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UN Trusteeship - Alternative to Vassalization
Igor Muradyan, Political Analyst
Comments - Saturday, 07 June 2014, 16:59
The short-lasting history of sovereign existence of the "zone" has
realistically demonstrated the total incapacity of its society to
build a sovereign state. Elites that had appeared in government in the
"zone" expressed readiness to wind up sovereign, or rather
semi-sovereign existence.
Not long before the revolution of 2003 Georgia was described as a
failure state, and the Western analytical circles were considering UN
trusteeship on its territory in accordance with the charter of this
organization. However, Georgia was able to get out of that shameful
situation and, despite the war with Russia, it is now at the doorstep
of NATO and the European Union.
In 2012-2013 the "zone" was viewed as a country that kept up with
Georgia by its rate and level of real cooperation with NATO, which is
evidence to real opportunities in this direction which the "zone"
declined demonstratively. This indicates that notwithstanding
successful steps towards state building, favorable international
setting, the "zone" will eventually give up on its sovereignty.
Apparently, it is related to the genetic code of the virtual ethnicity
populating the "zone". Now there is confidence that the greater part
of the "society" of the zone will support loss of sovereignty and
existence of a vassal.
However, Russian vassaldom will lead to final loss of sovereignty
while trusteeship will enable returning sovereignty in 20-40 years,
maybe later, but the "zone" will retain its right to restore
sovereignty in accordance with the famous international law.
The "zone" is facing a real threat of absorption by such a
chauvinistic Asian state as Russia, and there will be no chance to
restore sovereignty. It is possible to avoid this with the help of
international law relating to UN trusteeship which is not
well-established but still formally exists. This mechanism was
successfully applied to some islands of Oceania soon after which these
islands successfully gained sovereignty.
It is meaningless to continue to pretend that the zone remains a
sovereign state. Quite recently its president was the most popular
politician of the South Caucasus, and its pro-Western policy was
considered seriously. Now the president of the "zone" is perceived on
the international arena as the head of a vassal state or just an
administrative unit.
Many years of "cooperation" with Russia have led to international
isolation of the "zone" and defense advantages of Azerbaijan, which
will end up in a catastrophe of the zone in the next war. This policy
is the reason why the "zone" has transformed to a vassal.
In political history the Armenian entity will be once again indicated
as incapable of having a state and of independent political existence.
Certainly, Russia will hinder establishment of UN trusteeship for the
"zone", pretending interested in saving its sovereignty which is true
because Russia intends to continue vassalization of the "zone".
As part of UN trusteeship one may hope for introduction of such basics
as autonomy and reduced corruption and emergence of a civil society,
as well as civil consciousness. Besides, it may save the "zone" from
the disgrace of defeat in war and genocidal actions by the winner
side. Since the physical security of the population of the "zone" can
no longer be linked to Russia, its population may be interested in
trying the UN trusteeship.
The question is who will initiate this project. It is possible that
humanists "respected" by the government of the "zone", having realized
how abominable their activities of many years are, will turn to the
UN, not to Putin. Although, it is hard to expect this from the
ideologists of vassalization.
The UN trusteeship may enable expectations to preserve an ethnic
hotbed in the "zone" which may become an argument for building a state
several decades later. So, everything is not lost, and there are still
hopes and chances.
- See more at: http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/32559#sthash.KJzXV6cb.dpuf
Igor Muradyan, Political Analyst
Comments - Saturday, 07 June 2014, 16:59
The short-lasting history of sovereign existence of the "zone" has
realistically demonstrated the total incapacity of its society to
build a sovereign state. Elites that had appeared in government in the
"zone" expressed readiness to wind up sovereign, or rather
semi-sovereign existence.
Not long before the revolution of 2003 Georgia was described as a
failure state, and the Western analytical circles were considering UN
trusteeship on its territory in accordance with the charter of this
organization. However, Georgia was able to get out of that shameful
situation and, despite the war with Russia, it is now at the doorstep
of NATO and the European Union.
In 2012-2013 the "zone" was viewed as a country that kept up with
Georgia by its rate and level of real cooperation with NATO, which is
evidence to real opportunities in this direction which the "zone"
declined demonstratively. This indicates that notwithstanding
successful steps towards state building, favorable international
setting, the "zone" will eventually give up on its sovereignty.
Apparently, it is related to the genetic code of the virtual ethnicity
populating the "zone". Now there is confidence that the greater part
of the "society" of the zone will support loss of sovereignty and
existence of a vassal.
However, Russian vassaldom will lead to final loss of sovereignty
while trusteeship will enable returning sovereignty in 20-40 years,
maybe later, but the "zone" will retain its right to restore
sovereignty in accordance with the famous international law.
The "zone" is facing a real threat of absorption by such a
chauvinistic Asian state as Russia, and there will be no chance to
restore sovereignty. It is possible to avoid this with the help of
international law relating to UN trusteeship which is not
well-established but still formally exists. This mechanism was
successfully applied to some islands of Oceania soon after which these
islands successfully gained sovereignty.
It is meaningless to continue to pretend that the zone remains a
sovereign state. Quite recently its president was the most popular
politician of the South Caucasus, and its pro-Western policy was
considered seriously. Now the president of the "zone" is perceived on
the international arena as the head of a vassal state or just an
administrative unit.
Many years of "cooperation" with Russia have led to international
isolation of the "zone" and defense advantages of Azerbaijan, which
will end up in a catastrophe of the zone in the next war. This policy
is the reason why the "zone" has transformed to a vassal.
In political history the Armenian entity will be once again indicated
as incapable of having a state and of independent political existence.
Certainly, Russia will hinder establishment of UN trusteeship for the
"zone", pretending interested in saving its sovereignty which is true
because Russia intends to continue vassalization of the "zone".
As part of UN trusteeship one may hope for introduction of such basics
as autonomy and reduced corruption and emergence of a civil society,
as well as civil consciousness. Besides, it may save the "zone" from
the disgrace of defeat in war and genocidal actions by the winner
side. Since the physical security of the population of the "zone" can
no longer be linked to Russia, its population may be interested in
trying the UN trusteeship.
The question is who will initiate this project. It is possible that
humanists "respected" by the government of the "zone", having realized
how abominable their activities of many years are, will turn to the
UN, not to Putin. Although, it is hard to expect this from the
ideologists of vassalization.
The UN trusteeship may enable expectations to preserve an ethnic
hotbed in the "zone" which may become an argument for building a state
several decades later. So, everything is not lost, and there are still
hopes and chances.
- See more at: http://www.lragir.am/index/eng/0/comments/view/32559#sthash.KJzXV6cb.dpuf