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  • Trio's trip to Caucasus

    What the Papers Say Part A (Russia)
    January 24, 2008 Thursday


    TRIO'S TRIP TO CAUCASUS

    by Yuri Roks

    THE EUROPEAN UNION WILL STUDY THE STATE OF AFFAIRS WITH NEIGHBORLY
    RELATIONS AND CONFLICTS IN THE CAUCASUS; Azerbaijan, Armenia, and
    Georgia expect a visit from senior EU officials.

    Foreign ministries of all three countries EU officials intend to tour
    attach a lot of importance to the visits. Vladimir Karapetjan, press
    secretary of the Foreign Ministry of Armenia, even assumes that EU
    Envoy Peter Semneby might come.

    Importance is attached to the forthcoming visits in connection with
    the second round of the presidential election in Serbia which may
    become a prelude to the process of international recognition of
    Kosovo's sovereignty. Torn by territorial conflicts, countries of the
    southern part of the Caucasus hope to have some questions answered in
    the course of the visits.

    No matter how hard the West is trying to convince everyone that the
    Kosovo solution will set no precedents for other regions, Azerbaijan
    and Georgia remain understandably upset. Fiercely pro-Western Tbilisi
    even supports Russia's objections to recognition of Kosovo as a
    sovereign state. "Sovereignty of Kosovo will become a stimulus for
    Abkhazia and South Ossetia. What really counts, however, is that the
    West is guarantor of Georgia's territorial integrity," Paata
    Zakareishvili of the Center for Development and Cooperation (Tbilisi)
    said.

    The situation with Azerbaijan and Armenia is somewhat different.
    Georgia lost Abkhazia and South Ossetia due to internal discord, but
    the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh has always been international.
    Azerbaijani-Armenian negotiations have nothing to show for the
    effort, and some experts ascribe it to the absence of
    Nagorno-Karabakh itself, a region demanding sovereignty, from the
    process. OSCE Minsk Group French Chairman Bernard Fassier supports
    this point of view. After almost a week spent in Baku, Yerevan, and
    Stepanakert in the middle of January, Fassier suggested that
    participation of Nagorno-Karabakh in the talks might help.

    "Europe's interest in Azerbaijan comes down to the problem of energy
    security," political scientist Rasim Musabekov said. "As for
    Nagorno-Karabakh, the EU is not directly involved in the crisis
    resolution effort. Moreover, it is highly unlikely to want the
    burden. The European Union does, however, support the OSCE Minsk
    Group and would dearly like to see some progress made."

    "Trust the West to try and keep the situation here in a suspended
    state," Stepan Grigorjan of the Regional Cooperation Center (Yerevan)
    said. "The Western community claims that Kosovo is unique and that it
    is wrong to view the Kosovo solution as a precedent for other
    region." The political scientist suspects that Europe might suggest
    some kind of document specifying organization of a referendum on
    Nagorno-Karabakh and its status, say, a decade from now.

    Source: Nezavisimaya Gazeta, January 24, 2008, p. 7
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