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Armenian dram to fall VS us dollar by end-Q2

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  • Armenian dram to fall VS us dollar by end-Q2

    Armenian dram to fall VS us dollar by end-Q2


    YEREVAN, April 18. /ARKA/. The Armenian dram (AMD) vs. US dollar (USD)
    rate is expected to total 353 drams per $1 by end-Q2, Cascade
    Investments says in its March review of local market.

    According to the source, the AMD vs. USD rate is expected to range from
    345 drams to 348 drams per $1 between Q3 and Q4.

    A shift towards a floating exchange rate put the dram within the range
    of AMD 360- 375 for 1 dollar throughout the whole month, Cascade
    Investments says.

    The pros and cons of this shift have been still debated, however one
    thing is clear - the new established rate has put under the ringer the
    import conditions and resulted in hoisting prices for consumers' goods.
    Meanwhile, in February, the volume of the dram in circulation shrank
    17% compared to January. This may result in abrupt changes of the rate
    in case the increased demand for the dram, the specialists of Cascade
    Investments say.

    According to their forecasts, the AMD vs. USD rate is expected to range
    from 350 drams to 355 drams per $1 between Q1 and Q2 2010.

    On March 3, the Central Bank of Armenia (CBA) officially returned to
    the floating national currency exchange rate. According to CBA experts,
    the Armenian dram /U.S. dollar exchange rate is expected to range from
    AMD 360 to AMD 380 per $1.

    From March 4 to April 18, AMD/USD rate showed no drastic ups and downs,

    with the lowest and highest levels being recorded on March 9 (359.37
    drams per $1) and April 16 (375.92 drams per $1) respectively.

    On April 18, the Armenian dram dropped 0.68pct against the US dollar to
    372.84 drams per $1. Z. Sh. `0--
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