambassador Peter Tomsen (1995--98) was marked by a steady
    shift from humanitarian to developmental U.S. aid, but was also marked
    by the first major setbacks in relations. Mr. Tomsen particularly
    focused on the September 1996 presidential elections in which the
    incumbent president, Levon Ter-Petrossian, was challenged by former
    prime minister Vazgen Manukian.

    As the vote count was underway, "President Ter-Petrossian recognized
    he was losing the election toward the late evening, [but then he]
    suddenly appeared on television with a glass of champagne in his hand
    and announced that he just scored a brilliant victory," Mr. Tomsen
    recalled. "There was tremendous fraud and the international
    condemnation was quite strong."

    Mr. Tomsen went on: "That same night riots broke out. Forty thousand
    people marched by our embassy and then attacked the parliament. I got
    a call from Jirair Libaridian [one of Mr. Ter-Petrossian's senior
    aides] who asked me to go on Voice of America and call off the crowd.
    I of course did not have the ability to do that and urged him that
    excessive force not be used, but the tanks were moving in [already.]"

    In subsequent meetings with Mr. Ter-Petrossian and Mr. Manukian, Mr.
    Tomsen helped broker a deal under which opposition leaders would get
    time on state-controlled television in exchange for calling off
    additional protests.

    In the end, while Mr. Ter-Petrossian retained the presidency for
    another year and a half, President Bill Clinton refused to
    congratulate him on his re-election.

    Mr. Tomsen noted that about a third of his time was consumed by
    efforts to address the Karabakh conflict, the resolution of which
    appeared caught between two tenets of international law: territorial
    integrity of states and self-determination of nations.

    "It is a fact that for thousands of years the great majority of the
    population of Nagorno-Karabakh has been Armenian," Mr. Tomsen said.
    "Any trip through Nagorno-Karabakh will reveal [that]. So that cannot
    be ignored."

    * A productive relationship

    When Ambassador Michael Lemmon (1998--2001) prepared to take over the
    U.S. Embassy, everyone he talked to in the U.S. government was unhappy
    with the state of affairs in Armenia, be it the state of democracy or
    the Karabakh peace process.

    "It was not a very promising time," Mr. Lemmon recalled. "I shared
    these impressions with President [Robert Kocharian] and that began a
    very frank, honest, productive, and respectful relationship that
    ensued for the next three years."

    The October 27, 1999, murders of Prime Minister Vazgen Sargsian and
    parliament Speaker Karen Demirchian and the resulting political crisis
    "gave a body blow to the Armenian polity," Mr. Lemmon said. "However,
    who could have imagined that Armenia could take this body blow,
    stagger, and yet hold steady and stay more or less on the democratic
    path?"

    By the time Mr. Lemmon completed his term, Armenia's policy of
    "complementarity" opened the way for greater cooperation with
    Euro-Atlantic organizations and closer ties with the United States in
    addition to those with Russia.

    There was also a near breakthrough in talks with Azerbaijan.
    [According to reports since then, the agreement would have formalized
    Karabakh's unification with Armenia. But following the Key West summit
    in April 2001, Azerbaijan's President Heydar Aliyev walked away from
    the proposal.]

    The United States also worked to try to improve Armenia's relations
    with Turkey, on both official and unofficial levels. "And the
    Turkish-Armenian Reconciliation Commission [TARC] was one such effort
    that ensued [amid] considerable controversy, especially within the
    diaspora, over its composition and purpose," Mr. Lemmon noted. "Other
    parallel efforts in business and cultural spheres were simultaneously
    underway."

    Discussing Turkish nationalism, as manifested in the murder of Hrant
    Dink earlier this year, and continued tensions over the past and
    present relations with Armenia, Mr. Lemmon stressed that "dealing with
    those [nationalist] tendencies that exist in all societies -- it is
    not a uniquely Turkish problem, it is a human problem, that all
    countries and societies have -- but until it is addressed, until it is
    taken off [the agenda], democratic evolution of Turkey, and Armenia as
    well, attainment of that European vocation, will not be successful."

    * A long-term commitment

    Ambassador John Ordway's time in Armenia (2001--2004) "was
    characterized by a more normal situation in Armenia." Mr. Ordway
    described his effort to reach out to the Armenian-American community
    and also showcase the positive impact that U.S. programs have had in
    Armenia.

    While promotion of relations with both Azerbaijan and Turkey "were
    in a bit of a lull," U.S. officials worked successfully in preventing
    any deterioration from the status quo.

    The United States also continued to provide development assistance
    and make efforts to promote democracy. The conduct of 2003
    presidential election, in which President Kocharian was re-elected,
    showed progress; but these elections too did not fully meet European
    standards.

    At the same time, the September 11 attacks shifted the emphasis to
    the war on terror and "there was a lot of forward movement on
    U.S.-Armenia military relationship."

    The construction of a new, much larger embassy building, which got
    underway during Mr. Ordway's term, also came to symbolize the United
    States' long-term commitment to Armenia.

    * Reaping the harvest

    Ambassador John Evans (2004--2006) likened diplomacy to gardening, and
    said that his time marked "reaping of the harvest" for which his
    predecessors had sowed the seeds.

