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My Meeting With Ahmadinejad

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  • My Meeting With Ahmadinejad

    MY MEETING WITH AHMADINEJAD
    Stephen Zunes

    Foreign Policy In Focus
    Editor: John Feffer
    Sept 28 2007

    This past Wednesday, I was among a group of American religious leaders
    and scholars who met with Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in
    New York. In what was billed as an inter-faith dialogue, we frankly
    shared our strong opposition to certain Iranian government policies
    and provocative statements made by the Iranian president. At the same
    time, we avoided the insulting language employed by Columbia University
    president Lee Bollinger before a public audience two days earlier.

    The Iranian president was quite unimpressive. Indeed, with his
    ramblings and the superficiality of his analysis, he came across as
    more pathetic than evil.

    The more respectful posture of our group that morning led to a
    more open exchange of views. Before an audience largely composed
    of Christian clergy, he reminded us that we worship the same God,
    have been inspired by many of the same prophets, and share similar
    values of peace, justice, and reconciliation. The Iranian president
    impressed me as someone sincerely devout in his religious faith,
    yet rather superficial in his understanding and inclined to twist
    his faith tradition in ways to correspond with his pre-conceived
    ideological positions. He was rather evasive when it came to specific
    questions and was not terribly coherent, relying more on platitudes
    than analysis, and would tend to get his facts wrong. In short,
    he reminded me in many respects of our president.

    Both Ahmadinejad and George W. Bush have used their fundamentalist
    interpretations of their faith traditions to place the world in a
    Manichean perspective of good versus evil. The certitude of their
    positions regardless of evidence to the contrary, their sense that
    they are part of a divine mission, and their largely successful
    manipulation of their devoutly religious constituents have put these
    two nations on a dangerous confrontational course.

    Ahmadinejad can get away with it because he is president of a
    theocratic political system that allows very limited freedoms and
    opportunities for public debate. We have no such excuse here in
    the United States, however, for the strong bipartisan support for
    Bush's righteous anti-Iranian crusade, most recently illustrated by
    a series of provocative anti-Iranian measures recently passed by an
    overwhelming margin of the Democratic-controlled Congress.

    There are many differences between the two men, of course. Perhaps
    the most significant is that, unlike George W. Bush, Ahmadinejad has
    very little political power, particularly in the areas of military
    and foreign policy. So why, given Ahmadinejad's lack of real political
    power, was so much made of his annual trip to the opening session of
    the UN General Assembly?

    Ahmadinejad's Political Weakness The president of Iran is
    constitutionally weak. The real power in Iran lies in the hands
    of Ayatollah Khamenei and other conservative Shiite clerics on the
    Council of Guardians. Just as they were able to stifle the reformist
    agenda of Ahmadinejad's immediate predecessor Mohammed Khatami, they
    have similarly thwarted the radical agenda of the current president,
    whom they view as something of a loose cannon.

    Furthermore, Ahmadinejad's influence is waning. The new head of the
    Revolutionary Guard Ali Jafari is from a conservative sub-faction
    opposed to the more radical elements allied with Ahmadinejad. He
    replaced the former Guard head Yahya Rahim-Safavi, who was apparently
    seen as too openly sympathetic to the president. In addition, former
    president and Ahmadinejad rival Ayatollah Rafsanjani was recently
    elected to head the powerful experts' assembly, defeating Ayatollah
    Ahmad Jannati, who was backed by Ahmadinejad supporters and other
    hardliners.

    Ahmadinejad's election in 2005 was not evidence of a turn to the right
    by the Iranian electorate. The clerical leadership's restrictions
    on who could run made it nearly impossible for any real reformist
    to emerge as a presidential contender. Ahmadinejad's opponent in the
    runoff election was the 70-year-old Ayatollah Rafsanjani, who was seen
    as a corrupt representative of the political establishment. The fact
    that he had become a millionaire while in government overshadowed
    his modest reform agenda. By contrast, Ahmadinejad, the relatively
    young Tehran mayor, focused on the plight of the poor and cleaning
    up corruption.

    As a result, Iranian voters were forced to choose between two flawed
    candidates. The relatively liberal contender came across as an
    out-of-touch elitist, and his ultraconservative opponent was able to
    assemble a coalition of rural, less-educated, and fundamentalist voters
    to conduct a pseudo-populist campaign based on promoting morality and
    value-centered leadership. In short, it bore some resemblance to the
    presidential election in the United States one year earlier.

    Under Ahmadinejad's leadership, the level of corruption and the
    economic situation for most Iranians has actually worsened. As a
    result, in addition to losing the backing of the clerical leadership,
    he has lost much of his base and his popularity has plummeted. In
    municipal elections last December, Ahmadinejad's slates lost heavily to
    moderate conservatives and reformers. Why, then, is all this attention
    being given to a relatively powerless lame duck president of a Third
    World country?

    Part of the reason may be that highlighting Ahmadinejad's extremist
    views and questioning his mental stability helps convince millions of
    Americans that if Iran develops an atomic bomb, it will immediately
    use it against the United States or an ally such as Israel. With
    more than 200 nuclear weapons and advanced missile capabilities,
    Israel has more than enough deterrent capability to prevent an Iranian
    attack. Obviously, American deterrent capabilities are even greater.

    However, if you depict Iran's leader as crazy, it puts nuclear
    deterrence in question and helps create an excuse for the United
    States or Israel to launch a preventive war prior to Iran developing
    a nuclear weapons capability.

    In reality, though, the Iranian president is not commander-in-chief
    of the armed forces, so Ahmadinejad would be incapable of ordering
    an attack on Israel even if Iran had the means to do so. Though the
    clerics certainly take hard-line positions on a number of policy areas,
    collective leadership normally mitigates impulsive actions such as
    launching a war of aggression. Indeed, bold and risky policies rarely
    come out of committees.

