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Atlantic Eye: Taking Aliyev at his word

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  • Atlantic Eye: Taking Aliyev at his word

    United Press International

    Energy - Analysis

    Atlantic Eye: Taking Aliyev at his word

    Published: Sept. 22, 2007 at 6:01 PM

    By MARC S. ELLENBOGEN

    UPI International Columnist

    BAKU, Azerbaijan, Sept. 21 (UPI) -- The delegation
    moved through security and up the elevators to a grand
    foyer. From the window, Gen. Constantin Degeratu, the
    Romanian national security adviser, and Eduard Kukan,
    who recently left his post after eight years as Slovak
    foreign minister, peered out to the Caspian Sea. I too
    was at the window looking at the massive building
    projects in Baku. I turned to Hassan Abouyoub, the
    chief adviser to Morocco's King Mohammed VI, and Seffi
    Bodansky, a senior adviser to the U.S. Congress, as
    the door opened.

    President Ilham Aliyev greeted his guests, all part of
    Global Panel's Black Sea Initiative. A tall man with a
    big mustache, he pointed us to a massive conference
    table that filled the large room. The president sat
    down with his foreign policy adviser on the other side
    of the delegation. Polish Special Envoy Richard
    Schnepf, sitting to my right, nudged me to begin. I
    started by describing our meetings and interactions of
    the previous days.

    In the late morning we had flown to the
    Russian-proposed joint U.S.-Russian radar site in the
    northern portion of Azerbaijan near Russia. The
    40-minute helicopter ride had shown us the vast oil
    fields below. Azerbaijan is known for its oil springs
    and natural gas.

    Only recently has the oil market helped pour wealth
    upon Azerbaijan. The largest of three south Caucasus
    states, it is bordered by the Caspian Sea to the east,
    Iran to the south, Armenia to the west and Georgia and
    Russia to the north. Armenia and Azerbaijan have had a
    long-simmering dispute over the Nagorno-Karabakh
    region.

    A delegation representing the regional governor met us
    as we landed. We were taken by entourage to a local
    restaurant overlooking an enormous bluff.

    There the governor greeted us. As is Azerbaijani
    custom, a large table of food awaited us. This ritual
    would be repeated four times that day, showing us
    great respect. Respect or not, these sessions are not
    for the light-hearted, and the ability to stay focused
    and fit after numerous toasts of vodka is a
    prerequisite for doing business.

    We proceeded to a modern bottling plant, a European
    Union-Azerbaijan joint venture. We were struck by the
    generosity of our guests at every turn. A visit to a
    museum commemorating the late President Haider Aliyev,
    the founder of modern Azerbaijan, rounded out the
    afternoon. We returned to the helicopter for our ride
    back.

    As I began to brief Aliyev of our meetings, I sensed
    shyness. Somewhere in the middle of our briefing,
    after a good laugh, the rest of the delegation began
    to interact with the president. The conversation was
    forthright and interactive.

    Aliyev spoke of the vast work that lies ahead for his
    country. He explained that he knew he was being
    measured by his progress in economic development. He
    noted that poverty had decreased from 49 percent to 20
    percent, but that there was still some way to go to
    include all citizens of Azerbaijan in the upswing. He
    pointed to the massive housing projects that we could
    all see as we passed through Baku that were being
    built to improve living conditions.

    The president spoke of the discrepancies between the
    main cities and the rural areas.

    "I am committed to dispersing the wealth of our
    country to all of our citizens."

    He spoke of press freedoms, religious rights and
    democracy. These did not seem like political
    platitudes, but the genuine desire of a youngish
    president to move his country forward.

    We spoke of the necessity for direct negotiations with
    Nagorno-Karabakh. Global Panel and the Prague Society
    see a role in facilitating direct contacts and
    negotiations about this frozen conflict. We expressed
    this to the president, who seemed interested in this
    role. Later he would confirm his commitment to a
    Global Panel-led initiative. The Nagorno-Karabakh
    conflict has been subject to a great deal of external
    interference, rendering it not so much "frozen" but
    distorted. Either way, it must be resolved.

    Earlier in the day we had spoken to Foreign Minister
    Elmar Mammadyarov and Industry and Energy Minister
    Natiq Aliyev (not related to the president). The
    question of energy security was a pre-eminent theme.
    Also the expansion of the GUAM (Georgia, Ukraine,
    Azerbaijan and Moldova) states' initiative, which
    deals with regional security and stability, was
    addressed. The second GUAM summit held earlier this
    year in Baku brought together the original members
    plus the presidents of Poland, Romania, Lithuania and
    Bulgaria -- an expression of the growing international
    importance of Azerbaijan. Energy diplomacy and summits
    are another area where Global Panel already plays an
    active role.

    At a final dinner, on the banks of the Caspian Sea,
    with Col. Gen. Kamaladdin Heydarov, the minister for
    emergency situations, it became clear that a long-term
    rapport and strategy was being developed with
    Azerbaijan.

    Azerbaijan has a long list of tasks ahead of it.
    Human-rights groups have been exceptionally critical
    of its record. But its young people are very focused
    on Europe and Turkey, and very European indeed.

    I liked Aliyev and believe him when he says he is
    committed to change.

    His actions will speak louder than his words.

    --

    (UPI Columnist Marc S. Ellenbogen is chairman of the
    Global Panel Foundation and president of the Prague
    Society. A venture capitalist with seats in Berlin and
    Prague, he sits on the National Advisory Board of the
    U.S. Democratic Party.)

    --

    (e-mail: [email protected])
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