    On the subject of relations with Turkey, Mr. Evans noted that under
    the Kars Treaty, which established the present border, Turkey is under
    a legal obligation to keep it open. But the continued closure of the
    border began to matter much less economically.

    Some in Armenia may even prefer for the border to stay closed to
    protect local business interests. Still, the Armenian government's
    believes that opening it would bring an overall benefit.

    And in spite of the border closure, Turkish businesses have already
    found their way into Armenia. "In the construction of our new embassy
    in Yerevan," Mr. Evans said, "there were 60 Turkish workers along with
    600 locally employed Armenians, and basically they worked quite
    harmoniously."

    At the same time, Turkey's refusal to establish diplomatic relations
    with Armenia continues to hamper communication between the two
    governments, which in turn does not contribute to prospects of
    normalization.

    Mr. Evans noted that his term came following "color revolutions" and
    government changes in Georgia, Ukraine, and Kyrgyzstan, which led to
    widespread speculation that the same might happen in Armenia, where
    opposition leaders continued to challenge the outcome of the 2003
    election, and that the United States would support such a development.

    "Some members of the opposition were actually calling for a
    revolution in the streets," Mr. Evans recalled. "One opposition
    politician in particular was constantly talking about when the
    revolution was going to happen, and sort of looked at his calendar and
    said, 'Maybe three weeks from now.'"

    Mr. Evans worked to dispel the idea that the United States supported
    such efforts, and he promoted the idea of democratic evolution over
    revolution. At the end of 2005, the U.S. Embassy rolled out a new
    long-term democratic assistance program, which received a favorable
    reaction from President Kocharian.

    "The [parliamentary] elections held in May seemed to be much better
    [than previous polls] by all accounts and signs are positive for
    presidential elections this winter," Mr. Evans said. "It does seem
    that these seeds planted years back have started to bear fruit."

    During Mr. Evans' term foundations were laid for the U.S. Millennium
    Challenge assistance program that would focus on "Armenia's rural
    areas, which [by 2004] seemed to be very sadly lagging behind Yerevan,
    which of course was booming."

    Mr. Evans concluded that sustained U.S. support for Armenia, in
    various fields over fifteen years, "helped create maybe not a Garden
    of Eden yet, but a very fine garden" that is modern Armenia.

    **************************************** ***********************************

    7. Millennium Challenge Account dollars are hard at work in Armenia's
    rural areas

    * CEO Ara Hovsepyan says the work is fast paced

    by Armen Hakobyan

    Under a compact between the governments of the United States and
    Armenia, the U.S. Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) is funding a
    five-year, $235 million program to reduce rural poverty in Armenia.
    The funding is contingent on Armenia's continuing compliance with MCC
    eligibility criteria of ruling justly, investing in people, and
    economic freedom. The compact went into force on September 29, 2006.

    The program is being implemented by the Millennium Challenge Account
    - Armenia (MCA-Armenia). One element of the program is an Irrigated
    Agriculture project, which will rehabilitate and expand Armenia's
    irrigation system.

    As part of its ongoing operations, the MCA-Armenia on September 14
    entered into a four-year, $1.5 million agreement with the
    HayJrNakhagitz Institute. HayJrNakhagitz will help design and manage
    the construction and rehabilitation of six major irrigation canals.

    The canals serve around 120,000 hectares of farmland. This
    constitutes more than half of the area served by Armenia's water
    users' cooperatives. But about half the water that flows through the
    canals is lost. The program will rehabilitate some 200 km (124 mi) of
    the main canals, which will significantly reduce water loss.

    The Armenian Reporter had some questions for Ara Hovsepyan, the
    chief executive officer of the MCA-Armenia.

    Reporter: How many projects has MCA-Armenia already launched?

    Hovsepyan: I would like to distinguish two groups of activities set
    by our program. The first and larger group includes the
    rehabilitation, reconstruction, and construction of major irrigational
    waterways and roads. The second, relatively small block, is
    conditionally called Water-to-Market. It is a little bit out of the
    line of our usual activities. It has more of a consulting and
    instructional nature and is aimed at a more effective implementation
    of our program.

    Reporter: Could you elaborate on the individual parts in more detail?

    Hovsepyan: We have not started any construction yet. However, we are
    already in the middle of the design stage. What does that mean? The
    overall length of the road segments provided for in our program is 943
    km. That is divided into three packages. Now we are almost finished
    with the design work for the first package, comprising around 311 km.
    Taking into account the procurement process, we expect that
    construction based on these designs will start in spring of 2008.
    Until then we are planning to organize a tender, and find the
    organizations that will build this 311 km segment.

    Reporter: Are these roads between village communities we are mainly
    talking about?

    Hovsepyan: The roads being constructed through the MCA-Armenia
    project must all match one main standard: They have to connect the
    rural or town communities to the main road. So, it is important for us
    that a given community have at least one decent road leading to a
    major artery.

    * Working with Lincy

    The realization of the first package of road construction is expected
    to cost approximately $35 million. In addition to that first package
    of design work, we have certain agreements with the Lincy Foundation,
    which already has some projects ready. We have taken two ready
    projects from them and have already announced a construction tender.
    I'm talking about a 25 km segment of the Armavir-Isahakyan-Gyumri
    road, which is divided into two parts.

