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  • Serzh Sargsyan's Mood

    SERZH SARGSYAN'S MOOD
    Naira Hayrumyan

    Lragir.am News
    http://www.lragir.am/engsrc/country23517.html
    12:06:37 - 27/09/2011

    In the discussions on the recent developments in Russia and their
    possible influence on the domestic policy of Armenia, experts
    mainly juxtapose Putin and Kocharyan. In addition, no parallels are
    drawn between Medvedev and Sargsyan. However, the question whether
    Sargsyan will be as easy as Medvedev to call on the Republican Party
    to nominate Kocharyan for the presidential election may turn out to
    be an important factor.

    Medvedev and Putin announced they had agreed on such a scenario
    earlier in 2007. Is there a similar agreement between Kocharyan and
    Sargsyan? What did they speak about on March 1, 2008 when Kocharyan
    imposed a state of emergency? How many terms did Kocharyan assign to
    Sargsyan, one or two?

    Experts think there is little common between Sargsyan and Medvedev,
    Sargsyan is ready to turn to the West for support, and is not likely
    to cede to Kocharyan as easily as Medvedev. In the past 3.5 years,
    despite regular press reports on controversies between Kocharyan
    and Sargsyan, and the Armenian politicians, according to WikiLeaks,
    talked to the U.S. officials about these controversies, Serzh Sargsyan
    never uttered a bitter word against Kocharyan.

    In case of a real controversy, Sargsyan would use all the ~Sdiscreet~T
    means to deprive Kocharyan of even the possibility to return. After
    all, March 1 is still open, together with a great deal of other
    things which Serzh Sargsyan could use against Kocharyan. The fact
    that he did not do is evidence to an agreement between them rather
    than friendship or reluctance to defame his ex-boss.

    However, this is just another supposition, just like the fact that in
    Armenia Putin will promote Kocharyan. However, the fact that Medvedev
    gave away the scramble for power with a smile of joy is evidence
    that Serzh Sargsyan may also state to refuse it one day. It is in
    the context of the home political developments of Armenia.

    The opposition demands snap elections by the end of this year,
    Serzh Sargsyan leaves for the West and does not get a high-ranking
    reception, the IMF does not announce debt restructuring for Armenia,
    so it is possible that Serzh Sargsyan may return and resign or state
    reluctant to run for a second term.

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