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Bleak Outlook: Armenian Economy May Show Zero Growth For 2015

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  • Bleak Outlook: Armenian Economy May Show Zero Growth For 2015

    BLEAK OUTLOOK: ARMENIAN ECONOMY MAY SHOW ZERO GROWTH FOR 2015

    Economy | 22.01.15 | 16:30

    By Sara Khojoyan
    ArmeniaNow reporter

    The Armenian economy may have much less growth than expected by the
    government, international structures and Armenian experts claim;
    some saying there may even be zero growth. This will first of all
    have a negative impact on common citizens.

    "The problem is that common citizens will feel it. Decline in the
    Russian economy will be felt by the citizens who receive remittances
    from Russia. In Armenia, in all the fields where decline of incomes is
    predicted, for instance, in the field of mining, people involved in it
    will feel it," economist Vilen Khachatryan told reporters Thursday,
    explaining the decline in the forecast of the Bank of Reconstruction
    and Development (BRD) for the Armenian economy.

    This week BRD changed its previous forecast for Armenia made last
    September, lowering 3.5 percent to 0, explaining it by the devaluation
    of the ruble and general decline of the Russian economy.

    "Ruble devaluation as compared to dollar has already resulted in
    drastic decline of the volumes of money transfers made from Russia
    to Central Asia and Caucasus; this in its turn caused devaluation of
    the local currencies. In case Russian crisis expands, the situation in
    the countries economically attached to Russia will also deteriorate,"
    the BRD report said.

    According to Khachatryan, for Armenia not only the economic state in
    Russian but also in the whole world is very decisive.

    "In the ongoing situation Armenia's economic growth might show zero
    on the background of world economic development. There might even be
    a decline. Being in this region and becoming an EEU member, Armenia's
    economy will be subjected to all negative developments of the region."

    Saying that in Armenia there is neither the human power - young
    people leave the country -- nor investments to boost the economy, the
    economist is concerned by the Central Bank's (CB) Wednesday decision of
    raising the refinancing rate, because it claims of another inflation.

    "Tendencies of the inflation that CB is talking about, have appeared
    because people are scared to spend money thinking that there will be a
    crisis. If there was a real price decline, rates would not be raised,"
    Khachatryan added.

    http://armenianow.com/economy/60032/armenian_economy_russian_ruble_bank_of_reconstruct ion_and_developmet


    From: Baghdasarian
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