    In the irrigation sector we currently have two agreements with
    design companies, one for Armenia's seven water-storage tanks and the
    other for the six main canals. When the design work is finished, we
    will start work on construction. Construction is to start by late
    spring of 2008, by about the end of May.

    The other irrigation projects, including the design work and
    construction of 18 gravity flow systems, the observation, design, and
    reconstruction of 68 water-pump stations, and purchasing of the
    designs of tertiary (intercommunity) water canals are in progress.
    Using the same example we used in the road construction sector, we
    also have three completed intercommunity network projects from the
    World Bank in the irrigation sector.

    Reporter: How much money has been received at this point and what
    has it been spent on?

    Hovsepyan: We have received $8 million so far. It has been spent
    mainly on design work. The other part of the money was given for
    initial expenses for the two segments of road construction and the
    construction of the three intercommunity network projects.

    We planned to spend $12 million this year, but have spent $8
    million. We planned to spend $60 million next year, but are hoping for
    even more -- around $65 million. All in all, as you know, by 2011 we
    must spend $235 million.

    * Inflationary worries

    Reporter: Does the rise of the dram affect the planned projects?

    Hovsepyan: It is gradually beginning to have an effect. It is not
    like we are actively worried about it now, because this is just the
    first year of the program. We have four more years in front of us, and
    dram can be fall as well. We have just identified that issue and
    discussed it once in our Governing Council and Stakeholders'
    Committee. We are aware of the issue and I believe that by the end of
    the second year we will start looking for solutions. I think that now
    it is too early to think about urgent solutions for four years,
    because we have other problems to solve yet. But one thing is clear,
    and it was approved by the Governing Council as well -- that we took
    on responsibility of reconstructing a road segment or an irrigation
    network of a certain length and we have to accomplish these works. How
    they will be implemented will become clear in process, and if there
    will be a lack of finances, we have to find them from somewhere.

    Reporter: What you can say about the Water-to-Market project?

    Hovsepyan: The aim of the Water-to-Market component is a transition
    to the more efficient agricultural production in areas where the
    irrigation systems are being reconstructed. The project also aims to
    connect farmers with local and international markets by installing
    post-harvesting technologies and strengthening processing enterprises.
    It also seeks to strengthen abilities of credit organizations to
    finance viable proposals in production and post-harvest activities.
    This is one of the main projects through which we raised part of the
    finances received.

    This component is carried out by the American ACDI/VOCA company
    along with the local Vistaa Plus organization. The value of the
    overall project is $18.4 million, which will be spent over 56 months.

    * Training and credit for farmers

    Reporter: What have these organizations already done within the
    framework of the "Water-to-Market" project?

    Hovsepyan: They work in three areas. The first one is instruction:
    around 60,000 farmers will be trained over four years. The second is
    the development of model farms. The third is credit programs. Work in
    the first two areas has already been started. The credit component
    will start working in December. Already, almost 2,000 farmers from
    different communities have been trained in various fields. These
    include how to implement new technologies in the irrigation of their
    farms, how to improve their agricultural production by using
    higher-quality seed sorts, and how to use post-harvest technologies.
    During the course of the training some farmers were found who were
    ready to change their working style through certain small investments.
    For example, work is already going on with two farmers from the
    Getashen and Griboyedov communities.

    As for the credit programs, we plan to alot around $8.5 million over
    three years, distributing $3.5 million over each of the first two
    years and $1.5 million the third year. The credit program will be
    implemented through banks. We will announce open competition, and
    offer banks our standards and interest rates. It can be two or five
    banks. However, the most important thing, in our opinion, is that the
    banks are interested in this project. That's why we plan to leave the
    decision-making to them: let them decide and then apply to us, and if
    their credit proposal matches our standards, we will refinance the
    bank, instead of dictating to them our decision.

    Reporter: How is the public's involvement in the supervision of the
    fund's programs ensured?

    Hovsepyan: First, it's worth mentioning that the program is large
    and very demanding, and the work pace is very fast. Public attention
    is focused on it. Almost everyone has heard something about this
    program. My team and I feel very responsible for the realization of
    this program. This leads to fast-paced work.

    Over the last month almost 70 percent of my work hours were devoted
    to work with civil society. The aim of the Stakeholders' Committee and
    its mandate are very clear. It is a group of public representatives
    who realize public monitoring and contribution to the program.

    The participation of the public in various credit programs has often
    been discussed. The public must not only be made aware of the
    developments but must also contribute to these developments. This will
    lead to public forums and transparency of the process.

    **************************************** ***********************************

    8. From Armenia, in brief

    * Embattled judge stripped of his office

    Pargev Ohanian, judge of the Court of First Instance of the Yerevan
    Center and Nork-Marash communities has been stripped of his office by
    a presidential decree.