    It should also be noted that while Ahmadinejad is certainly very
    anti-Israel, his views are not as extreme as they have been depicted.

    For example, Ahmadinejad never actually threatened to "wipe Israel
    off the map" nor has he demonstrated a newly hostile Iranian posture
    toward the Jewish state. Not only was this oft-quoted statement a
    mistranslation - the idiom does not exist in Farsi and the reference
    was to the dissolution of the regime, not the physical destruction
    of the nation - the Iranian president was quoting from a statement
    by Ayatollah Khomeini from over 20 years earlier. In addition, he
    explicitly told our group on September 26 that there was "no military
    solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict" and that it was "not
    Iran's intention to destroy Israel."

    The Saddam Niche The emphasis and even exaggeration of Ahmadinejad's
    more bizarre and provocative statements makes it easier to ignore
    his more sensible observations, such as: "Arrogant power seekers and
    militarists betray God's will." It also makes it politically easier
    for the United States to refuse to engage in dialogue or enter into
    negotiations, such as those that led to an end of Libya's nuclear
    program in 2003.

    Ahmadinejad has welcomed American religious delegations to Iran, but
    the United States has denied visas to Iranian religious delegations
    to this country. The Bush administration has also blocked cultural
    and scholarly exchanges.

    The disproportionate media coverage of Ahmadinejad's UN visit also
    suggests that Ahmadinejad fills a certain niche in the American
    psyche formerly filled by the likes of Saddam Hussein and Muammar
    Qaddafi as the Middle Eastern leader we most love to hate. It gives
    us a sense of righteous superiority to compare ourselves to these
    seemingly irrational and fanatical foreign despots. If these despots
    can be inflated into far greater threats than they actually are,
    these threats can justify the enormous financial and human costs of
    maintaining American armed forces in that volatile region to protect
    ourselves and our allies and even to make war against far-off nations
    in "self-defense." Such inflated threats also have the added bonus of
    silencing critics of America's overly-militarized Middle East policy,
    since anyone who dares to challenge the hyperbole and exaggerated
    claims regarding these leaders' misdeeds or to provide a more balanced
    and realistic assessment of the actual threat they represent can then
    be depicted as naive apologists for dangerous fanatics who threaten
    our national security.

    Furthermore, focusing on Ahmadinejad's transparent double-standards
    and hypocrisy makes it easier to ignore similar tendencies by the
    U.S. president. Ahmadinejad's speech at the UN on September 25 was
    widely criticized for its emphasis on human rights abuses by Israel
    and the United States while avoiding mention of his own country's poor
    human rights record. It helps distract attention from President Bush's
    speech that same day, in which he criticized human rights abuses
    by dictatorial governments in Belarus, North Korea, Syria, Iran,
    Burma, and Cuba, but avoided mentioning human rights abuses by Egypt,
    Saudi Arabia, Equatorial Guinea, Oman, Pakistan, Cameroon, and Chad,
    or any other dictatorship allied with the United States.

    The outreach by Christian clergy to Ahmadinejad, whom The New York
    Times described as "the religious president of a religious nation
    who relishes speaking on a religious plane," came out of a belief in
    the importance of dialogue and reconciliation. Our group emphasized
    that we were critical of the U.S. government's threats but also
    raised concerns on such issues as Iranian human rights abuses and
    Ahmadinejad's hostility toward Israel and denial of the Holocaust.

    Virtually all our questions, however, were thrown back in criticisms
    toward the United States. "Who are the ones that are filling their
    arsenals with nuclear weapons?" he said. "The United States has
    developed a fifth generation of atomic bombs and missiles that could
    hit Iran. Who is the real danger here?"

    Indeed, it must seem odd to most people in the Middle East that
    the United States, which is 10,000 miles away from the longest-range
    weapon the Iranians can currently muster and possesses by far the most
    powerful militarily apparatus the world has ever seen, is depicting
    Iran as the biggest threat to its national security. As Ahmadinejad
    put it to our group that morning, "The United States has many thousands
    of troops on our borders and threatens to attack us.

    Why is it, then, that Iran is seen as a threat?" And though most
    Iranians, Arabs, and other Muslims recognize Ahmadinejad as an
    extremist, he is unfortunately correct in accusing the United States
    of unfairly singling out Iran, an issue that has real resonance in
    that part of the world.

    Indeed, the United States is obsessed with Iran's nuclear program -
    still many years away from producing an atomic bomb - while we support
    the neighboring states of Pakistan, India, and Israel, which have
    already developed nuclear weapons and which are also in violation of
    UN Security Council resolutions regarding their nuclear programs. We
    blame Iran for the deaths of American soldiers in Iraq yet 95% of
    U.S. casualties are from anti-Iranian Sunni insurgents. We focus on
    Iranian human rights abuses while we continue to support the even
    more oppressive and theocratic Islamic regime in Saudi Arabia.

    We attack the Iranian president's denial of the genocide of European
    Jews while remaining silent in the face of Turkish leaders' denial
    of the genocide of Armenians. One of the most important principles
    of most faith traditions is moral consistency. Few receive greater
    wrath in most holy texts than hypocrites.

    Americans have many legitimate concerns regarding Iranian policies
    in general and the statements of President Ahmadinejad in particular.

    However, as long as U.S. policy appears to be based upon such
    opportunistic double standards rather than consistent principles,
    Ahmadinejad's inflammatory rhetoric will continue to find an audience.

    Stephen Zunes is a professor of politics at the University of
    San Francisco, Middle East editor of Foreign Policy In Focus
    (www.fpif.org), and the author of Tinderbox: U.S. Middle East Policy
    and the Roots of Terrorism (Common Courage Press.)
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