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Tony Blankley: What a mess

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  • Tony Blankley: What a mess

    Washington Times
    What a mess

    October 24, 2007

    Tony Blankley - With the steady decline of our selected ally Gen.
    Pervez Musharraf's ability to govern Pakistan, and the growing
    alienation of the Turkish people and government from their longtime
    ally, the United States, it is fair to say that from the Bosporus to
    the Himalayas, American interests continue to decline, while American
    policy drifts. It is ironic, if not mordant, to observe that in that
    zone, our policy in Iraq stands out as holding more promise for
    success than most of the other policies we are attempting. This week,
    let me consider why we are losing Turkey.

    The unfolding estrangement of the Turkish people (and derivatively the
    Turkish governments) has been both predicted and virtually unnoticed
    by Washington until last week. This tragic event needs to be
    thoroughly understood by the United States and the West, because it
    goes to the core of our theory of how to defeat radical Islam.

    About three years ago, as then-editorial page editor of The Washington
    Times, I hired as a weekly correspondent a leading Turkish
    correspondent in Washington, Tulin Daloglu. She was and is a superb
    student of Turkish culture and politics, a secularist, a friend and
    admirer of America and a Turkish patriot. I asked her to describe each
    week in her column what the Turkish people and government were
    thinking, particularly about American policy and actions. I thought
    more attention both in Congress and the administration was needed on
    Turkish attitudes and American-Turkish policy.

    I was deeply concerned that Turkish attitudes were slipping
    dangerously away from us, despite Turkey being our strongest Muslim
    ally in the Middle East, and the model for how Israel and the West
    could establish a modus vivendi with a major Muslim-peopled country.
    Turkey has been both taken for granted and ignored by Washington for
    years.

    In Congress, the well-organized Greek and Armenian American
    communities had a stronger voice than the Turkish American. And, of
    course, for historic reasons Greek Americans and Armenian Americans
    usually oppose various Turkish policies. In the administration, their
    peevement with Turkey not permitting our 4th Armored Division entry
    through Turkey into Iraq in 2003 led to a failure to attend carefully
    to a decaying relationship with our great ally. For about two years,
    the State Department barely communicated in a significant way - on a
    policy basis with Turkey. To read Miss Daloglu's columns in The
    Washington Times these last years is to read, week by week, the sad,
    objective, chronicle of the loss of a vital ally.

    In the past week, the Turks' reaction to the congressional Armenian
    genocide resolution and their threat of serious military action
    against our allies the Iraqi Kurds has finally - too late - gotten
    Washington's attention. But beyond the appalling mess we have if
    Turkey invades Iraq (under the U.N. resolutions we are, arguably,
    obliged to defend the Kurds from the Turks - militarily), there is a
    larger and still ignored lesson to be learned by the melt down in
    support we have experienced from the Turkish people.

    If there is one idea that Democrats and Republicans, conservatives and
    liberals, share on how to fight the war on terror, it is that we need
    to reach out to and win the hearts and minds of the "moderate,"
    modern, peaceable more secularist Muslims - and empower them to defeat
    by both persuasion and other methods the radical, violent
    fundamentalists in their religion.

    That would be a very, very good idea. But consider the Turkish
    experience in the last six years. The Turks are the "Moderate, modern,
    peaceable more secularist Muslims." Moreover our countries have been
    close allies for a half a century. And Turkey has had extensive
    friendly commercial relations with Israel. They are Turks, not Arabs,
    and are therefore less susceptible to the emotional plight of the West
    Bank Arabs under Israeli occupation.

    And yet, we have lost the Turks almost as badly as we have lost the
    most angry religious, fundamentalist Arab, Muslims. If we can't keep a
    fair share of their friendly attitude, how do we expect to win the
    much-vaunted and -awaited hearts and mind campaign?

    While I hardly have the answers to that question, one lesson can be
    learned from the Turkish debacle (or near debacle): While we cozied up
    to their arch threat - the Iraqi Kurds - we kept telling them not to
    worry and trust us. We did little to allay their fears that the Iraqi
    Kurds were giving the PKK terrorists succor and sanctuary in Iraq. We
    didn't pressure our allies the Iraqi Kurds to pressure the PKK.

    In the future, we are going to have to earn each ounce of friendly
    relations based on what we actually do for the object of our desire.
    Good intentions and common visions of the future are not likely to be
    readily available.

    Tony Blankley is executive vice president for global public affairs at
    Edelman International. He is also a visiting senior fellow at the
    Heritage Foundation.

    Source: http://www.washingtontimes.com/article/20071024/ED ITORIAL01/110240006
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