    The Council of Justice, a powerful body overseeing the Armenian
    judiciary, asked President Robert Kocharian to relieve Mr. Ohanian of
    his duties, saying that he broke the law when adjudicating two dozen
    criminal and civil cases. Mr. Ohanian is widely believed to be paying
    the price for his ruling in the Royal Armenia case in which two
    businesspeople were charged with fraud. Gagik Hakobian, the leading
    shareholder of Royal Armenia and the deputy director, Aram Ghazarian,
    had been arrested and charged with tax evasion and fraud in October
    two years ago after publicly accusing senior customs officials of
    corruption.

    Meanwhile, the state has appealed Judge Ohanian's acquittal and the
    Royal Armenia defendants have been rearrested.

    * Georgian prime minister visits Armenia

    Georgian Prime Minister Zurab Nogaideli was in Yerevan October 15--16
    for a working visit. The prime minister, along with a large Georgian
    delegation was in the country to participate in the sixth session of
    the Armenian-Georgian Intergovernmental Commission on Economic
    Cooperation.

    While in Yerevan, Mr. Nogaideli met with President Robert Kocharian.
    They discussed a wide range of issues concerning developing and
    strengthening Armenian-Georgian relations. Mr. Nogaideli also met with
    Armenia's prime minister, Serge Sargsian and visited the Genocide
    Memorial.

    * An Armenian-Georgian common market?

    The sixth meeting of the Armenian-Georgian Intergovernmental
    Commission on Economic Cooperation was held at the Government
    Reception House in Yerevan.

    Georgian Prime Minister Zurab Nogaideli and members of his
    delegation were greeted by Prime Minister Serge Sargsian, who
    expressed confidence that the commission will succeed in reaching
    agreements to promote economic and humanitarian ties between the two
    countries.

    He emphasized attraction of investments from third countries for the
    development of Armenia and Georgia and underlined efforts to establish
    a common investment field. "We are going to start working on
    presenting Armenia and Georgia as a single investment and trade entity
    to investors interested in working with us," Mr. Noghaideli said.

    According to RFE/RL, Mr. Sargsian said, "Only together can we be of
    interest to big foreign firms." He argued that the small size of
    Armenia's and Georgia's populations is a major factor discouraging
    foreign direct investment.

    "Whereas several years ago we were talking about how to make sure
    our cargos go through Georgian territory without problems and
    unfettered electricity supplies [to Georgia,] we are now discussing
    issues that are more important to our peoples. One of those issues is
    the formation of a common market," Mr. Sargsian added at a joint news
    conference.

    According to Mr. Sargsian, it is necessary to intensify development
    of joint projects for this purpose. "It's obvious that joint projects
    in any area provide grater opportunities for attracting investment
    from international financial institutions," he said.

    The meeting also focused on ways of increasing the still-modest
    volume of Georgian-Armenian trade. According to official Armenian
    statistics, it rose by 16 percent to $51 million in the first half of
    this year. The figure is equivalent to less than 3 percent of
    Armenia's overall external trade during this period.

    * Korean company to build power plant in Armenia

    GS Engineering & Construction is about to make its entrance into the
    Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). The company announced on
    Monday that it has won a $218 million project from Yerevan Thermal
    Power Plant of Armenia to build a combined-cycle power plant there.

    GS will handle the entire construction process, from design to
    material and equipment procurement to engineering to installation.

    Lee Jong-geun from GS Engineering & Construction's plant
    construction headquarters said that the project will serve as an
    important opportunity for Korean construction firms to make their way
    into the CIS region, as this is Korea's first full turnkey order from
    a CIS state.

    GS Engineering & Construction Company's principal activity is
    provision of civil-engineering construction services. They specialize
    in oil and gas -- crude oil; petrochemical plants - oil refinery;
    power & electrical plants; environmental - air pollution control,
    water and waste water treatment, incineration systems and recycling
    systems; civil - improving roads, bridges, railroads and airports;
    building which develops facilities and space for hotels and resorts,
    medical health care, educational, cultural and sports; and residential
    housing.

    * In soccer, Armenia-Serbia ends 0-0

    UEFA EURO 2008 qualifying matches continue as Armenia hosted Serbia on
    October 13 at Yerevan's Republican Stadium.

    Serbia's qualifying hopes were dashed as Armenia's football team
    "continued their fine recent form with a well-earned goalless draw in
    Yerevan" (uefa.com)

    This result leaves Serbia in fourth position in Group A with 16
    points and three games still to play. Armenia remained unbeaten in its
    last four matches, winning against Kazakhstan and Poland and also a
    draw with Portugal.

    * And Belgium-Armenia, 3-0

    After their stunning performance against Serbia, Armenia's national
    football team could not hang on to their momentum. Even with thousands
    of Armenian fans in Belgium's football stadium waving hundreds of
    Armenian flags and shouting encouragement to their compatriots, the
    Armenian team suffered a setback. After dominating the game for the
    first 60 minutes, Armenia let Belgium score three times in 12 minutes.

    Although Belgium won, their UEFA EURO 2008 qualification hopes were
    ended by the results of another game in Group A. (Portugal-Kazakhstan,
    2-1).

    * Presidents of FIFA and UEFA meet with President Kocharian

    On October 16 President Robert Kocharian met with the president of
    FIFA (International Federation of Association Football), Zepp Blatter
    and the president of UEFA (Union of European Football Associations)
    Michele Platini. They were in Yerevan at the invitation of Ruben
    Hayrapetian, president of the Football Federation of Armenia (FFA).

