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  • Who needs war in Karabakh?

    Vestnik Kavkaza, Russia
    Jan 27 2015

    Who needs war in Karabakh?

    27 January 2015 - 9:37pm


    17 Armenian and 3 Azerbaijani soldiers have died in Nagorno-Karabakh
    throughout January. Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan said at a solemn
    session dedicated to the 23rd anniversary of the Armenian Army
    yesterday that the country was mourning its losses and Azerbaijan
    would pay for the life of every Armenian soldier killed. The president
    added that symmetrical responses to asymmetrical losses would be
    substituted by asymmetrical responses. "Hotshots should expect
    surprises," Sargsyan warned.


    Political analyst Sergey Markov explained that tensions on the contact
    line of forces was a reaction to rising instability in the post-Soviet
    space and Ukraine. The U.S., Russia and the EU act unpredictably and
    roughly, he believes, contributing to the tense atmosphere. Markov
    relates Sargsyan's threats to the situation within Armenia. The tense
    situation requires bellicose rhetoric to appeal to voters.

    Andrey Petrov, deputy head of the Information and Analysis Center of
    the M.V. Lomonosov MSU, reminded that Azerbaijan was preparing to host
    the first European Olympic Games in 2015, an event equally important
    as the Winter Olympic Games for Russia. A war would ruin them,
    regardless of who violates the ceasefire and the Bishkek Protocol, in
    his opinion. Petrov has no doubts that Armenia is behind the
    escalations. In his words, Armenia uses the conflict as an instrument
    of loyalty and consolidation of citizens, while the authority of the
    government was going downhill. He added that Armenia was falling way
    behind Azerbaijan in terms of economic and social development.

    The Armenian authorities need at least any victory, for example,
    initiation of events related to the 100th anniversary of the Armenian
    genocide followed by the failure of the first European Games, Petrov
    assumes. The expert predicts that, should his assumptions be true, the
    tensions will continue rising in the next three months, culminating in
    May. International mediators should prevent a real war on the
    frontline.


    http://vestnikkavkaza.net/news/politics/65361.html




    From: A. Papazian
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