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  • Trouble Brewing In The Middle East

    TROUBLE BREWING IN THE MIDDLE EAST

    Hellenic News of America, PA
    Oct 24 2007

    The Middle East is a cauldron of tension about to erupt. Iran and Syria
    have nuclear military ambitions. Sophisticated weaponry manufactured
    by Iran and shipped to Iraq, namely IEDs and EFPs, have caused the
    death and wounding of too many of our combat forces. By supplying
    Hezbollah, they have also caused the deaths and maiming of too many
    Israelis. As a matter of fact, we share with Israel enemies in the
    region. Therefore, we should start talking with one another about
    joint military operations, mainly against Iran and Syria.

    The two best air forces in the world are those of the U.S. and
    Israel. Iran and Syria lend themselves attractively to our launching
    combined fixed-wing aircraft to widely smash both military and
    civilian infrastructure, along with any developing nuclear military
    capability. The objective would be to severely inconvenience their
    populations, but absolutely not to slaughter them. We are well capable
    of targeting to this end as are the Israeli Air Force pilots, trained
    by us. Because joint land operations would be high in casualties,
    we should not want to see Israeli boots in Iraq against jihadists or
    American ones in Lebanon against Hezbollah. The first is our hunt,
    the second that of the Israelis.

    Moreover, because the Palestinian world is fractured into two parts,
    it is beyond healing in the short and intermediate term. This makes a
    two state solution involving Israel and Palestine quite unrealistic
    now. Who speaks for Palestine? Is it Hamas or Al Fatah? The former
    refuses to even recognize the existence of a Jewish state and
    the latter creates concerns, at least in my mind, about its good
    intentions. In short, save a lot of time and a few bucks by not
    engaging in the exercise of futility posed by peace talks. My view
    right now: a pox on both Palestinian houses.

    At this point, I must observe that a loss by us in either Iraq or
    Afghanistan diminishes not only our international power position,
    but also the regional one of the Israelis.

    Does the Congress want this dual result which can be reduced to
    two words in the war against jihadists, "surrender" and with it
    "abandonment" of our only stalwart ally in the region, Israel? This
    twofold adverse consequence would not be the first in our history.

    Vietnam was effectively a surrender by us when in fact we had won the
    war on the battlefield. For evidence of abandonment, ask the survivors
    in South Vietnam, if you can find any. Conservatively, we left to die
    some 2,000,000 South Vietnamese who had not only supported, but also
    fought alongside us.

    Moving through the region, we can see another eruption about to
    occur. It is an attack by Turkey against Northern Iraq, the Kurdish
    part of the country. Turkey has already amassed a large army on that
    border and has made forays across it in pursuit of Kurds.

    Additionally, Turkey is an important supply route for us in
    replenishing our forces in Iraq.

    This is not the time to be hassling with an ally, which Turkey
    assuredly is. In practical terms, we need the leverage of friendship
    and cooperation to inhibit the Turkish Army from marching into
    the north of Iraq and to preserve our vital supply route into that
    country. The Turkish parliament has just authorized the crossing of
    the border, thus making our task even more difficult.

    With the situation on the Turkish-Iraqi border perilous, the House
    Committee on Foreign Affairs labeled as genocide the Turkish killing
    of Armenians in 1915.

    It happened near the end of World War I as the Ottoman Empire was
    going through the last throes of its demise. Also, at that time
    there were shifting alliances and upheavals inside Turkey which,
    according to that country, had Turks as well as Armenians killed. As
    this columns goes to press, the full house is shying away from taking
    up the measure. This appears wise because it would complicate matters
    for our forces in the field, should the Turkish Army march.

    This column first appeared in the Bulletin, a Philadelphia daily,
    on October 19.

    John J. Tsucalas is a Philadelphia corporate consultant on finance,
    marketing, and management. Formerly, he was the Deputy Auditor General
    of Pennsylvania. He is a National Defense Executive Reservist, and
    served as a First Lieutenant with the United States Air Force. He
    can be e-mailed at [email protected].
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