    The president commended FIFA for implementing a series of programs
    in Armenia designed to boost interest in soccer.

    "The results are small but visible," the president said.

    Noting that every victory in soccer increases interest in the sport,
    Mr. Kocharian said inspiration and high spirit are important
    prerequisites for reaching success. Without these, serious results are
    impossible. Mr. Blatter praised the Football Federation of Armenia for
    doing a great deal of work for the development of soccer and expressed
    willingness to support these initiatives.

    Mr. Hayrapetian, Mr. Blatter, and Mr. Platini participated in the
    groundbreaking ceremony of a sports school in Yerevan and also visited
    Banants junior football school which was reconstructed under the "Goal
    I" program of FIFA.

    * Russian-Armenian donates manuscript to the Matenadaran

    According to Armenpress, Hrant Poghosian, a Moscow-based Armenian,
    presented the Matenadaran, Armenia's repository of ancient
    manuscripts, with a 14th century Armenian-language Bible. The unique
    manuscript had been purchased by three Russian Armenians.

    Hrachya Tamrazian, executive director of the Matenadaran received
    the manuscript in the presence of First Lady Bella Kocharian,
    Education and Science Minister Levon Mkrtchian, and Culture Minister
    Hasmik Poghosian

    The manuscript, written in 1399, was kept at Saint John-Paul Church
    in Yerevan. When the church was destroyed in 1937, the manuscript
    somehow miraculously survived. It was passed from one hand to another
    until it was purchased by a group of Russian Armenians.

    For his contribution, Hrant Poghosian was awarded with the Saint
    Mesrop order of the Matenadaran. "There is an old manuscript in Los
    Angeles, and the owner wants to sell it at $130,000. I think it too,
    will soon come to join other manuscripts here in the Matenadaran," Mr.
    Poghosian said.

    * Yerevan to have its first skateboard park

    The first-ever skateboard park will soon be open to the public in
    Yerevan's Nor Nork district. The government had released 145 million
    drams to build the park on a 1,200 sq m (12,000 sq ft) parcel of land.
    Frunze Basentsian from the municipality's department responsible for
    construction and redevelopment said that visitors may bring their
    skateboards or rent them at the park. There will always be instructors
    as well as medics on the grounds, which will also have sanitary
    facilities.

    - M.T.

    ******************************************** *******************************

    9. Happy birthday to Yerevan

    by Betty Panossian-Ter Sargssian

    YEREVAN -- The city of Yerevan celebrated its birthday on October
    11--13. It is now a 2789-year-old city.

    As a tradition, each year Armenians mark the Day of Yerevan on the
    second weekend of October.

    With plenty of events, concerts, and dazzling firework displays
    throughout the city, citizens of the capital celebrated their city's
    heritage.

    Public events included chess tournaments, Paralympic games, and
    wrestling matches. Cultural events were also planned for young and old
    alike.

    The celebrations kicked off with a festive concert at the Opera
    House in Yerevan, and were concluded by an open-air concert at
    Republic Square.

    This year, Sharm Holding, an events organizer planned the
    celebrations down to the last detail. This meant that the celebrations
    were not only out of the ordinary but full of pizazz. "This year we
    have tried to celebrate our city day with more lavishness. We have
    learned a lot form our past years' experiences and are trying to
    improve," deputy mayor of Yerevan, Vano Vardanyan, said during a press
    conference.

    * A city in constant renewal

    The 8th century BCE fortress of Erebuni looks down upon Yerevan and
    bears witness to major construction sites, road works, insufferable
    traffic, and the replacement of trees and green zones with newly built
    luxury houses and buildings. On the other hand, the birthday
    celebrations were a chance for Yerevan mayor Yervand Zakharyan to
    highlight the improvements of the city. "With each passing day our
    ancient city is getting younger due to the implemented urban
    projects," he said.

    "We love our city." This was the slogan on billboards throughout the
    city. The expression of that love are the symbolic tree plantings and
    concerts with songs dedicated to Yerevan. It's fine to sing loves
    songs for your city but while we do, the city we all love is still
    waiting for the improvement in the quality of life for its residents,
    visitors, and generations to come.

    ******************************************* ********************************

    10. Levon Ter-Petrossian launches comeback

    * Ex-president's meetings and public remarks shake up the political scene

    by Tatul Hakobyan

    YEREVAN -- There is a fifty-fifty chance that Levon Ter-Petrossian
    will run in the February 2008 presidential elections, Armenia's
    ex-president told his supporters in the town of Sisian on October 5,
    according to Yerevan newspapers that are sympathetic to him.

    Mr. Ter-Petrossian reportedly said that he is now more inclined to
    run, having held a series of meetings with his supporters around
    Armenia and with some key political figures, most of whom are his past
    or present opponents.

    Already, Mr. Ter-Petrossian's re-emergence after over nine years of
    silence is causing quite a stir in Armenia's political life. While
    pro-government television stations have portrayed Prime Minister Serge
    Sargsian's victory in upcoming presidential elections as a foregone
    conclusion, the potential nomination of Mr. Ter-Petrossian, regardless
    of how many votes he may eventually be able to garner, would undermine
    that sense of inevitability and is therefore undesirable for the
    current administration.

