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  • New threat looms over Turkish accession

    New threat looms over Turkish accession

    By Andrew Duff MEP
    Published: May 8 2006 17:29 | Last updated: May 8 2006 17:29

    A crisis is looming in Turkey's bid to join the European Union.

    By the end of this year the country is obliged to extend its current
    EU customs association agreement to the ten new member states,
    including Cyprus, which joined in 2004.

    After a lot of fuss and bother, the relevant protocol was signed just
    in time to allow the formal membership negotiations to begin on
    October 3 last year. But Turkey suddenly added a unilateral
    declaration to the protocol denying that the extension of the customs
    union implied formal Turkish recognitionof the Republic of Cyprus.

    As the Turkish statement merely reiterated Ankara's long-held
    position, it was deemed even by Turkey's friends to have been clumsily
    provocative. The EU Council of Ministers formally rebuked the Turks,
    with the result that neither the Turkish Grand National Assembly nor,
    therefore, the European parliament has yet ratified the trade
    agreement. Unless the Ankara Protocol is implemented in the autumn,
    the Greek Cypriots will have every excuse they need to call for a
    suspension of the accession process.

    Such a breakdown would be a pity because, trade with Cyprus apart,
    Turkey's efforts to absorb the European acquis communautaire are going
    rather well.

    The government has recently picked up the momentum of reform and
    delivered another ambitious package of modernisation measures to the
    Turkish parliament.

    The economy continues to grow fast. The commitment of the government
    to European integration is not flagging and in this it is still
    supported by a large majority of Turkish public opinion, including the
    business community, most of the media and human rights NGOs.

    Even the main opposition party, the Kemalist CHP, says it supports EU
    entry, despite being bitterly hostile to almost every other action of
    the governing Islamic democrat party, the AKP.

    The government is right to claim that Turkey's democracy is growing
    stronger. The judiciary is undergoing (for it) painful reforms. Old
    taboos are now the subject of daily controversy. The struggle to adapt
    European norms to Turkish particularities navigates a host of tricky
    issues: tension between official secularism and popular Islam, the
    role of the military, the position of the Kurds, the vulnerability of
    non-conformists, the future of the Christian churches, the Armenian
    `genocide'. All this, too, when Turkey's eastern neighbourhood is in
    chaos. As a remarkably cheerful foreign minister Abdullah Gül told
    MEPs visiting Ankara last week, `democracy is all about pluralism'.

    It is difficult to be optimistic about the Cyprus problem, however. Mr
    Gül has offered to open all Turkish ports and airports to Greek
    Cypriot carriers in exchange for a simultaneous end to the
    international embargo of North Cyprus. This is rejected outright by
    Greek Cypriot president Tassos Papadopoulos, currently fighting
    elections in the South. Prime minister Erdogan fears he cannot make
    more concessions to the Greek Cypriots without provoking a savage
    nationalistic backlash at home which would drive AKP from office in
    next year' s elections.

    The intransigence of Mr Papadopoulos in maintaining the blockade of
    the north seems to be based on the presumption that isolation and
    poverty will cause the Turkish Cypriot community to wither away. He is
    likely to be proved wrong.

    The rapid emergence of the Turkish motherland as a richer and
    self-assured regional power will ensure the survival of the small
    Turkish Cypriot entity.

    The EU has at last begun to subsidise the North, initially to the tune
    of=82¬ 139m. Evolving jurisprudence of the European Court of Justice
    should gradually serve to spread the privileges of EU citizenship to
    Turkish Cypriots.

    The EU's need to ensure security of oil and gas supply heightens the
    strategic importance of the Eastern Mediterranean. Turkey's
    integration with Europe may prove indispensable in the long run to the
    development of a decent EU common foreign and security policy in the
    Caspian region as well as to theEU's efforts to bring lasting
    stability to the Balkans. In Brussels, aggravation at the lack of
    generosity of the Greek Cypriots towards their Turkish compatriots
    grows.

    Turkey is in a stronger position than it realises, and the stakes are
    high.

    It would be sadly self-defeating for Turkey to stop a Greek Cypriot
    cargo ship from docking in Mersin. Better to call the bluff of Mr
    Papadopoulos and do the deal on trade, bringing Turkey into line with
    EU law and keeping the accession process on track.

    To sweeten the bitter pill, Turkey should demand a joint EU-UN package
    of measures for North Cyprus including visas, land swaps, cultural
    exchange, financial and technical assistance - and, above all,
    trade. Mr Gül rightly observes that `compromise is part of European
    culture'. Nowis the time for all sides to the Cyprus dispute to show
    themselves to be truly European.

    Andrew Duff is vice-president of the EU-Turkey joint parliamentary
    committee.

    Find this article at:
    http://news.ft.com/cms/s/3545d140-de9f-11da-ac ee-0000779e2340,dwp_uuid=3Dd4f2ab60-c98e-11d7-81c6 -0820abe49a01,s01=3D1.html
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