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  • ANKARA: Turkey-US Relations Likely To Be Tested Soon

    TURKEY-US RELATIONS LIKELY TO BE TESTED SOON

    Today's Zaman, Turkey
    Sept 1 2007

    Throughout the last decade foreign policy has always been a key
    part of Turkey's agenda; however only since the ruling Justice and
    Development Party (AK Party) first came to power in November 2002
    has foreign policy become highly visible in the discussions of the
    man on the street.

    The European Union membership process and relations with neighboring
    Iraq, where the outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) has found a
    safe haven, occupied a great deal of space on this agenda. These two
    particular issues have also been the focus of domestic debate between
    the ruling and opposition parties.

    Ali Babacan, appointed as new foreign minister in Prime Minister Recep
    Tayyip Erdoðan's Cabinet after his predecessor Abdullah Gul became the
    new resident of the presidential Cankaya Palace, on Friday took office
    at his new post. In a brief speech he delivered as he was welcomed
    by Foreign Ministry staff, Babacan highlighted the proactive foreign
    policy stance assumed by Ankara, without elaborating on the fact
    that this stance has been assumed only in recent years and undertake
    Party rule.

    On the same day, via a Prime Ministry circular published in the
    Official Gazette, it became clear that Babacan will continue wearing
    his former hat as Turkey's chief EU negotiator in addition to his post
    as the foreign minister. In the same circular, the Secretariat-General
    for EU Affairs (ABGS) which was thus far working as an attachment to
    the Prime Ministry was subordinated to the Foreign Ministry.

    President Gul's inaugural speech to Parliament on Tuesday once again
    outlined that the EU membership goal has been embraced by Turkey's
    leadership as a core piece of the Turkish Republic's state policy.

    Thus it is obvious that both Gul, who will surely be an active
    president in terms of foreign policy, and his successor Babacan will
    focus much time on the EU issue.

    Nonetheless, Turkey's foreign policy does not consist solely of the EU
    issue. Looking at events of the last few months, it becomes apparent
    that Turkey is still losing people in the fight between its security
    forces and the PKK. Meanwhile US military officials considering Iraq
    strategy options appear to be focusing on reducing the US combat role
    in 2008 while increasing training of Iraqi forces.

    Despite the fact that the military has not yet developed a plan for
    substantial withdrawal of forces next year, officials are laying the
    groundwork for possible overtures to Turkey and Jordan to use their
    territory for moving some troops and equipment out of Iraq.

    Meanwhile, Turkey, which aims at becoming the fourth energy artery
    for the EU, seems determined to deepen its bilateral cooperation with
    neighboring Iran in the energy field, despite strong objections from
    the US.

    In Washington, congressional democrats are pushing for two separate
    resolutions. One involves urging the administration to recognize
    the World War I-era Armenian killings as genocide. Turkey has warned
    that passage of the resolutions in the US Congress would seriously
    harm relations with Washington and impair cooperation in Iraq and
    Afghanistan.

    Returning to the Iraq issue, Iraqi Kurds are pushing for a referendum
    on the fate of the oil-rich city of Kirkuk before the end of this
    year, while Ankara believes that the planned referendum should not
    take place without reaching a consensus among the ethnic groups of
    Kirkuk -- namely Kurds, Arabs and Turkmen.

    Given all of these circumstances, retired Ambassador Ozden Sanberk,
    a former Foreign Ministry undersecretary, believes that Ankara will
    have to focus on "urgent matters," drawing attention to the fact
    that not all parameters could be set by Ankara concerning the issue
    of the PKK presence in northern Iraq since this situation is one of
    the consequences of the ongoing US-led invasion.

    "Considering that and keeping in mind that the Kirkuk issue, which
    can easily be likened to a 'time bomb', as well as the tension
    between Turkey's NATO ally the US and Iran, I believe that the
    number one priority for the government will have to be relations
    with Washington. Because the US is both a reason for the problems
    and a part of the resolution to these problems," Sanberk said in a
    telephone interview with Today's Zaman on Friday.

    "For Turkey to be able to concentrate on its EU membership goal,
    it first has to minimize threats against its own security. Thus all
    foreign policy needs to gravitate around these security concerns.

    While outlining its policy accordingly, Ankara will also have to
    thoroughly analyze the global and regional trends," the prominent
    diplomat added, referring to the rising popularity of the concept of
    "nation-state" in a world where international bodies are becoming
    less influential.

    Agreeing in general with what Sanberk asserts, prominent Milliyet
    columnist and foreign policy expert Semih Ýdiz says bilateral relations
    between Ankara and Washington are likely to enter a period of tension,
    terming future relations between the two capitals "electrified." He
    added, "Instead of waiting and seeing what will happen next in Iraq,
    Turkey will have to assume a proactive stance by getting directly
    involved in easing the political turmoil in Iraq."

    Ýdiz concluded: "Having its relations with the US 'electrified', Ankara
    will be more and more eager to grab hold of the EU anchor. My personal
    concern is whether Babacan's 24 hours will be sufficient for dealing
    with all of these issues. The question over whether it is a good idea
    to have Babacan wearing two hats is hanging heavily in my thoughts."

    --Boundary_(ID_duRtP3j8fjPD3GywGR 8c6w)--
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