    In Armenia, as in other countries without mature institutions, the
    military, police, and security services play a key role in politics
    and their support may prove pivotal during elections.

    With the exception of a six-month period in 1999--2000, Mr. Sargsian
    has been in charge of the military, police, or security services in
    Armenia since 1993. He has continued to exercises much influence after
    becoming prime minister last May. Surely, Mr. Sargsian counts on this
    support ahead of the February elections.

    However, Mr. Ter-Petrossian's nomination may undermine this support,
    since some of the highest-ranking individuals in the military and
    security establishment have direct ties to Mr. Ter-Petrossian and have
    in the past -- in 1996 -- helped falsify election results in his
    favor.

    Since his first speech on September 21, in which he described the
    present government as a "criminal mafia," Mr. Ter-Petrossian has
    reached out to his former opponents. He met leaders of the Armenian
    Revolutionary Federation -- Hrant Margarian and Armen Rustamian -- the
    very same individuals he put in prison in 1994 and 1995 as he banned
    the ARF and all its affiliates.

    Mr. Ter-Petrossian also met his main rival in those 1996 elections,
    former Prime Minister Vazgen Manukian. It was their first meeting in
    12 years.

    While the past opponents are not about to join forces, the slew of
    activity by the long self-exiled ex-president leave no question that
    he is back in politics. The meetings have at least served to disorient
    many in the establishment, including his former allies who are now
    members of the Republican Party, led by Prime Minister Sargsian.

    Republican Party leaders have said repeatedly that they anticipate
    Mr. Sargsian to garner victory in the first round of elections -- that
    is, they expect that he will be able to win more than half of the vote
    at once. But participation by Mr. Ter-Petrossian, with his name
    recognition, may force a second round, and that alone is unwelcome
    news for Mr. Sargsian.

    Certainly, Mr. Ter-Petrossian has long worn out the 87 percent
    support he first enjoyed in 1991 elections. The 51 percent granted to
    Mr. Ter-Petrossian in 1996 proved to have been inflated. For many
    Armenians, Mr. Ter-Petrossian and the Armenian National Movement are
    associated with the crisis years of the early- to mid-1990s.

    But it is also true that both Mr. Sargsian and President Robert
    Kocharian were President Ter-Petrossian's close allies and supporters
    before revolting against him together with the late Vazgen Sargsian in
    1998. So Mr. Sargsian and Mr. Kocharian represent both the former and
    present administrations.

    Mr. Ter-Petrossian's chances are also helped by the ARF's decision
    to nominate its own candidate and not support Mr. Sargsian. Mr.
    Ter-Petrossian appears to have backing of past presidential candidate
    Stepan Demirchian and Vazgen Sargsian's brother Aram, who have led the
    opposition in Armenia in recent years. If he makes it to the second
    round, Mr. Ter-Petrossian may also count on support of Artur
    Baghdasarian's party.

    Whereas he is seeking meetings with his past opponents, Mr.
    Ter-Petrossian is not seeking a meeting with Republican Party leaders,
    his one-time allies. He accuses them of election-rigging and other
    violations of the law.

    Mr. Ter-Petrosian has not yet clearly announced his candidacy, and
    even if he does not, he will be able to play an active role in the
    political life of the country. As much as the ex-president may not
    have sufficient popular support, he is quite capable of influencing
    the establishment.

    And, past experience has shown that a contentious presidential
    election may mean a protracted post-election struggle that at least
    once, in the case of Mr. Ter-Petrossian, contributed to the
    president's resignation -- although his critics mostly cited his
    defeatist position on the Karabakh issue as the key factor.

    In another surprise Mr. Ter-Petrossian visited Stepanakert, where he
    met Nagorno-Karabakh's president, Bako Sahakian, on October 11.

    [This was his second trip to Karabakh since the summer of 1993, when
    he arrived to lobby the leaders of Karabakh at the time, Mr. Kocharian
    and Mr. Sargsian, to halt the successful offensive operations against
    Azerbaijan and agree to a cease-fire. --Ed.]

    Mr. Ter Petrossian is seen as having a negative attitude toward the
    Armenians of Karabakh. Even today, as soon as he appeared on the
    political scene, his longtime opponent and former veteran parliament
    member Shavarsh Kocharian said that all Mr. Ter-Petrossian has to
    offer is the surrender of Karabakh.

    But Mr. Ter-Petrossian's trip to Karabakh and his meetings with ARF
    leaders and Mr. Manukian may herald a change in the overall political
    life in Armenia.

    **************************************** ***********************************

    11. Letter: A permanent reminder

    Sir:

    The Armenian community is working tirelessly to achieve universal
    affirmation of the atrocity of the Armenian Genocide. Against great
    odds, well-funded opposition, and persistent Turkish threats,
    Armenians are gaining ground. An increasing number of countries have
    acknowledged the Genocide.

    Here in the United States, arguably the most important country to
    Turkey, the Armenian-American community continues to build increasing
    support for affirmation of the Genocide. Despite the fact that the
    Unites States government has repeatedly sold out to the Turkish lobby
    and succumbed to threats and pressure, the Armenian-American community
    remains steadfast in its resolve for truth and justice.

    Over the last few weeks, the Armenian-American community, their
    friends in the U.S. House of Representatives, and others of good
    conscience have been engaged in a fierce battle to bring forth and
    pass House Resolution 106 on the "Affirmation of the United States
    Record on the Armenian Genocide." No matter the outcome, the struggle
    for universal affirmation will continue.

    Several years ago, a handful of community visionaries, led by Ms.
    Anoush Mathevosian and Mr. Gerard Cafesjian, proposed the development
    of an Armenian Genocide Museum and Memorial in Washington. A
    magnificent site has been acquired in the heart of our nation's
    capital for the proposed museum and memorial. The Armenian-American
    community has a tremendous opportunity to make a powerful statement in
    support of affirmation -- a strategically located, permanent reminder
    of the atrocities perpetrated on the Armenians.

    At a time like this, when the Armenian-American community is
    immersed in an intense battle to pass a Genocide resolution, the
    potential benefits of the Armenian Genocide Museum and Memorial in the
    struggle for universal affirmation are all the more evident.

    Unfortunately, that opportunity may be in jeopardy. An attempt is
    being made to scale back the project to include just the site with the
    former National Bank of Washington. Although the former bank would
    make an excellent repository, the constraints of its size and historic
    designation severely limit its use as a museum and memorial, and as a
    gathering place for all Armenians.

    As a part of the effort to scale back the project, a brazen, cynical
    attempt is being made to dismember and sell half of the painstakingly
    acquired property. The unique property, purchased by Mr. Cafesjian
    with the fruits of his life's work and generously donated in support
    of a strong, bold vision, may be sold and the proceeds used to support
    a renovated bank as a "grand vision." If the effort to sell is
    successful, the opportunity to do this project on a meaningful scale
    will be lost, possibly forever.

    The community should not stand by and allow this vital project to be
    sabotaged. The Armenian Genocide Museum and Memorial should be built
    on a scale we can all be proud of, with a strong, bold vision that
    will allow the museum to become the centerpiece of the community
    effort for universal affirmation. Mr. Cafesjian remains committed to
    ensuring that this vision prevails and to supporting future plans that
    utilize the entire property assembled for this noble purpose.

    Very truly yours,

    John J. Waters, Jr.

    Minneapolis, Minn.

    The writer is vice president of the Cafesjian Family Foundation and
    trustee of the Armenian Genocide Museum and Memorial, Inc.

    [Chart] As of September 2006, the contributions funded by current and
    former Board of Trustee members for the benefit of the AGMM were as
    follows:

    Gerard Cafesjian and CFF $ 14,400,000

    Anoush Mathevosian $ 3,500,000

    Hirair Hovnanian $ 1,500,000

    John Waters $ 25,000

    Robert Kaloosdian $ 100

    Van Krikorian $ 0

    Total Board of Trustee Contributions $19,425,100

    ************************************* **************************************

    12. Editorial: Fight back

    We noted last week that the leadership of the House of Representatives
    and the members of the House Foreign Affairs Committee who voted in
    favor of the Armenian Genocide resolution "resisted an enormous amount
    of pressure from the White House and the military-diplomatic
    establishment."

    With the passage of the resolution in the committee, the opponents
    of the resolution suffered a setback and redoubled their already
    considerable efforts.

    Turkey has enlisted President George W. Bush and the Bush White
    House in its campaign to defeat the resolution. It has also enrolled
    the U.S. Departments of Defense and State, high-ranking military
    officers, prominent commentators, and others in its effort.

    Turkey's lobbyists (paid at least $300,000 a month) have succeeded
    in orchestrating a media campaign to discredit the supporters of the
    resolution, make them look shortsighted and naïve, and even portray
    them as deliberately trying to undermine U.S. troops in Iraq. In the
    face of this campaign, some members of the House who had pledged to
    vote in favor of the resolution have become convinced that supporting
    the resolution is a bad idea at this time. This withdrawal of support
    has added to the pressure on the House leadership to table the
    resolution.

    We must, first, commend Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Majority Leader Steny
    Hoyer, Foreign Affairs Committee chair Tom Lantos, and over 200
    members -- Democrats and Republicans alike -- for standing firm in the
    face of the onslaught. Speaker Pelosi's predecessor, Rep. Dennis
    Hastert, in 2000 responded to a call from President Bill Clinton by
    removing the resolution from the House agenda on the very day of a
    scheduled vote in which it was sure to pass. Speaker Pelosi, in
    contrast, refused to withdraw the resolution and is actively working
    to rebuild support to make sure that the measure passes.

    Second, we must set out to create an atmosphere in which members of
    Congress feel less vulnerable to attack for supporting the resolution.
    That means we must turn the tide of media coverage so that the case
    for the resolution is made more forcefully and the case against is
    examined more critically.

    We can never match their resources in dollars or in ex-cabinet
    members. But we have a tremendous advantage: Each of the arguments
    they repeatedly invoke against the resolution is demonstrably false.

    * Turkish threats

    "The popularly elected Turkish Grand National Assembly might react
    strongly to a House resolution, as it did to a French National
    Assembly resolution a year ago," wrote Turkish lobbyists in a
    September 25 letter to Ms. Pelosi signed by former secretaries of
    state Madeleine Albright, James Baker, Warren Christopher, Lawrence
    Eagleburger, Alexander Haig, Henry Kissinger, Colin Powell, and George
    Shultz. "The result could endanger our national security interests in
    the region, including our troops in Iraq and Afghanistan, and damage
    efforts to promote reconciliation between Armenia and Turkey."

    The label "popularly elected" is meant to invoke the fear of Muslim
    hordes, who will be inflamed by the resolution to act against the
    United States, contrary to their best interests. That will tie the
    hands of Turkey's leaders, who should not be blamed for the
    anti-American decisions they will have to take, the letter is
    signaling. Indeed, the vast majority of the population of Turkey has
    long turned against the United States, polls show. But a glance at the
    main decisions Turkish leaders are threatening to take reveals the
    linkage between the resolution and the decisions to be a lie.

    This week -- the House not yet having voted in favor of the
    resolution -- "the popularly elected Turkish Grand National Assembly"
    voted to authorize an invasion of Iraq, against U.S. interests. A
    picture on page A2 of [the printed version of] this newspaper shows
    Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan voting yes. The main opposition
    parties likewise supported the measure. This is something the Turkish
    military has long wanted, and attacks by Kurdish forces have provided
    them with the impetus to act.

    As for the prospects of Turkey canceling its lease of the Incirlik
    airbase to the United States and thus destroying its military alliance
    with the United States and it role in NATO -- and presumably losing
    U.S. military aid and any leverage it may have -- these are steps so
    contrary to Turkey's perceived national interests that they can only
    be categorized as bluster.

    "I do hope that common sense will prevail, as the alternative will
    not be in the interests of either the U.S. or Turkey," Mr. Erdogan
    wrote ominously in the Wall Street Journal for October 19.

    We will shoot you and shoot ourselves if you accuse us of "genocide
    -- the highest of crimes," Mr. Erdogan is telling the United States.
    And the appropriate U.S. response to this threat is to coddle Mr.
    Erdogan?

    * Reconciliation -- without truth

    The eight former secretaries of state also warn of "damage" to
    "efforts to promote reconciliation between Armenia and Turkey." This
    argument is disingenuous, as Armenia's foreign minister, Vartan
    Oskanian, wrote at the time, because no reconciliation process is
    underway.

    "Turkey has always been the one extending the olive branch," Mr.
    Erdogan dissembles in the Wall Street Journal. (It looks more like a
    sword to us.) "But while we search for ways to address this painful
    issue and develop our relations with Armenia, we cannot live in the
    past. Our sincere offer for dialogue and reconciliation is on the
    table. It is incumbent on Armenia to take the next step."

    The next step, according to Mr. Erdogan, is to "establish a Joint
    History Commission to examine together the events of 1915 through
    bilateral dialogue." This suggestion to do a study rings as hollow as
    the suggestion by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of Iran to do a study
    on whether the Holocaust happened. It's a nonstarter.

    If Turkey is interested in "dialogue and reconciliation," it can
    start by reopening the Turkish-Armenian border, which it has closed in
    contravention of its treaty obligations. It can continue by
    establishing diplomatic relations with Armenia, which Armenia is
    willing to do without preconditions.

    It can continue with reconciliation -- as in the truth and
    reconciliation process in South Africa -- with the acknowledgement of
    the truth, that is of the Armenian Genocide.

    And if Turkey is searching for ways to address the "painful issue"
    of the Genocide, it might repeal the law that criminalizes discussing
    the matter and it might guarantee the security of those who wish to
    discuss the "painful issue" openly.

    Finally, Mr. Erdogan is right to say that we cannot live in the
    past. We are all very busy building a brighter future for ourselves
    and our people. But we will not allow genocide to be swept under the
    rug, as if it were nothing more than a slight misunderstanding. We
    will reject Turkish impunity not only in memory of our forebears, but
    also for the security of generations to come.

    * Call to action

    We have a historic opportunity to secure passage of the Armenian
    Genocide resolution in the House of Representatives. To seize that
    opportunity, we must act decisively and cohesively.

    First, we must show members of Congress that we care deeply and
    passionately about this issue and expect them to support the
    resolution.

    To do that, we must visit them in person either in Washington or in
    their home districts. We must write to them and call them immediately.
    And we must align our political giving with their decision on this
    resolution.

    Second, we must fight back the media onslaught against the
    resolution. Every newspaper, magazine, and web site welcomes letters
    to the editor, and television and radio stations likewise welcome
    comments from viewers and listeners.

    We must praise outlets and authors that take a healthy approach to
    the resolution. And we must respond strongly to those that
    uncritically repeat Turkey's talking points.

    It takes effort. We must make that effort. The time is now.

    ******************************************** *******************************

    Please send your news to [email protected] and your letters to
    [email protected]

    (c) 2007 Armenian Reporter LLC. All Rights Reserved

    From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress
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